Penney’s Warning
Adds to Retail Gloom
By Michael Barbaro
and Michael M. Grynbaum - New York Times
March 29, 2008
For retailers, doing everything right
is no longer enough.
Over the last year, J. C. Penney
rolled out a powerful new marketing campaign filled with
heartstring-tugging commercials, it introduced a clothing and home
décor line from Ralph Lauren, and it opened 50 stores.
But consumers are not biting — and,
on Friday, J. C. Penney sharply cut its earnings forecast for the
first three months of the year, by 33 percent, blaming the tough
economy.
That fresh sign of distress in
American retailing was reinforced by a report from the Commerce
Department that consumer spending remained stagnant in February,
growing at the slowest pace in more than a year because of the
housing slump and a weak job market.
The dour economic data helped push
all three major stock indexes down on Friday. The Dow Jones
industrial average slipped 86.06 points, to 12,216.40. The Standard
& Poor’s 500-stock index fell 10.54 points, to 1,315.22, while the
Nasdaq composite index dropped 19.65 points, to 2,261.18
The slowdown at J. C. Penney bodes
poorly for a wide range of retailers — and its profit warning
appeared to drag down shares of Nordstrom (off 6 percent), Macy’s (6
percent) and Kohl’s (5 percent).
If Penney, a midprice chain shopped
by middle America, is feeling the pinch of tightening wallets,
investors reasoned, so will the rest of the retail industry.
“This is what a recession looks
like,” said Adrianne Shapira, a retail analyst at Goldman Sachs. “We
are bumping along the bottom.”
The chief executive of Penney, Myron
E. Ullman III, said that “ consumer confidence is at a multiyear
low.”
He added, “J. C. Penney counts half
of American families as its customers, and they are feeling
macroeconomic pressures from many areas, including higher energy
costs, deteriorating employment trends and significant issues in the
housing and credit markets.”
The revised profit estimate from
Penney was striking because after a decline starting last summer
when the housing crisis began, its stock started to recover as
consumers responded positively to new merchandise from designers
like Mr. Lauren.
His new product line, introduced in
February to rave reviews, features immaculate displays, with
whitewashed picket fence walls and fake hydrangea in metal pails,
and piles of polo shirts, floral bedsheets and paisley neckties.
“It’s designed by the greatest
American designer and being sold at the best American department
store,” Ken C. Hicks, president of J. C. Penney, said in a recent
interview.
The Lauren line was the latest
chapter in J. C. Penney’s remarkable turnaround over the last
decade. The chain lost more than $900 million in 2003, and was
nearly written off by Wall Street (and by middle America).
Since then, J. C. Penney has become a
force in fashion. New in-store brands, like A.N.A., and East5th are
considered as stylish as anything at Macy’s. And it has attracted
big-name outside brands, like Liz Claiborne for women’s clothing and
Sephora in the cosmetics department.
Last year, under the direction of Mr.
Ullman, who once ran the luxury conglomerate LVMH Moët Hennessy
Louis Vuitton as well as Macy’s, the company earned more than $1
billion.
“It’s clearly no longer your
grandmother’s J. C. Penney,” said Ms. Shapira of Goldman Sachs.
But the falloff in consumer spending
that began during the holiday season in 2007 only intensified during
the first several months of 2008, and it has not spared J. C.
Penney.
The chain said its first-quarter
earnings would probably be 50 cents a share, compared with an
earlier forecast of 75 cents to 80 cents a share. It estimates sales
at stores open at least a year, a crucial yardstick in retailing,
will fall by at least 10 percent in March.
Most retailers will report March
sales next week. The numbers are not expected to be pretty. In
January and February, monthly sales at stores open a year fell at
just about every major department store, including Penney, Macy’s,
Kohl’s, Dillard’s and Nordstrom.
It is unclear whether these stores
will soon issue the same kind of earnings warnings as J. C. Penney.
But none are expected to produce stellar earnings this quarter.
Asked if J. C. Penney was serving as
an alarm bell for the retail industry, Ms. Shapira said it seemed a
little late for that.
“The alarm bell has been deafening
for months now,” she said.


There's a new Sears in town
All-appliance stores opening in area
By Michael Sean Comerford -
Daily Herald Staff
Daily Herald - Suburban Chicago
March 28, 2008
Sue White of South Elgin walked into the
new Sears Home Appliance Showroom on Thursday as if on cue.
She had been driving along Randall Road
in South Elgin when she decided to pop into this new kind of Sears
store, which only sells appliances.
"Wow," she said out loud as she walked in
and saw a couple hundred refrigerators, washing machines, vacuum
cleaners and a host of other household appliances shining and lined up
in rows and display areas.
The larger, higher-end, higher tech
appliances are near the front door for visual impact.
"We look for that 'wow' factor," said
Robert Mackey, director of marketing and merchandising for Hoffman
Estates-based Sears Holdings Corp.
The first Sears store of its kind in
Illinois, its grand opening is tonight. It is the seventh Home Appliance
Showroom store in the Sears chain. Other stores are in the Houston and
Minneapolis areas.
Another such store is planned to open
around June in North Aurora, Mackey said. And sites are being considered
in Oswego, Montgomery and other Chicago suburbs.
The store's sales strategy gets good
reviews from retail analysts who say the long-struggling Sears can
leverage its strength in appliances, particularly the Kenmore brand.
"Sears is going to need a bunch of
initiatives if it is going to survive, and this is one that makes
sense," said David Davidowitz & Associates, a
New York-based retail consulting and investment banking firm.
The Home Appliance Showroom strategy is
to open along "power roads" such as Randall Road, with high visibility
and traffic, Mackey said. The stores open near rival Home Depots and
Lowe's to create a shopping dynamic, Mackey said.
The Houston stores opened in spring last
year and have been outperforming their appliance market rivals, Mackey
said. Sales have run higher than Sears' expected, Mackey said. They even
gained appliance sales market share in the area.
"I think this is a fairly smart strategy
for them," said John Melaniphy Sr., a Chicago-based retail consultant.
Melaniphy said he has not studied the
performance of the Home Appliance Showroom model but estimated they
could generate more than $2 million a year in
store sales.
After a few years of a slow-growth
strategy, Sears' dealer store plan is its top growth vehicle, Mackey
said, along with online services.
Sears has long operated non-mall-based
dealer stores, mostly privately owned and carrying appliances, consumer
electronics, lawn and garden equipment, tools and automotive batteries.
It has more than 850 such stores and plans to open another 100 this
year, Mackey said. Last year, it opened 63.
The dealer store category, of which the
Home Appliance Showroom is a part, could grow by 1,000 in the next six
years, according to some estimates within the company.
How many Home Appliance Showroom stores
open probably depends on its success in markets outside Texas and
Minnesota, Davidowitz said. The new stores feature tiled floors and
model display areas showing sample kitchens.
"It's a showroom rather than a big box
where you're fighting off a fork lift," Mackey said.
The stores are smaller, stand-alone
operations with staffs of about eight employees who greet customers as
they come through the doors.
The stores feature more than Sears
products. Brands include General Electric, Jenn-Air, Frigidaire,
KitchenAid, Bosch, LG, Maytag and Whirlpool.
For years, Sears has been experimenting
with store strategies and product mix. Since the 2005 merger of Sears
and Kmart, traditional Sears appliances are now stocked at Kmart stores.
Some Sears dealer stores can be found in more than a half dozen Kmarts
across the country.
In recent quarters, Sears Holdings has
reported falling same-store sales, profits and cash reserves.
Sears generated $53 billion in sales last
year, so while positive the Home Appliance Showrooms won't have the
scale to turn Sears' numbers around, according to Davidowitz.
"It's too small to move the needle,"
Davidowitz said.


Mary Lou Fryz 1933 ~ 2008
Longtime aide to Sears chiefs
By Trevor Jensen -
Tribune reporter - Chicago Tribune
March 28, 2008
Mary Lou Fryz dedicated much of her
life to Sears, Roebuck and Co., where she was an efficient assistant
to executives, including former chairman Edward Brennan.
Ms. Fryz, 74, a longtime resident of
Elk Grove Village who went by the name of "Lou," died Monday, March
17, in a Ft. Worth, Texas, hospital after a brain aneurysm, said
Maryann Aimone, a longtime friend.
Ms. Fryz spent 44 years with Sears
and more than another a decade as Brennan's personal assistant.
"That was just the work ethic; that
was what she was all about," Aimone said.
Ms. Fryz (pronounced "Frizz") joined
Sears in 1951, not long after her graduation from Tuley High School
in the Humboldt Park neighborhood. She started as a stenographer
before moving up the secretarial ranks at the company's old Homan
Avenue headquarters, said Ernie Arms, the retailer's former
communications director.
In 1973 she became secretary to Sears
president A. Dean Swift, and she kept the job with his successor,
Brennan, in 1980.
She stayed with Brennan, who became
chief executive officer and chairman, for the rest of her career.
After Brennan retired from Sears in
1995, she continued to help him with his various board and
philanthropic responsibilities in an office at the Wrigley Building
until his death in December.
An avid golfer, Ms. Fryz was a part
of social circles all over the country. She traveled frequently for
golf outings and was on such a trip in Texas when she died.
"She was a lot of fun. She put people
at ease," Aimone said. "She never met a stranger."
Ms. Fryz is survived by two cousins,
Darlene Kocsis and Elaine Fricilone.
A service will begin at 11 a.m.
Saturday in Grove Memorial Chapel, 1199 S. Arlington Heights Rd.,
Elk Grove Village.


J.C. Penney Slashes Guidance,
Citing Macroeconomic Pressures
By Kevin Kingsbury - Dow
Jones Newswire
March 28, 2008
J.C. Penney Co. cut its fiscal
first-quarter outlook, saying quarterly sales through Easter have
come in "well below expectations." Its shares traded sharply lower
in premarket trading.
The warning is the latest bit of bad
news for retailers, and signals that consumers continue to ratchet
back nonessential spending amid the current economic uncertainty.
The department-store chain - whose
stock was down 14% to $34.96 in recent premarket trading - now sees
earnings of about 50 cents a share, with same-store sales falling by
the high-single digits on a percentage basis. The company last month
projected earnings of 75 cents to 80 cents and a low-single-digit
same-store-sales drop.
For March, same-store sales are seen
slumping by a double-digit percentage, versus the forecast three
weeks ago of a low-single-digit decline.
"Consumer confidence is at a
multiyear low," noted Chairman and Chief Executive Mike Ullman.
"J.C. Penney counts half of American families as its customers, and
they are feeling macroeconomic pressures from many areas ... [and]
the sharp decline in sales is reflective of these trends. While the
economic stimulus package may provide some temporary benefit, we
expect the continuation of a difficult environment over the course
of 2008."
To overcome that, Mr. Ullman said the
management is looking at ways to cut costs "to best position the
company to benefit when a recovery takes hold."
J.C. Penney's fiscal fourth-quarter
net income fell 9.9% amid increased markdowns as the company saw
weakened consumer spending during the holidays.


Departed
execs collecting biggest payouts
at Sears
Interim CEO is only top leader to get raise;
no bonuses for 2007
By Sandra M. Jones -
Tribune reporter - Chicago Tribune
March 27, 2008
The executives pocketing large sums at
Sears Holdings Corp. are those who have left.
None of Sears' top executives received
bonuses for 2007 and only interim Chief Executive W. Bruce Johnson
received a salary increase, the company said in its annual proxy filing.
But ousted CEO Aylwin Lewis received
compensation valued at about $5.5 million and John Walden, who left in
January after a year as chief customer officer, received compensation
worth about $2 million, based on Wednesday's stock price of $107.63,
according to the filing.
The disclosure of the payouts comes as
Sears faces challenges in attracting and retaining executives as it
attempts to reverse sales and profit declines in an increasingly tough
economic environment.
"It's hard to attract people to leave
their job for a company in trouble," said Mark Reilly, a Chicago-based
compensation expert. "You need to offer them some security to make them
whole."
Sears is looking for a CEO to replace
Lewis, who left earlier this year in the wake of the retailer's first
annual profit decline since hedge fund manager Edward Lampert took
control of the company in 2005.
Lampert, who owns 49.6 percent of Sears,
works without a salary. The company does not have a stock option plan,
and it ties executive incentive pay to a profit measure called earnings
before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
Nobody got a bonus for 2007 because "the
threshold performance level was not achieved," Sears said in the filing.
"Unlike some companies, which set targets
at levels that are difficult to miss, we set targets that are achievable
but require us to perform—it is important to set goals that challenge
and stretch us," Lampert said in his 2007 letter to shareholders.
Sears doesn't grant restricted stock to
its top executives on a "regular basis," but the retailer did grant
Walden restricted stock in order to induce him to join the company and
to offset stock compensation he gave up at his previous employer, the
filing said.
Walden joined Sears from Best Buy Co. in
January 2007 and was charged with developing customer strategies and new
business development.
Under Walden's severance agreement, he
will receive his annual base salary of $750,000 through Jan. 16, 2009,
and a target bonus of $675,000 payable over a 12-month period. He also
received restricted stock of 5,651 restricted shares.
As previously reported, Lewis will
receive his annual base salary of $1 million through March 24, 2010. He
also received accelerated vesting of his stock awards, which consist of
an option to purchase 37,500 shares at $88.62 per share and 16,926
shares of restricted stock.
Johnson received a 3.4 percent salary
increase due to his "individual performance" in fiscal 2006 and for
helping "key areas of our business," the filing said.
The 56-year-old executive, formerly
executive vice president of supply chain and operations, was named
interim CEO and president in February.
As interim CEO, Johnson's annual salary
is $900,000, up from $745,000 in 2007.
He also is eligible for an annual bonus equal to his annual
salary and received a restricted stock award under the company's 2006
stock plan valued at $1 million, which vests in installments in 2009 and
2010, Sears said in the filing.


Sears ex-CEO gets $1M
salary through '10
The Associated Press -
Business Week
March 26, 2008
CHICAGO -- Former Sears Holdings Corp.
CEO Aylwin B. Lewis will receive his annual base salary of $1 million
through March 24 of 2010, according to a proxy statement filed Wednesday
by the struggling retailer.
Lewis left the job on Feb. 2 and was
replaced by the company's executive vice president for supply chain and
operations, W. Bruce Johnson, who now serves as interim chief executive
officer and president.
Lewis will continue to receive health and
welfare plans. He also became vested in his remaining stock and option
awards. Those awards comprise options to buy 37,500 shares of company
stock at $88.62, along with 16,926 shares of restricted stock.
Johnson took over for Lewis on Feb. 3 and
will receive an increased annual salary of $900,000 with a chance to
receive a bonus equal to his base salary if he meets certain company
goals, according to the proxy. He earned $745,224 in salary for 2007
under his former title.
Johnson also received restricted stock
under the company's 2006 stock plan that was valued at $1 million on
Feb. 3. It will be vested in two equal installments on Jan. 31, 2009 and
Jan. 30, 2010.


Sears
Expanding Kmart Majap Biz, Dealer Stores
by Alan Wolf - Twice
March 27, 2008
Hoffman Estates, Ill. — Sears
Holdings will continue to add major appliances to more of its Kmart
locations, and plans to expand its chain of independently owned
dealer stores.
According to the company’s annual
10-K report, filed yesterday with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, Sears remodeled about 30 Kmart stores last year to
accommodate Kenmore majaps and other Sears private-label products.
By Feb. 2, 2008, about 280 of Kmart’s 1,382 locations carried a
multibrand assortment of white goods, up from about 100 stores that
were selling majaps three years ago.
“We intend to continue our rollout of
home appliances, including Sears Kenmore-brand products, into Kmart
locations over the next several years as a means of expanding our
points of distribution in response to competitor store growth,” the
company said in the filing.
Separately, Sears said it plans to
continue expanding its dealer store program this year. The stores
are primarily independently owned, average about 8,800 square feet
in size, and carry a select assortment of CE, appliances, lawn and
garden equipment, hardware and automotive batteries. Dealer stores
are traditionally located in small, rural communities, but Sears has
also begun targeting urban neighborhoods across the country. Forty
locations were added last year, bringing the total dealer store
count to 857.


Sears Holdings Names Presidents
of Key Business Units
John Froman to lead Tools and Lawn & Garden,
Doug Moore to lead Appliances
CNN Money.com
March 27, 2008
HOFFMAN ESTATES, Ill., March 27
/PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Sears Holdings Corporation announced today
that John W. Froman will join the company's executive team as senior
vice president and president -- Tools and Lawn & Garden.
Froman was most recently with Namco,
LLC, a regional chain of family recreation superstores, where he
served as chief executive officer for two years. Prior to Namco,
LLC, he spent 19 years at Circuit City Stores, Inc., where he served
as executive vice president and chief operating officer for four
years. In that capacity, he directed all store operations,
distribution, product service, real estate, construction, store
design, store services, loss prevention, procurement and corporate
operations.
"John's wealth of retail experience
and demonstrated success in retail operations, merchandising, and
strategic planning will help us operate the Tools and Lawn and
Garden businesses more efficiently and effectively," said Bruce
Johnson, Interim CEO and president of Sears Holdings. "John will
also enable our company to be more responsive and competitive in
this industry, as he has a strong record of developing and
implementing key initiatives that drive shareholder value and build
customer relationships."
Separately, the company promoted
Douglas T. Moore to the position of senior vice president and
president -- Appliances. Moore started with the company in June 2007
as SVP, Hardlines Merchandising. Prior to Sears Holdings, he spent
17 years at Circuit City Stores, Inc., most recently as EVP/chief
merchandising officer. He also served in senior leadership positions
within sales, operations and installation at Circuit City. Moore
holds a Masters degree from the University of Virginia.


Historical Society Sets Program on Richard Sears
Spring Valley, Minnesota
March 26, 2008
The Spring Valley Historical
Society's annual meeting is set for Sunday, April 13, and will
feature a program on the life of Richard Sears presented by local
historian Sharon Jahn.
Sears was born in Stewartville but
his father, James Sears, moved his family to Spring Valley in 1869.
James opened a blacksmith shop and soon built the brick house at 216
North Hudson Avenue. He led an interesting life, trying to earn a
living at various trades. He even ventured to the Black Hills in
1876 to prospect for gold but came home disillusioned and broke.
Richard completed nine years of
school here, an "A" student according to records, but the family
moved on before he graduated.
At the time of the city centennial in
1955, historian John Halbkat wrote a story of his brother, Charles,
who was a friend of "Dick" Sears. John's uncle, Fred Halbkat, made a
practice telegraph key mounting on a cigar box for a sounding board.
John claimed the two boys, Charles and Dick, practiced diligently
and Dick became quite proficient at sending and receiving messages.
This was in an age when telegraphy was a new "wonder" in
communication and young fellows were quite fascinated with this new
"hobby." Whether Dick Sears learned telegraphy in Spring Valley
isn't certain, but he was introduced to it as interest often drew
the boys to the depot on the way from school. When the family moved
north, Sears took a job as a telegrapher at the railroad depot at
North Branch, then later at Redwood Falls which led to his career as
a super salesman of the 20th century. By 1886 he was in business for
himself as the Sears Watch Co. in Minneapolis; then later in Chicago
as Sears Roebuck and Co. At one time the company was mailing out 75
million catalogs each year.
At the meeting the society will
display the telegraph key and Sears catalogs featuring the Conley
camera once made in Spring Valley in 1899. Yes, there was a thriving
camera factory here, a local invention, product of one more fertile
brain developed locally! You will hear its connection to Sears and
the dramatic growth after its move to Rochester, Minn.


Lou Fryz - 1933-2008
Faithful No. 2 to Sears CEO
knew Chicago business titans
By Eileen O. Daday | Daily
Herald Correspondent
Daily Herald - Suburban Chicago
Published March 25, 2008
Less than three months after former Sears
Chairman and CEO Edward A. Brennan passed away at the age of 73, his
longtime secretary and administrative assistant, Lou Fryz, died
unexpectedly.
Ms. Fryz died March 17 of an apparent
brain aneurysm while on a golfing vacation in Dallas. The former Elk
Grove Village resident was 74.
Colleagues said Ms. Fryz was one of the
longest-serving employees in Sears' history, having joined the company
in 1951, shortly after graduating from Tuley High School in Chicago, the
forerunner to Clemente High School on the West Side.
She rose through the ranks to become
secretary to the Midwest Territory vice president, before being named
secretary to Sears President A. Dean Swift in 1973.
Ms. Fryz's work for Brennan began in 1980
when he was elected Sears president and she stayed by his side as his
executive secretary and administrative assistant when he became the
company's chairman and CEO in 1986.
"She was fabulous," said Ernie Arms,
former Sears news director. "Everything she did was perfect."
After Brennan retired from Sears in 1995,
he served as an active board member of many corporations and Ms. Fryz
again served as his right hand, Arms said, in an office in the Wrigley
Building in Chicago.
One of the boards he served on was of
McDonald's Corp., alongside Andrew McKenna of Chicago, its chairman.
"She was a remarkable lady," McKenna
said. "She knew everyone and everyone knew her. She always knew the
right button to push."
Likewise, Ed Liddy, retiring chairman of
Allstate, which at one time was owned by Sears, recognized the strengths
Ms. Fryz brought to her role supporting Brennan.
"Lou was extraordinary in her
professional role," Liddy said, "handling complex or sensitive issues
with great skill and diplomacy. At the same time, she was always an
enjoyable and caring person to be around."
A longtime family friend, Maryann Aimone
of Prospect Heights, described Ms. Fryz as something of an aunt to her
family, attending all of her children's celebrations. Earlier this
month, Ms. Fryz attended Aimone's daughter's wedding in New York.
"She danced and danced, and had so much
fun," Aimone said. "It's a beautiful way for our family to remember
her."
Ms. Fryz never married, but is survived
by two cousins, Elaine Fricilone of Orland Park and Darlene Kocsis of
Fort Myers, Fla.
A memorial service will take place at 11
a.m. Saturday at Grove Memorial Chapel, 1199 Arlington Heights Road in
Elk Grove Village.


Justices Reject AARP Appeal
Dow Jones Newswire
March 24, 2008
The justices turned away an appeal
from the AARP, the nonprofit association for older Americans, that
sought to reverse and Equal Employment Opportunity Commission rule
change that made it easier for employers to drop health benefits
once workers reach 65.
The rule change made in 2004 impacted
millions of workers and allows companies that offer retirement
health benefits to eliminate insurance coverage once workers are
eligible for Medicare. The EEOC, when it changed the rule, said the
change was designed to make it less expensive for employers to
continue offering retiree health benefits after an employee leaves
the work force. This benefit has been in decline as health-care
costs soar.
The AARP sued in 2005, arguing the
new rule violated the Age Discrimination in Employment Act and the
intent Congress had when it passed the law. A federal trial judge
dismissed the lawsuit, ruling the EEOC had acted within its
regulatory powers.
The Third U.S. Circuit Court of
Appeals in Philadelphia last year also rejected the AARP lawsuit.
(AARP v. EEOC)


Waste Not
Wal-Mart's H. Lee Scott Jr. on what the company is doing to reduce
its carbon footprint -- and those of its customers
Wall Street Journal
March 24, 2008
The world's largest retailer,
Wal-Mart Stores Inc., has put enormous effort in recent years into
curbing excess packaging and offering environmentally friendly
products. These efforts, led by CEO and President H. Lee Scott Jr.,
have helped to burnish Wal-Mart's image as a "green" retailer.
What exactly is Wal-Mart doing? And
why? The Wall Street Journal's Alan Murray asked Mr. Scott. Here are
edited excerpts from that discussion.
ALAN MURRAY: When you started
focusing on the environment at WalMart, you were under an organized
attack from union-backed groups that were attacking you for wage
policies, immigration policies, health policies, but not necessarily
for environmental policies. So what made you decide to bring the
environment to the forefront of what Wal-Mart was doing?
H. LEE SCOTT JR.: It's consistent
with what we say our purpose is, and that is saving people money so
they can live better. We looked at what Sam Walton started and how
he developed the company. It was by eliminating waste, bringing in
efficiencies.
And by thinking about sustainability
from our standpoint, it really is about how do you take cost out,
which is waste, whether it's through recycling, through less energy
use in the store, through the construction techniques we're using,
through the supply chain. All of those things are simply the
creation of waste. We found it's consistent with the entire model
we've had since Sam opened the first store.
MR. MURRAY: So it's all about cost
reduction. It's not about trade- offs? Is there never a point where
you say, gosh, this is going to cost us a little more, but it's
going to be much better for the environment?
MR. SCOTT: Well, there are things
that you, as a business, have to think about that something may be
more cost-effective but is just wrong -- pollution of the water or
those kinds of things. Those things come into play.
One of the things people talk about
is, will people pay more? Our question is, why should they have to?
If you can take the waste out, if you can take the cost out, and you
can provide people who are working people living paycheck to
paycheck with an opportunity to be more sustainable, we think they
will react to that, and they do.
H. Lee Scott Jr.
Paying More for Green
MR. MURRAY: Will your consumers pay
more for products that are environmentally green? Is there any
willingness to pay more for something that is perceived as being
good for the environment?
MR. SCOTT: Depending on the store,
you see a difference in how people are reacting. Where you have a
store that's in a higher-household- income area, you can see that
people can afford to and are willing to pay a little bit more.
People in general are living paycheck
to paycheck for a broad amount of American society. It's not that
they don't care about sustainability; it's that they can't afford to
pay more. They can't pay a dollar more for the cleaning supply. They
can't pay $3 more for a T-shirt.
MR. MURRAY: If we impose either a tax
or a cap-and-trade system on carbon emissions, that is like a tax,
that means that those shoppers at Wal-Mart will have to pay more for
most of the things they're buying from you, doesn't it?
MR. SCOTT: I think that's very
possible. We believe a carefully crafted carbon program is something
that probably is inevitable and probably positive. What we would ask
is that people be mindful of the general population and not be so
ideological that we simply say we're going to go from here to here
and, yes, people have to pay more but it's worth it. How do you
craft something that does the right thing for the environment and
for sustainability but doesn't leave behind the basic population
that we serve the most?
A Different
Footprint
MR. MURRAY: Is 60% to 80% by 2050 too
much? A 60% to 80% reduction [in carbon-dioxide emissions]?
MR. SCOTT: You're outside of my
knowledge base. We have a very small Washington office. We have no
scientists. We are a retailer, and we operate stores that serve
customers.
MR. MURRAY: But let's take it to a
level that you understand very well, and that is that you have done
all that you've done in the past three years. You've focused on
products, you've gotten your suppliers focused on these issues,
you've gotten your trucking fleet focused on these issues, you've
gotten your stores focused on these issues. And yet with all of
that, you're still growing your carbon footprint by, according to
your own reporting, what, 8% or 9% a year.
So how, after making all the efforts
that you've made in the past three years and you still see your
carbon footprint expanding at that rate, can we possibly hope to do
60% to 80% reductions by 2050?
MR. SCOTT: First of all, we have
started on a program that has a long, long way to go.
At the store level, we have what are
called PSPs, which are Personal Sustainability Programs [which
encourage Wal-Mart employees to embrace a cause in areas such as
environmental sustainability or personal health]. We have, I think,
500,000 people who are signed up and have started recycling or using
CFLs or that are doing something related to wellness.
We have these groups of people
working on different things from our supply chain all the way into
our communities. There is an energy about it, and it's real and it
makes a difference. But it is simply the start.
MR. MURRAY: Give a couple examples of
some of the low-hanging fruit you've found through this process of
opportunities where you can make huge savings with things that are
no-brainers.
MR. SCOTT: You had people who just
took toys and they reduced packaging by 10% or 15%. Reduced all of
that transportation cost associated with those hundreds and hundreds
of containers. At Wal- Mart, we recycle cardboard. But we didn't
recycle the loose plastic that apparel would come under or those
kinds of things.
MR. MURRAY: On an issue like
packaging, of course, there's a long way you could go. There's
significant groups of people out there now who are saying we
shouldn't be bottling water. Why bottle water? It's just an
environmental waste. How do you decide how far you go and when to
stop? You're still selling bottled water, I assume?
MR. SCOTT: A lot. If the customer
wants bottled water, we are going to sell bottled water. But even if
you're going to sell bottled water, you can sell it and have less of
a negative impact. How have you arranged your transportation so that
it's the most effective that it possibly can be? How do you price in
a way that can help a customer make a choice that is more
environmentally effective?
One of the things that's interesting
about things that are sustainable is over the years the margins on
sustainable products have historically been higher, because it is a
higher income class that has been sensitive to that and purchased
those. So organic products had a higher margin than products that
weren't organically grown. And one of the things we can do is price
product in a way that helps encourage the consumer to make a better
choice.
MR. MURRAY: So not try and squeeze
extra margin out of it.
MR. SCOTT: Right.
No Timetable
MR. MURRAY: You have set as company
goals zero waste and 100% renewable energy. Those are very ambitious
goals. What you haven't told us is when.
MR. SCOTT: I don't have a clue. We
are not scientists. And so do you set a goal that you're going to
reduce this by this and this by this and you put the time frame out
there? I'm almost 60 years old. You want to put a time frame out
there of 10 years when I'm long retired and if they don't hit it, it
doesn't matter. Why do that? Why not just say that ultimately we
think this is possible that the technology will develop, that there
are things that we can do.
We've got solar now that is being
installed in a number of stores in California and Hawaii. We have
wind that we're experimenting with. But we have 7,000 stores. I
think these are opportunities for us. Do you think electricity is
going to be cheaper in 10 years than it is today? We need to be
experimenting today and understand what works and be out there so
that we don't subject our shareholders to inappropriate cost -- or
our customers, because ultimately they pay the bill.
MR. MURRAY: When you launched this
program several years ago, Wal-Mart at the time was getting some
extraordinarily bad public relations. Today, if you look at the way
Wal-Mart has been written about over the course of the past year,
these green initiatives have generated enormously good public
relations. Some people would say that's why you're doing it. This is
all about public relations.
MR. SCOTT: You just need to work with
our people. These things are real. The differences we are making are
real. We face a number of challenges, and part of the challenges we
face are related to the fact that we have probably the largest, most
highly financed campaign against us in the history of business. Part
of the issues we face are because we are not as good as we should
be.
We sat down and we said 10 years from
now what will the people in the company wish we had done, such as we
wish that the prior generation in management might have done? And
the thing that stuck was that this world is going to become more and
more sensitive to environmental sustainability. Whether it's three
years from now or five years or 10 or 15, ultimately society is
going to hold you accountable for whether or not you participated
appropriately and the role you played in advancing this area of
environmental sustainability.


Big Mergers For A Recession Economy,
Do Firms Like Ford, Citigroup, and Sears Go Away?
24/7 Wall St.
March 23, 2008
"The current financial crisis is the
most serious since the second world war, and perhaps since the Great
Depression." -- The London Observer, March 23, 2008
Many investors find it hard to
believe that some of the largest companies in the country could be
taken over and cease to be independent public corporations. In a
very deep recession, which the economy may be facing, huge firms
with vulnerable businesses, competitive pressures, and weak balance
sheets may end up being takeover targets.
In an extremely difficult economy,
regulators are more likely to countenance combinations which might
be considered anti-competitive in a period of robust growth. Better
to allow an M&A event to save a company and its work force than to
ask the government for funds as Chrysler did in 1979. The government
is likely to say "no".
Creditors and lending institutions
are also more likely to be liberal with covenants than to see the
money they are owned disappear due to an insolvent company's
troubles.
The M&A list here includes companies
which might be bought and their likely buyers. It is not a list
which would make sense unless the US falls into the kind of
recession that it did from November 1973 to March 1975. GDP dropped
by almost 5% and unemployment moved above 9%.
By the end of that 21-month bear
market, the S&P 500 had lost 42.6% in value, according to Ibbotson
Associates and BusinessWeek. It may have been the toughest period
since WWW II.. A number of the top 200 companies on the Fortune 500
in 1972 quickly disappeared or were bought. That list included
American Motors, White Motor, Lykes, and Otis Elevator.
There is a school of thought that the
the US may face a downturn of that magnitude beginning in the first
quarter of this year and that it will extend through most of 2009.
The housing market may be that bad. Pressure on large financial
institutions may cause a run on some money center banks not unlike
the run which ruined Bear Stearns. Increases in the prices of key
commodities including oil, wheat, and metals could make it almost
impossible for consumers to afford some basic goods and could also
damage margins at companies which rely on these as part of their
cost of goods. If so, the M&A world will change from business as
usual.
1. One of the most vulnerable large
US companies is Ford (NYSE: F).
Its current share of the domestic car market is about 15%. It does
have some successful operations overseas, but it is not particularly
well position in critical markets like China. Ford has made
tremendous cost cuts, but the prices for metals used in its vehicles
adds about $350 per unit compared to 2007, according to Lehman
Brothers. Rising gas prices will hurt sales of its most successful
products, SUVs and pick-ups. Ford's stock trades at $5.60 and was
recently as low as $4.95, well below where it traded two years ago
when there was concern that that the company might have to file for
Chapter 11.
VW has recently said that it expects
to sell eight million cars by 2011. That is up from 6.2 million last
year, The European company says it can triple sales in the US over
the next decade. VW's one huge weakness as a global car company is
its tiny market share in the world's largest car market. A takeover
by VW would give Ford products access to markets like China. It
would also give VW the sales it wants in the US. Putting the two
large car companies together would allow for significant cost
savings and would create the largest auto company is the world with
global revenue of over $260 billion.
2. Qwest (NYSE: Q) is by far the
weakest of the independent phone companies created by the break-up
of AT&T in 1974. Its stock has fallen from over $10 in June 2007 to
under $5. Shares in AT&T (NYSE: T) and Verizon (NYSE: VZ) are off
only about 10% over the same period. Qwest has no cellular operation
of its own and cannot afford to upgrade its systems to fiber for
delivery of high-speed internet and TV services. This makes the
company more vulnerable to competition from cable and satellite TV
companies. Qwest has over $14.3 billion in debt. Its wireline
services are shrinking.
Verizon (NYSE: VZ) is probably the
most logical buyer for Qwest. The deal would give the New York-based
company a huge pool of customers for cross-selling cellular with
land-line products . If the Verizon fiber-to-the-home project
continues to be successful, it might move the build-out into the
Qwest service area to compete with cable and satellite there.
Verizon has a market cap of $105 billion. Qwest's is $8.5 billion.
The savings in putting the two together could be significant.
3. Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) is
one of the worst consolidations in recent US corporate history, the
combination of the businesses of Sears and K-Mart. The deal has
ruined the reputation of hedge-fund manager Eddie Lampert. The new
company was created in 2005 and has a total of about 3,800 retail
outlets among all of its brands. After peaking above $195 in April
2007, the stock has fallen as low as $85 earlier this year. It now
trades at about $100. In the most recent quarter, earnings fell to
$426 million from $811 million a year earlier. Over the course of
that one year, cash on hand fell $2.2 billion to $1.6 billion, some
of it due to share buy-backs. There is much evidence that supports
the view that retail customers do not have the money to buy
non-essential items. This change in consumer behavior will damage
retail revenue over the next several quarters.
Gas prices are too high, consumers are maxed out on credit cards and
are feeling pinched due to loss of jobs and fallin g home prices.
The battle for the retail buyer is going to increase and Sears is
poorly positioned to compete with Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT),
and CostCo (NASDAQ: COST)
Sears has very modest long-term
obligations, but poor performance has taken its market cap under $14
billion. Its price to sales ratio is down to .25x. Wal-Mart's market
cap is $212 billion and has a price to sales of .53. A buy-out by
Wal-Mart would probably mean the closing of hundreds of Sears and
K-Mart locations. But, Wal-Mart could cut significant
administrative, supply chain, and purchasing costs. If Sears shares
are pushed down to the $50 range by more bad news there is a deal to
be done. Target is another possible buyer.
4. Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD)
is not in as bad a spot as some investors think, at least not in
terns of strategic positioning. It is the No.2 company in a two
company race. The market cannot be without a challenger to Intel
(NASDAQ: INTC) in the server and PC chip markets. AMD is very badly
run. The decision to buy graphics chip company ATI was a significant
mistake and contributed to the $5 billion in debt on AMD's balance
sheet as well as a huge write-off last year. AMD also got into a
price war with its larger rival compressing its gross margins.
There has already been speculation
about an AMD merger with graphics chip company Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA).
The most recent comments about this came from research firm Amtech.
Intel has been moving into Nvidia's markets. While Nvidia is much
smaller than Intel, with a revenue run rate of $6 billion, adding
AMD would bring that up to about $13 billion. AMD is at an operating
break-even. Nvidia could probably take out several hundred million
in administrative, marketing, and R&D costs. Last year, research
costs at AMD were over $1.8 billion. By adding ATI, Nvidia would be
a graphics chip powerhouse. Nvidia has a market cap of $10 billion
to AMD's $3.7 billion. For the deal to make sense, AMD's shares,
currently at just above $6, would probably have to drop closer to
$3.
Most of AMD's debt is due in 2012 and
beyond. The majority carries interest of 5.75% and 6%. If the
company got into real trouble, lenders might be willing to bring
down those rates, if Nvidia would put the obligations onto its
balance sheet.
5. Washington Mutual ((NYSE: WM) may
have to be sold for the same reason Countrywide (NYSE: CFC) was.
Moody's recently cut Washington Mutual debt rating to one notch
above junk. S&P recently wrote that the mortgage crisis may hit the
financial firm harder than the ratings agency had expected. WM's
market cap is down about 75% this year. If mortgage defaults spike
up sharply because of a deep downturn in the economy, Washington
Mutual could get into more trouble.
Washington Mutual may be forced to
find a buyer. In many ways, the strongest of the large banks in the
US is Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC). According to Barron's "unlike most of
its peers that have been badly dinged, the San Francisco-based bank
doesn't have a big capital- markets operation exposed to credit
derivatives, structured- investment vehicles, or mortgage-backed
securities. Shares of Well Fargo have done better than Bank of
America over the last six months and nearly as well as JP Morgan.
WFC currently has a market cap of
$107 billion to WM's $13.7 billion.
Washington Mutual's market cap was recently as low as $10 billion.
Wells Fargo is already in the home loan business so Washington
Mutual's operations are not foreign to the bank. If housing prices
continue to move down sharply, it may become clear to the Fed that
WM will not be able to remain independent. The agency might even be
willing to help finance a deal for a capable buyer. Washington
Mutual could go to one or two of the large money center banks. Right
now Wells Fargo would seem to have the fewest problems and the most
time to give to turning around a troubled thrift company.
6. A number of pundits think that
Citigroup (NYSE: C) is too big to fail. That observation is probably
correct, but it is not too big to be bailed out and sold to another,
better-managed money center. That could be Bank of America (NYSE:
BAC), but JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) is a more likely dark knight.
If the deal were to go through, the government would have to provide
waivers of certain banking regulations about retail market share
caps.
Over the last six months, shares of
Citi are down 53% while shares in JP Morgan are flat which speaks
volumes about what the market thinks of the prospects and
managements of the two companies. It is only a few days since Citi
traded below $18, so the market clearly thinks the financial
conglomerate is in big trouble. A combination of problems with LBO
debt and mortgage-backed securities led a Merrill Lynch analyst to
say Citi may have to write-down another $18 billion for the first
quarter. The head of government-owned investment firm Dubai
International Capital said that it will take more than the combined
efforts of the Gulf's wealthiest investors -- the Abu Dhabi
Investment Authority, the Kuwait Investment Authority and Saudi
Prince Alwaleed bin Talal--to save Citigroup, according to the AP.
The Fed would have to be involved in
any bail-out of Citi. It is unlikely that the company would stay
intact even if it was merged into JP Morgan. The sale of some assets
would probably be necessary to help fund a takeover. The bank may be
too big to fail, but it is not too big to be liquidated with the
majority of the pieces going to JPM.
7. Of all the companies in the
telecom and cable sector, Charter Communications (NASDAQ: CHTR) is
undoubtedly the most damaged financially. The firm is controlled by
billionaire Paul Allen. It has $19 billion in debt and recently took
on another $1 billion in junk paper. Over the course of the last
year, Charter's shares have dropped from $4.93 to $.91 and recently
traded as low as $.61. The company has a market cap of a mere $362
million and trades at .06x sales compared to Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA),
the largest company in the industry, which trades at 1.9x even
though its stock is off sharply in the last two quarters.
Charter has virtually no cash or
operating income which can help it compete against the aggressive
encroachment of the new telecom fiber initiatives and satellite TV.
These new threats are difficult enough for well-funded companies
like Comcast and Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC). If the economy
continues to worsen, the yield that cable companies get from extra
services like VOD and VoIP is likely to fall and some subscribers
may leave all together.
The FCC has already stated that
Comcast is at or near the size beyond which the agency will allow it
to expand and may try to block additional acquisitions by the firm.
If Charter fails, and it may well, the most logical buyer is Time
Warner Cable. Time Warner is considering spinning the cable company
out to shareholders. TWX currently owns 86% of TWC. In the process
of becoming independent, Time Warner Cable may have the opportunity
to raise more capital.
The largest hurdle to a buy-out of
Charter is its mountain of debt. The company's lenders, and Paul
Allen, would have to be convinced that they are better off owning a
piece of a larger company than clinging to one that will almost
certainly fail financially, even in a good market. If Charter is
sold, common shareholders may get nothing. Lenders may get a
fraction of the dollar which they are owed. The alternative is
probably worse.
8. E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC) retains a
significant value in its discount brokerage business, but that is
almost completely overwhelmed by its mortgage-related holdings which
have caused such great losses that the company's shares have fallen
from a 52-week high of almost $26 to under $4. The stock has
recently been as low as $2.08, which would put the firm's market cap
at only $1 billion.
E*Trade recently reported that daily
average revenue trades fell 17% in February when compared to the
month before. In a sharp market sell- off, E*Trade would likely lose
customer assets and trading volume, both of which would do further
damage to the company. The head of ETFC recently said that he did
not believe that his firm would be sold. Market forces may make him
eat those words. E*Trade says it expects losses of $1 billion to
$1.5 billion over the next three years in its home equity portfolio.
E*Trade believes that it can set aside money to cover about half of
that loss. But, what happens if the housing market turns sharply
lower as the year goes on and the plan has underestimated the
potential losses?
E*Trade could be sold to either
Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW) or TDAmeritrade
(NASAQ: AMTD). The Fed may have to underwrite the purchase of the
company's mortgage portfolio. probably by an entity different than
one of the discount brokers. Schwab is the larger of the two
discount houses, with a market cap over twice the size of AMTD's. In
a big market downturn, ETFC will almost certainly be forced to find
a buyer. Schwab can take substantial costs for marketing,
administration, technology, and customer service out of a combined
company.
9. Wendy's (NYSE: WEN) is a perfectly
fine company which is likely to be hit by the rising costs of food
commodities and a fall-off in customers in a rough economy. The firm
is certainly in one of the most competitive segments of the market,
fast foods. It has about 5,300 outlets. Profits are very modest.
Last year, the company made $88 million on $2.45 billion in revenue.
The top line has been flat since 2004.
The greatest cost problem for a
company like Wendy's is that it must maintain a huge marketing
budget to protect its brand and bring in customers. Over the last
three years, the average annual cost for doing this was roughly $115
million.
It is not hard to imagine that as
food prices increase and customer flow falls, that Wendy's could
begin to lose money. Over the last six months, Wall St. has voted
against the company's prospects by selling off the stock. During
that period, the shares are down almost 30% while McDonald's (NYSE:
MCD) and Burger King's (NYSE: BKC) are flat to slightly up. Wendy's
market cap is only $2 billion or .8x sales. The figure for
McDonald's is 2.7x and for BKC it is 1.6x..
If Wendy's struggles, and it will if
the economy gets worse, McDonald's and Burger King could both be
possible buyers. There are substantial opportunities to save tens of
millions of dollars in marketing costs on top of administration,
purchasing and logistics expenses.
10. Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX)
ruined itself when it bought medical device company Guidant. In
January 2006, BSX got into a bidding war with Johnson & Johnson in
an attempt to take over the medical device maker. Eventually Boston
Scientific won by paying a price over $27 billion. The results were
a disaster. In 2005, Boston Scientific made $891 million on revenue
of $6.3 billion. For 2007, the company lost $569 million on revenue
of $8.6 billion. The company's long-term and short-term debt
balloned from $2 billion to
$8.2 billion between the two years. At the same time, medical
research began to indicate that drug-coated stents, one of BSX's
most profitable products, might cause clotting in heart arterties.
Doctors began to reject using the devices in favor of by-pass
surgery.
In mid-2004, Boston Scientific traded
for over $44 a share. Now it sits at under $13 and has recently been
as low as $10.76. The company is cutting personel and selling
divisions, but that may not solve its debt service problems
especially if the economy takes a sharp drop. The company's market
cap has fallen to $18.6 billion and its price-to- sales ratio is
2.2x.
Johnson & Johnson may still be able
to get Guidant, and at a sharp discount. It could pick-up the rest
of Boston Scientific as a bonus. JNJ has a $185 billion market cap
and trades at over 3x sales. The company is already a big player in
medical devices and the stent market. JNJ has cash and marketable
securities of about $9 billion and long-term debt of $7.1 billion.
In 2007 the company had net earnings of $10.6 billion on revenue of
$61.1 billion.
If Boston Scientific gets into more
trouble, the investment bankers know where to go.
11. Level 3 (NASDAQ: LVLT) has one of
the best broadband networks in the world with 48,000 miles of IP
network. The company has been put together through M&A activity
which has built up a huge debt-load and made the company overly
complex. The firm's long-time No.2 executive was sacked recently as
operating results make it difficult to handle Level 3's debt
service. In 2007, the company had a net loss of $1.1 billion on $4.3
billion in revenue. Long-term debt was over $6.8 billion. Taking out
debt service and loss on extinguishment of debt and the operating
loss for the year was $241 million.
The company cannot go on with its
current financial problems and in a deep recession, these troubles
will almost certainly become worse. Level 3's share price has
dropped from a 52-week high of $6.42 to $1.86. Level 3 is probably
not a viable standalone company even in a good economy.
Level 3 has a $2.9 billion market
cap. The most logical buyer for LVLT is large content delivery
network Akamai (NASDAQ: AKAM). Akamai has a market cap of $5.1
billion. It is much smaller than LVLT but highly profitable. In
2007, the company made $145 million on $636 million in revenue.
Revenue was up 45% from 2006. Akamai has cash and short-term
investments of $545 million and long-term debt of $200 million.
Level 3 will not change hands with
its current debt structure, so lenders are going to have to decide
whether they would prefer to get a very modest amount in a
liquidation or bankruptcy or take more favorable arrangement with a
negotiated reduction of debt backed by the Akamai balance sheet.
Under these circumstances, common shareholder in LVLT would almost
certainly get nothing.
Level 3 is already in the CDN busines
competing against Akamai. Akamai could take the asset of Level 3's
network and use it to take advantage of the boom in video, voice,
and data over the internet. In the process, several billion in
equity and debt in Level 3 would have to go away.
Douglas A. McIntyre


Getting Out of the
Retirement Rut
Many people find themselves lost after leaving the office. Here's
how some retirees are making over their lives.
By Kelly Greene - Staff
Reporter - Wall Street Journal
March 22, 2008
What can you do if you're failing
retirement?
That idea, of not making the grade in
later life, isn't one that's normally found in discussions about
aging. Retirement today is supposed to be rewarding, filled with
opportunities and certainly less stressful than work. But it isn't
always so.
For any number of reasons -- lack of
planning, financial duress, caregiving responsibilities, the loss of
a spouse -- retirees can easily find themselves carving out a dent
in the couch or wandering down dead-end paths. As with some jobs,
people start asking: "Is this all there is?"
Barbara Dennis, Linda Carnuccio and
Darleen Maumus explain how they found themselves mired in retirement
problems and what they did to turn their lives around.
Enter the retirement makeover. In an
echo of the home and fashion makeovers that have swept cable TV in
recent years, some retirees are seeking help from life coaches,
financial planners, career consultants, fitness experts, and even
fashion and hair stylists in some cases, to help turn their lives
around. Often, the spark comes from looking in the mirror:
recognizing that change is needed, and then seizing the chance to
make it happen.
There are no retirement-makeover
consultants per se. But several groups across the country --
including nonprofits in California and New Jersey, as well as two TV
networks -- are assembling teams of experts to help people reshape
their lives in retirement. The resulting makeovers offer some good
examples of how even modest steps can lead to significant changes in
later life.
If you're stuck in a rut -- or want
to avoid one -- after leaving the office, consider how these people
have shaken up their retirements:
Test Yourself
With so much time suddenly on the
horizon, and with so many possible ways to fill it, many retirees
find themselves paralyzed by indecision. One way to cut through the
clutter is to take tests -- the kind often used by college students
or younger workers to help determine their professional path -- to
zero in on your current interests.
A great example is Darleen Maumus,
who found herself at loose ends after a triple whammy. Within three
years, she retired after three decades as an elementary-school
teacher and principal in New Orleans, was widowed, and lost her home
in her native city to the flooding that followed Hurricane Katrina
in 2005.
Ms. Maumus, who is 66 years old,
moved to Paoli, Pa., after the storm to be close to two of her three
children. But she quickly found herself overwhelmed by the range of
retirement options available around her. "I was shocked by how
active people my age are up here," she says. She enrolled in a
lifelong-learning program at Temple University in Philadelphia, but
even there she had trouble choosing among dozens of courses.
She found direction through two of
the most widely used tests designed to help people understand their
career options. The first, the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator, measures
personality traits and preferences. The second, the Strong Interest
Inventory, assesses personal interests, including preferred styles
of working and learning. The test assigns you a "general
occupational theme code," such as "artistic, social or
enterprising," which you can use to help figure out your next steps.
"We work with a lot of people who are
retiring from their primary career," says Michael Segovia, director
of business development for CPP Inc., the Mountain View, Calif.,
company that publishes the two tests and administered them for Ms.
Maumus. "This is a time when they can say, 'What do I really want to
do? What are my real interests? What is my personality?' Let's put
it together and see what we can come up with."
Ms. Maumus's assessments, Mr. Segovia
says, revealed "an amazing person who is really interested in
helping people and making a difference in their lives, along with a
strong interest in theater."
Mr. Segovia also concluded from the
test results that Ms. Maumus "is a real energizer -- a cheerleader.
In talking with her, I thought, 'If she can find a place where she
feels like she's making a difference in people's lives as a
volunteer, why would they not want to hire her?' "
Ms. Maumus says she did have a strong
interest in drama when she was younger, but she let it slide while
raising her family and working. After getting her results, she
started volunteering with a community theater. "I always enjoyed
theater, but until then I had wondered if I was too old to start out
in it," she says.
After she started volunteering, she
learned about an opening at the theater. Last month, she landed a
part-time job as an assistant house manager (which allows her to see
plays at no cost).
You can take the Myers-Briggs test on
your own and get an interpretation of the results at
mbticomplete.com8, for $59.95. The Strong Interest Inventory can be
taken only through a career counselor who meets the qualification
standards set by CPP. These counselors typically charge $100 to $200
to administer the test; Mr. Segovia also suggests getting a
counselor's help interpreting the results. There are directories of
counselors at the "Career Center" on the Web site for the National
Career Development Association, ncda.org9, and at the site for the
National Board for Certified Counselors, nbcc.org10.
Grab a Helping Hand
Sometimes in retirement, you can't
change or find solutions to problems on your own. In which case, a
coach might help.
That was the answer for two retirees,
Barbara Dennis and Nancy Elliott, each of whom was mired in grief.
Both got help from a so- called life coach, a professional
hand-holder who assists people in navigating transitions in their
lives.
When Ms. Dennis, who is 58, learned
three years ago that her 27-year- old son had died unexpectedly from
a heart problem, she walked out of her office at the Centers for
Medicare and Medicaid Services in Baltimore -- and never went back.
"It was just a major blow, and I thought I should just turn it off,"
she says. "Other people started to get back into their lives, but I
didn't."
Her former sister-in-law, concerned
that Ms. Dennis was becoming depressed, suggested that she get a
makeover from a TV show called "What's Next?" which is set to air
starting next week on the Retirement Living cable network. Host
Sherry Parrish, whose day job is resident-life director at a large
Baltimore County retirement community, connected Ms. Dennis with
Lisa Whaley, a Woodbridge, Va., life coach. Ms. Whaley uses a simple
methodology she calls SPA:
"State what it is you want to do, plan it, and then act," she says.
"As simple as it sounds, most people don't behave that way."
By getting Ms. Dennis to write down
some plans, Ms. Whaley helped her realize that her son "would want
me to continue to live," Ms. Dennis says. "I grew to understand that
I could honor him by living."
With that realization, she set about
finding meaningful -- and fun -- ways to spend her time. She and her
husband took up swing and salsa lessons and had such a good time
that they made room on their porch for a dance floor. She also
started fielding phone calls for a local women's shelter. And to
honor her son, Ms. Dennis is sponsoring two youth basketball teams.
The players' uniforms include his initials and the number from his
high-school basketball jersey. She's writing a memoir about his life
as well.
Ms. Elliott, a retired teacher who
lives in Fountain Valley, Calif., was widowed in 2005 at age 62
after her husband of 40 years suffered a massive heart attack. She
describes his death as a shock that left her "immobilized."
She, too, credits a life coach, Carol
Draper, with a large part of her recovery -- helping her to accept
her widowhood. As with Ms. Dennis, someone else connected them, in
this case an Orange County membership group for older women called
WomanSage Inc. that provides "transition makeovers" for local women.
Ms. Draper "moved me to see that I
could still be productive, self- supporting, sustaining, and most of
all a loving friend to others, and that was all worth living for,"
Ms. Elliott says.
By last year, she had bounced back
enough to come up with the idea, on her own, of a retreat for
herself, modeled after an expensive women's retreat in Cape Cod,
Mass. Ms. Elliott rented a cabin at Crystal Cove State Park in
Laguna Beach, Calif., for two nights for $120, and then invited Ms.
Draper and a few friends to lunch. "The four of us sat in this
beautiful cottage overlooking the ocean, and it was this surreal
moment where everything came together," Ms. Elliott recalls.
"That retreat was very special to me.
The makeover team didn't give me the retreat, and they didn't
suggest it, but through the resources they have, the forces all came
together. I had never been away in 40 years without my husband to go
to something. This was being away, spending the night, sharing a
cottage with another family. This was a big step for me."
Finding a life coach can be tricky,
because they aren't typically licensed or regulated. That means you
need to check references and credentials closely. One source of
leads is coachfederation.org11. Don't hesitate to ask for a free
initial session to see whether a coach is a good fit for your needs.
Inventory Your Interests
In retirement, it can be easy to wind
up on a treadmill of activity that isn't particularly meaningful.
Sometimes you have to take a step back and think about what you
really want to do with your time.
That was the case for Larry and Linda
Carnuccio, both 64. Before retiring, he was an engineer in West
Chester, Pa., and she owned a restaurant in Ocean City, N.J., where
they had a second home. When they retired at age 58, they filled
their days for five years taking care of Mrs. Carnuccio's parents.
After both parents died, the two retirees found their days still
filled with activity, mainly visiting with nearby children and
grandchildren.
Last year, Mr. Carnuccio looked up at
his wife one morning and asked, " 'We're busy, but are we doing all
we're supposed to be doing?' " she recalls. The same morning, they
happened to be flipping through television channels and noticed a
commercial for the "What's Next?" show, which was seeking retiree
applicants. They called up and volunteered.
"We were having trouble getting past
the big idea that we wanted to do something new -- something that
mattered -- and coming up with something specific," Mr. Carnuccio
explains.
The couple shared their concerns with
the show's staff. The producers "interviewed us separately, and they
interviewed us together. They followed us around and asked us what
it was we really would like to do," Mrs. Carnuccio recalls. Through
those interviews, the couple was forced to come up with some
concrete answers.
Although the idea of surveying your
own interests, and asking yourself some tough questions about the
way you're spending your time, might sound self-evident, people who
are running in place often need help sorting through their thoughts.
Needless to say, not all of us are going to have TV producers and
social-worker hosts as a sounding board, but you can have the same
kinds of conversations with friends or family members. Just give
them permission to push you and to force you to get specific.
The Carnuccios wound up pursuing
activities on two fronts: volunteering at national parks and helping
African villagers start small businesses. The catalysts: family
vacations to such parks and the couple's interaction with a home
health worker from Ghana. The worker told them about friends who
needed help buying their own boat so they could keep a larger share
of the money they took in from fishing.
As the Carnuccios learned, many
retirees are interested in combining volunteer work with travel and
in helping others finance their dreams. Here's how the pair moved
forward:
First, the national parks: A TV
producer working with the Carnuccios connected them with the
National Park Foundation, a Washington, D.C., nonprofit, which put
them in touch with the volunteer coordinator at the Everglades
National Park in Florida, where they worked for a week.
"We got there, and I learned so much
about the ecology, and so much about the environment," says Mrs.
Carnuccio. "It's the only place in the world where that particular
ecosystem exists. We were out on the water, and were helping
identify butterflies. I worked the desk and met people from
Australia, Germany -- all over the world.
"We're thinking about next year
working at a national park again. I've always wanted to work at
Yosemite. And now I have a direct contact," she says.
The easiest way to find a volunteer
job at a national park is to go to nps.gov12, click on "Getting
Involved," click on "Volunteer," and then click on "Opportunities."
You can then search by park or by state. If you'd rather inquire by
phone, you can call Joy Pietschmann, the National Park Service's
volunteer coordinator, at 202-513-7141.
Last year, 163,000 volunteers
provided 5.4 million hours of service -- and an estimated 50% of
those volunteers are retired, according to a National Park Service
spokeswoman.
As for helping the villagers in
Ghana, the Carnuccios discovered microfinance, which typically
involves making tiny loans to poor people starting modest
enterprises. "It's very easy for me to send a check to someone
already doing financing. But I want it to be more intimate, not
just, 'Here's my money,' " says Mrs. Carnuccio.
The makeover show helped connect the
couple with Opportunity International-USA, a nonprofit based in Oak
Brook, Ill. Mrs. Carnuccio is working with Opportunity International
to create a job in Ghana for her home health worker as a regional
loan officer -- and to raise $10,000 in donations to get the project
off the ground. The first loans would go to fishermen and other
local entrepreneurs, Mrs. Carnuccio says. Their repayments and any
interest collected would then fund additional loans, she adds.
Don Ingle, the nonprofit's spokesman,
says one way many retirees get involved is by giving $5,000 to join
the organization's board of governors, which is the ticket to travel
with the staff to the developing countries where Opportunity
International does much of its work. But there are many cheaper ways
to get involved, which you can check out at opportunity.org13.
If you're more interested in seeking
out a specific borrower to help, he suggests working through another
Web site, kiva.org14, where you can find would-be borrowers and
their stories.
Don't Be Afraid to Switch Gears
The numbers are heard frequently:
About two-thirds of baby boomers tell pollsters that they plan to
continue working, in some fashion, in retirement. It sounds good.
Staying active as we age promotes both physical and mental
well-being. That said, working in later life isn't for everybody.
Some retirees are discovering that the idea of returning to work
isn't all that it's cracked up to be.
Rich Wacker, 64, lost his job as a
mechanic for packaging machinery in Chicago six years ago. He got a
retirement buyout and quickly landed another contract job that
lasted two years. But when that ended, he realized that similar jobs
were drying up. For the next three years, he searched in vain for
another full-time opportunity.
Then, last year, he started working
with a vocational counselor provided through the "What's Next?"
show. The counselor lined up an interview for him with Manpower
Inc., with the idea that the employment-services provider would help
him find work. But Mr. Wacker left the interview after being asked
to take a mechanical-aptitude test. "I was offended they felt they
needed to check my skills," he says. He also made it clear to the
counselor that he didn't want to work retail, would be choosy about
his hours and wouldn't commute far from his home.
At that point the counselor, Arnold
Eppel, director of the Baltimore County Department of Aging,
persuaded Mr. Wacker to try volunteering, which would let him
control his hours and location. Grudgingly, Mr. Wacker agreed to try
answering phones for and visiting with residents at a Chicago
retirement community near his home.
To his surprise, the volunteer job
turned out to be a good fit. "I feel good because I've got someone
to talk to, and they feel good because they've got someone to talk
to them," he says. "I'd rather do this volunteer work than a
part-time job."
If you're interested in exploring
volunteer opportunities with commitments as short as a single day,
contact your local agency on aging, which you can find at
eldercare.gov15 or by calling 800-677-1116. A growing number of
these agencies, including the one for Baltimore County, provide
local volunteer-matching Web sites through which you can search by
ZIP Code or interest.
"We have 189 nonprofits on the list,"
Mr. Eppel says, "and I've placed close to 1,000 people so far in
volunteer matches."
--Ms. Greene is a staff reporter for
The Wall Street Journal in Atlanta.


Top assistant to Sears president Brennan
Lou Fryz --| 1933-2008
Avid golfer continued to work for him after retirement in roles with
other firms
By Larry
Finley - Staff Reporter - Chicago Sun-Times
March 21, 2008
Lou Fryz was the go-to gatekeeper in
the corporate offices of Edward A. Brennan, former president of
Sears, Roebuck and Co.
"She was a remarkable lady," said
Andrew McKenna, chairman of McDonald's Corp., where Brennan was a
board member.
"She knew everyone and everyone knew
her. She always knew the right button to push."
Ms. Fryz, 74, died Monday at Harris
Methodist Hospital, in Fort Worth, Texas, following a stroke while
playing golf on a local course.
"Her life was her work, and she
enjoyed her golf,'' said Charles Ruder, a retired Sears vice
president.
Ms. Fryz was named secretary to Mr.
Brennan when he was elected Sears president in 1980.
When he became chairman and CEO of
the company in 1986, she became his executive secretary and
administrative assistant.
After Brennan retired from Sears in
1995, she continued to work for him while he served on the boards of
several other companies, including McDonald's and Allstate Insurance
Co. He was executive chairman of American Airlines and board
chairman at Rush University Medical Center. He died in December at
the age of 73.
Ed Liddy, retiring chairman of
Allstate, a former Sears subsidiary, said Ms. Fryz was "always an
enjoyable and caring person to be around. Lou was extraordinary in
her professional role, handling complex or sensitive issues with
great skill and diplomacy."
A longtime resident of Elk Grove
Village, Ms. Fryz was born in Chicago on May 12, 1933, and joined
Sears in 1951 after graduation from Tuley High School. She became a
secretary for a company vice president and then went to work for
Sears President A. Dean Swift in 1973.
"She was Ed Brennan's right hand, day
in and day out," said Ruder. "She met everyone coming in the door to
do business with the chairman. She knew how to get things done. She
could make it happen."
While she could do many things at one
time, whoever came in the door always had her attention, he said.
"You would be the most important
person in the room," Ruder said. "She had outstanding judgment in
sorting out the important from the unimportant. Most of all, she was
a lady. She was 5 feet, 2 inches tall, but much taller in
personality."
"She always had time for her
friends," he said.
Ms. Fryz liked to travel and was on a
golfing weekend in the Dallas/ Fort Worth area when she died.
Her survivors include two cousins.
A memorial service will be held at 11
a.m. on March 29, in Grove Memorial Chapel, 1199 Arlington Heights
Rd., Elk Grove Village.


Lou Fryz, veteran aide to
Sears Chairman and CEO, dies at 74
March 19, 2008
Lou Fryz, executive secretary and
administrative assistant to former
Sears Chairman and CEO Edward A. Brennan for many years, died Monday
at Harris Methodist Hospital in Fort Worth, Texas after suffering
a stroke while golfing. She was 74.
A diminutive person -- she was 5 feet two
inches tall -- she loved to
play golf, and was on a golfing weekend to the Dallas-Fort Worth area
with friends when she was stricken.
One of the longest-serving employees in
Sears history, she joined the
company in 1951 and later was secretary to the Midwest Territory vice
president.
In 1973 she became secretary to Sears
President A. Dean Swift, and in 1980 was named
secretary to Edward A. Brennan when he was elected Sears president.
When he became Chairman and CEO of the
company in 1986, she
continued her long service as his executive secretary and
administrative assistant and again when
he retired in 1995.
He was an active board member of many
corporations, and Lou Fryz served as his right hand in an office
in the Wrigley Building in Chicago.
Andrew McKenna, a close friend of Brennan’s and chairman of McDonald’s
Corp., said of Ms. Fryz: “She was a remarkable lady. She knew
everyone and everyone knew her. She always
knew the right button to push.”
Ed Liddy, retiring chairman of Allstate
Insurance Co., said "Lou was
extraordinary in her professional role, handling complex or sensitive
issues with great skill and diplomacy. At the
same time, she was always an enjoyable and
caring person to be around."
A longtime resident of Elk Grove Village,
Ms. Fryz was born in Chicago on May 12, 1933
and joined Sears upon graduation from Tuley High School.
She is survived by two cousins, Darlene
Kocis of Ft. Myers, Fla.,
and Elaine Fricilone of Orland Park, a southern suburb of Chicago.
She was cremated Tuesday in Fort Worth, and a memorial service will be
held at 11 a.m. Saturday, March 29, at Grove Memorial Chapel,
1199 Arlington Heights Rd., Elk Grove Village.
Friends may make contributions in
her honor to:
Rush
University Medical Center
Office of Philanthropy
1700 West Van Buren Street, Suite 250
Chicago IL 60612


Target's inner circle
By Jennifer Reingold,
senior writer - CNN/Fortune Magazine
March 18, 2008
They're brilliantly creative. They're
enviably down-to-earth. They're universally imitated. And they're
entering one of the most challenging periods the company has faced
in 46 years.
(Fortune Magazine) -- You'd think
Robert Ulrich would be warming up for his victory lap right about
now. The soon-to-retire CEO of Target Corp. should be easing into a
lavish farewell tour filled with teary thank-yous, champagne-soaked
sendoffs, and a book of leadership secrets. After all, in his 23
years at Target (almost 14 of them as CEO), Ulrich has transformed a
Midwestern discounter into one of the most admired and imitated
companies in the world. Target now ranks 33rd on the Fortune 500 -
making it bigger than Microsoft, Pfizer, and PepsiCo, and more than
double the size of Cisco Systems.
There's just one thing: Though
everyone knows Target (TGT, Fortune 500), hardly anyone's even heard
of Ulrich. In fact, those who think his name rings a bell are most
likely picturing Robert Urich, the deceased actor from television's
Vega$ and Spencer for Hire. Even Ulrich's own employees often don't
recognize him during his twice-monthly store walks, when he strolls
the aisles dressed in Target's standard red shirt and khakis.
Neither he nor his company has ever before graced the cover of a
major magazine - highly unusual for a corporation its size. In fact,
Ulrich has deliberately stayed so far under the radar that Bob
Thacker, a former Target marketing executive now at OfficeMax,
dubbed him the "silent Sam Walton." Says Thacker: "He has no public
persona."
Ulrich's longtime No. 2, Gregg
Steinhafel, is equally reticent.
During a recent interview in his
tidy, light-filled office at Target's Minneapolis headquarters,
Steinhafel's Midwestern reserve fluctuates between polite and
downright uncomfortable. But then I cross the line. The offense:
asking how Steinhafel, 53, who will take over as CEO from Ulrich on
May 1, differs from his longtime mentor. The room grows silent. His
mouth gets thin. Arms cross. "This isn't about me," he says. Long,
awkward pause. "We're all a little bit nervous when we are talking
too much about [ourselves]," he allows, finally. "It should all be
about the brand."
Thanks to the efforts of this
mysterious Minneapolis-based crew, it has been. Target has been
around since 1962, but in the past decade its red-and-white circles
have become as instantly recognizable as the swoosh or the bitten
apple. A recent survey showed that an amazing 97% of Americans
recognize Target's target, which they see everywhere from the web to
New York's Museum of Modern Art to the company's 1,613 stores dotted
across the U.S., thanks to the $1.2 billion Target spent on ads in
2007. Facebook is filled with groups declaring their love for the
chain (and their hope that it will build a store in Seminole, Fla.,
or Davis, Calif.). Even Bullseye, Target's beloved bull terrier, is
so popular that it is the only animal besides Lassie to be enshrined
in Madame Tussaud's Wax Museum. By tweaking the discount model,
"they found a niche in what was supposed to be a niche-less world,"
says Richard Tedlow, the Harvard Business School professor and
author of "New and Improved: The Story of Mass Marketing in
America."
That niche has certainly been an
enviable one: Over the past decade, revenues have increased at an
annual rate of 12%, to $63 billion. Since 1994, when Ulrich became
CEO of what was then the parent company, Dayton Hudson, Target
stores' operating margins have jumped from 5.4% to 8.6%, while
Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) stores' have flattened, from 8.1% to
7.3%. The stock has returned 795%, compared with 284% for the S&P
retail index and 354% for Wal-Mart.
Behind Target's rise, however, is a
series of intriguing inconsistencies, such as an allergy to public
attention at a company for which image is the be all (and where the
longtime leader minored in journalism) is just one. Target is a
company that is remarkably open to outside inspiration while at the
same time so top-down that the CEO personally interviews candidates
for the top 600 positions and can identify a misplaced screw on a
gazebo. It markets itself to the Lexus set as a designer haven,
while at its core it makes money selling commodities such as bleach
and cereal. It is a big-box retailer that causes gasps of collective
ecstasy when it announces a new location as competitors are
vilified. Even the company's vision statement - "Expect more, pay
less" - is somewhat contradictory.
Now those contradictions are coming
to the fore as Target enters what promises to be one of the most
tumultuous periods in its 46-year history, starting with a
leadership change as critical as Sam Walton's retirement was to
Wal-Mart in 1988 or Jack Welch's departure was to General Electric
in 2001. According to company bylaws, Ulrich must step down after he
turns 65 in April. (He will stay on as chairman until January 2009.)
Such transitions are difficult in the
best of times. "Sam Waltons and Bobs are not replaceable at the same
level of intensity," notes Luis Padilla, a former Target and Sears
executive who now runs retail trade-show operator ENK International.
Target's changeover, however, is happening against the backdrop of a
weakening economy - which favors Wal-Mart's low-price strategy.
During the past two recessions Wal-Mart's U.S. stores bested
Target's in same-store sales by an average of 2.5 percentage points,
according to estimates from Goldman Sachs's Adrianne Shapira. In
2007's fourth quarter, Target's same-store sales slipped below
Wal-Mart's for the first time in more than four years. (To be fair,
Target's prior year comparisons were tougher to beat.) Last July
prominent activist investor William Ackman, who is best known for
taking down the bond insurers, took a nearly 10% stake in the
company and is pushing management for changes. The stock has dropped
27% since then, vs. a 2% rise for Wal-Mart. Says CFO Douglas
Scovanner: "It is as difficult to grow as it has been in my
[14-year] history here."
It might look bleak - until you
understand that Target's real competitive advantage isn't a logo or
a line of designer purses or a catchy slogan. It's the team that
created them.
***
The secret missives arrive via
spontaneous e-mails and thoughtful reports, wending their way to
Target marketing guru Michael Francis's desk from all over the
globe. Like a CIA agent's field documents, they provide
on-the-ground intel -dissecting, for example, anime culture in Tokyo
or heralding the return of a more vintage look for Christmas in
London.
The dispatches come from Target's
unique "creative cabinet," an elite, secret team composed of a dozen
people of all ages, interests, and nationalities. Selected on a
rotating basis by Francis, the members are paid annual retainers and
either file reports or are on call when needed to discuss a
strategic plan. "We identify them, and we cultivate the
relationship," says Francis, a stylish former Marshall Field's buyer
with bright eyes, a shock of dark hair, and such brimming enthusiasm
that he looks as though he might eject out of his seat at any
moment. Cabinet members were recently asked to weigh in on such
initiatives as Go International, a series of clothing lines by
high-end designers sold for up to 90-day stints, and a new,
slimmed-down cereal box with a self-locking top.
One cabinet member who agreed to be
named is 80-year-old Liener Temerlin, founder of agency Temerlin
McClain. Temerlin's qualification for membership: Francis was struck
by "the way his brain worked." Temerlin suggested that Target become
the founding sponsor of the AFI Dallas International Film Festival.
The company signed on, and the festival, now in its second year,
features a Target filmmaker award, a Target documentary prize, and -
natch - the Target Festival Lounge. Target's bull's-eye will be on
prominent display for the expected 45,000 film watchers and stars
like Charlize Theron, and the festival's 700 volunteers will be
wearing red jackets with Target logos. "Michael likes ideas that
have legs," says Temerlin.
Even Temerlin doesn't know what other
group members are up to, though, because unlike almost every other
"cabinet" on the globe, Target's never actually meets. "There's no
power in bringing them together as a body," Francis says. "The power
is in their working independently. We're the cross-pollinator. We're
the integrator."
That structure perfectly illustrates
the Target approach to innovation: highly creative yet tightly
controlled. Far more than other discounters - and most companies of
any kind - Target uses an enormous web of outside contacts to help
it figure out what belongs on store shelves. It is Target's ultimate
goal to walk that razor-thin line between the possible and the
practical - a dichotomy you see all over its sleek,
modern-art-filled downtown Minneapolis headquarters. Welcoming you
to the product design and development department is a whimsical
display of metallic tote bags fashioned into shimmering daisy
petals. But hanging from the ceiling there's a huge bank of red neon
screens showing the company's real-time in-stock levels (the amount
of product in stores relative to plan). The message is clear: There
is a free spirit expressed in Target's hopeful slogan, "Expect more,
pay less," but it is always tethered to reality.
Francis's job is to make sure
everything the public sees lives up to that motto. As such, the
1,400-person-strong "marketing" division he oversees actually
encompasses everything from the Target Foundation to publicity,
strategy, Target.com, and "guest" (i.e., customer) insights. Every
single thing that Target's logo appears on - from the donation of
$1,000 to an elementary school to the look of its private-label
garbage bags - goes through Francis. His team, naturally, put
together the manual of approved looks for Bullseye, the Target
mascot (using a Jack Russell terrier rather than a bull terrier is
forbidden; black eye circles rather than red are unthinkable!).
Like many people at Target, Francis,
46, has never worked anywhere but at Target and its former parent,
Dayton Hudson, which also owned Marshall Field's and Mervyn's until
2004. And although marketing executives are famously transient, not
one of his top reports has left for a competitor in more than 16
years. "The energy that flows through here is just amazing, and it's
fun," says Karen Gershman, senior vice president of marketing and a
35-year veteran, who started as a proofreader when there were just
42 stores. Another key member of the group: Minda Gralnek, a
voluble, stripy-haired 17-year veteran who has headed up many of the
company's best-known campaigns, including "Design for All" and the
current "Hello Goodbuy." Working closely with them, though he
reports to Sternhafel, is Michael Alexin, a relative newbie from
Eddie Bauer, who in six years has built an internal product design
group of 300. "They never know when they walk in if they are going
to be working on branded beef or the newest designer from Bergdorf,"
says Francis.
Each of Francis's reports - and, in
fact, everyone at Target - is expected to constantly grow his or her
own web of networks. To spot emerging young designers, for instance,
Target has for years contributed to design education projects
sponsored by the Council of Fashion Designers of America (CFDA).
When bag and shoe designer Jessie Randall of Loeffler Randall became
a finalist for the CFDA's Swarovski Award for Accessory Design in
2005, a marketing executive named Sally Mueller invited her to
Target to talk about a collaboration. Randall was particularly
surprised that the company was willing to accommodate her designs,
even giving in to her preference for woven material that was
actually - shocking for a discounter - woven. "Everyone said it
would have to be embossed, and I said, 'Please just try,'" she
recalls. "They always said, 'We don't want you to think about what
we might like. We came to you because we want your aesthetic'"
Randall's collection just ended a 90-day run in Target's stores.
To encourage, or rather ensure, a
steady stream of bold new ideas, even managers with a proven record
of hits must duke it out for portions of their budgets every year.
So although the events team won a big chunk of the 2007 pie with its
idea for a holographic fashion show - featuring virtual, not real,
models - it had to come up with something equally compelling if it
wanted funding this year. "We hold a huge percent of our dollars
back," says Francis. That helped generate such out-there ideas as a
temporary store floating in the Hudson River and a vertical fashion
show, where acrobats '"walked" down the side of a building. That
element of surprise, it turns out, has been part of Target's DNA for
some time.
***
On a summer afternoon in 1921,
farmers attending the Minnesota State Fair were hit by a freak storm
of blue, red, and yellow feathers - one million in all, dropped from
a biplane. Once they fluttered to the ground, fair-goers could see
that each feather was marked "Dayton's" after the Minneapolis
department store. The stunt was just one of many dreamed up by
banker and real estate developer George Draper Dayton, who happened
into retailing after he leased space in a downtown building to
department store R.S. Goodfellow's in 1902. The next year he bought
the outfit and renamed it the Dayton Dry Goods Co., creating a store
known for high quality and great salesmanship. There were cooking
classes and concerts, and Dayton even once cleared out an entire
floor to exhibit a famous biplane called the Curtiss Airship. In
1909 he opened a discount section in the basement.
Dayton, who died in 1938, was not a
native Minnesotan but quickly took to the straightforward,
ultra-polite, and nonshowy "Minnesota nice" culture that still
permeates Target today. "Buy and sell only merchandise of dependable
quality and honest value at its level," he preached. He was
succeeded by his son and grandsons, who, in addition to creating the
first enclosed shopping mall, established a company mandate to give
away 5% of pretax profits every year (a policy that continues today,
with a focus on community, arts, and education). Impressed by the
success of the basement store, grandson Douglas Dayton decided to
open a discount arm. The first Target, whose name was chosen because
it suggested value and also had visual impact, opened in Roseville,
Minn., in 1962 - amazingly, the same year both Kmart and Wal-Mart
began.
It was just five years later, in
1967, that Robert Ulrich signed on as a merchandising trainee at
Dayton's, fresh out of the University of Minnesota. A Minneapolis
native and the son of a 3M executive who is equally conversant in
African art, musical instruments, and Indy car racing, Ulrich rose
quickly, becoming president of the 215-unit Target Stores division
in 1984. Ulrich was not - and has never been - the typical
backslapping corporate leader. So lean as to resemble a scarecrow,
with a slightly red face and a predilection for cowboy boots, he
abhors small talk, isn't big on golf, and is quick to make a
decision - hence the handle "Bullet Bob." Ulrich's words, when they
come, aren't always in order, partly because his brain seems to be
firing faster than his tongue - which is pretty darn fast. "He's
just impatient," says Thacker, the former Target marketing exec. "He
doesn't suffer fools. If somebody's doing stupid things, he doesn't
tolerate it." Nor does he like to lose. "He is the most competitive
individual I have ever met - ever," says George Jones, CEO and
president of Borders Books and a Target executive in the 1980s,
remembering casual Ping-Pong games at Ulrich's house that became
bloody battles. "He would dive for a ball and literally run into the
wall."
That competitive streak heated up in
the mid-1980s, when Wal-Mart first made inroads into Target country.
With its everyday-low-price strategy, Wal-Mart began eating into
Target's sales while spending far less on marketing than Target,
which produced colorful - and costly - Sunday advertising sections.
Alarmed, Ulrich approved a test in 1985, converting 50 Target stores
in Albuquerque and Knoxville, Tenn., to emphasize low prices.
Quickly, Target found that it did okay in new stores but abysmally
in places where people were trained to expect that circular. "We
realized that we wouldn't ever be able to convert the entire chain,"
says Jones. "And we couldn't really run a bifurcated strategy."
Target faced a choice - one that
easily might have put it in the same spot as doomed chains like
Caldor or Bradlees. "Some people tried to do the dance on both
sides," says Ulrich. "As Wal-Mart got bigger and bigger, [other
rivals] started emulating them more, but they were still trying to
appeal to an upscale guest. They'd pile shit in the middle of their
aisle and then throw in some merchandise that wasn't the right
quality for the store level. It's the classic mistake."
Instead, Ulrich's team saw an
opening: If Wal-Mart was striving to be the king of logistics, with
enough muscle to force vendors to deliver on price, Target could
deliver on a great store experience and a product that was exciting
and unique. "Wal-Mart's strategy is in many ways more simple than
ours," says Ulrich. "It's more about price and more about mass
quantities. It's a hell of a competition, but ours is more dependent
on innovation, on design, and on quality."
What Target did have, thanks to its
department store sisters, was access to people who anticipated
desires. So Ulrich started a trend department, bringing over fashion
scouts from Dayton Hudson, who started by expanding the color
palette for T-shirts. "I can remember all the skepticism," says
Jones. "No one in mass had anything like this." In 1987, Ulrich
became CEO of Target Stores, and the chain's efforts grew bolder,
thanks in part to John Pellegrene, a onetime theater major who
arrived in 1988. He set about creating a marketing message that
dared to suggest that shoppers could get joy from buying a broom or
a toothbrush. Pellegrene's imagery, in effect, helped Target
spearhead a giant self-esteem program for the middle class. No
longer did people with limited budgets have to buy clothing that
looked cheap or dish towels that didn't match. They deserved - and
now could afford - more. In 1994, Ulrich's creative team turned that
idea into a company motto that is, even today, the strategic filter
through which everything must pass: "Expect more, pay less."
Target now had an increasingly public
image to keep up - both inside and outside its stores. In 1998 the
company agreed to give money to support the renovation of the
Washington Monument. But during an early visit to the site Thacker,
then vice president of marketing, was horrified: The sacred Target
logo was plastered next to rotting scaffolding and ripped plastic.
After much brainstorming, Target decided to sponsor an architectural
competition to build scaffolding. The winner was a well-known
architect named Michael Graves, who proposed an elegant, lighted
structure made of flexible PVC foam. During one meeting, Thacker
says Graves pulled out a stack of product designs "the size of a
phone book." "Do you think Target would have any interest?" he
asked.
Thacker, thunderstruck, took the idea
to his boss, Ron Johnson. Johnson, who left Target in 2000 and has
since rolled out Apple's wildly successful retail store strategy,
immediately saw the potential. Later that year Graves' iconic,
affordable tea kettles and kitchen gadgets hit shelves. "People have
within themselves a paradox," says Robyn Waters, a former Target
executive who now runs consultancy RW Trend. "Fit in and belong, and
also stand out and be unique." With Target's designer wares,
shoppers could do both. The company followed up with "mass/class"
collections by the likes of Philippe Starck and Todd Oldham, and
started to market Target as a destination for design.
These collaborations boosted Target's
brand, but its bottom line ultimately depended on people buying
their basics there. So in 1995 the company followed Wal-Mart's
Supercenter lead and opened its first SuperTarget. The new format
featured more consumable items such as food and toilet paper, to
persuade customers - 80% of whom are women - to do most of their
basic shopping there. Early results were disappointing; most experts
thought Target would never be competitive with Wal-Mart in food. But
Target persevered. The hope was that this would smooth out economic
cycles, but it was also a move into a lower-margin, more
commoditized business.
***
I am watching from behind a two-way
mirror as two people struggle to assemble a $299 Grill King gas
grill. Next to me is a camera crew filming the event, along with
Target's buyer for lawn and patio, Paul Bein, who is scribbling
notes. Already Bein has noticed that the screws are falling off the
screwdriver and will ask the vendor to magnetize them, and he wants
to have the customer service number listed more clearly on the
instructions.
We're in Target's user-experience
research center (ULab, in Targetese). And it's here, in this
windowless warren at headquarters, that Target works on the
practical side of its strategy. At the ULab, Target enlists real
"guests" to test anything they interact with in the store, from free
sanitizing hand wipes or gel (wipes won), to the company's latest
shopping cart (now being tested in Minneapolis and Tulsa, it has
handlebars that let you push it from any side), to new product
prototypes like ITSO, Target's affordable storage system that hits
stores in June (the name stands for "It's so fabulous!").
The ULab is just one of the ways
Target has tried to make sure that the creativity gets results. "It
certainly is possible to overemphasize innovation," says Ulrich. A
few years back, he says, "it was almost as though everyone in every
store was like, 'Oh, I have an idea and I'll try that.' We had to go
back and say, 'Wait a minute, we're operators.'"
That's where Steinhafel comes in. A
Kellogg MBA who spent two decades at Target merchandising everything
from toys to stationery, Ulrich promoted him to president in 1999.
By his own admission Steinhafel is a bit of a wonk. "I talk a lot
about gross margin rate and the key drivers to improve our metrics
and performance," he says. While it's easy to cast him as a B-school
suit, that's not totally fair: He literally grew up in retail,
working at the family store, Steinhafel's Furniture, in Milwaukee.
By all accounts, Steinhafel is well liked both inside and outside
the company, and he seems to consider Target a second home. In fact,
he met his wife of 25 years there. I'd love to tell you I'm a
swashbuckling entrepreneur like Richard Branson or Larry Ellison and
have this exciting life beyond Target and my family," he says. But
it wouldn't be true.
Steinhafel is also lauded for his
deep understanding of vendors and store layouts. Says Deutsche Bank
Securities senior retail analyst Bill Dreher, who recently visited a
store with him: "He was speaking like a real dyed-in-the-wool
garmento, not just some manager." Having a feel for how the products
are presented is essential: Top management reviews initiatives
before they launch, a process that takes place in the Status Room, a
special area at headquarters that is home to a constantly rotating
display of goods.
Ulrich, Steinhafel, and Troy Risch,
EVP of stores, each walk with Francis through the room every ten
days, checking out everything from table tents for Target's café to
Cherokee's new underwear line and giving feedback. Recently Ulrich
energized a print ad featuring wine. "Can we make this more
interactive?" he asked, suggesting the bottle pour wine rather than
just sit there. Once the trio has signed off, Francis brings in his
150 marketing managers, along with company lawyers, PR
representatives, and even the training folks, to talk them through
the marketing strategy behind every item. "We microman-age and we
think and sweat about every little aspect of the guest experience,"
explains Steinhafel. "We take the time to communicate to our broad
organization what they do, why they're doing it, how it fits the
whole."
***
Yet communication alone is not going
to solve the problems Target is facing now. Last fall Target, MTV,
and Go International designer of the moment Erin Fetherston put out
a two-minute-long "film" called "Morning, Till Night," which showed
a bevy of beautiful girls who lived in brownstones and attended
parties in sleek white spaces wearing flirty, ruffly clothes. It was
aspirational, of course, and that was the point. But on the floors,
under fluorescent lighting and hanging close to busy checkout lines,
Fetherston's clothes seemed to promise a bit less. That's the
reality of shopping at any discounter - but at image-obsessed
Target, that disconnect can be jarring. "They've had inconsistent
merchandising, and sometimes [it] doesn't live up to the marketing,"
says one former Target senior executive who walks the stores
regularly.
In February, Citigroup managing
director and analyst Deborah Weinswig polled shoppers and found that
though Target consistently underprices supermarkets on groceries by
about 10% to 15%, shoppers perceived the opposite: that Target's
prices were a full 20% higher. Moreover, though prices at Target
average out to within 1% to 3% of those of Wal-Mart, 87% of
respondents said they shopped at Wal-Mart because it was the
cheapest. "The problem could be that some of these stores are so
clean that you just assume you're paying more," says Weinswig.
Another issue may be that Target's
pioneering efforts, like its partnership with high-end fashion
designer Isaac Mizrahi, which recently ended after five years, have
become commonplace. To wit: Stella McCartney for H&M, Vera Wang for
Kohl's, Norma Kamali for Wal-Mart, and countless others.
Steinhafel says Target is making
adjustments in the current environment, but radical changes are not
in the works. "A strategy is a strategy," he insists. "Sometimes we
focus a little bit more on the 'pay less,' sometimes on the 'expect
more,' but the guardrails are here." Target has revised its internal
model to assume 2008 same-store sales growth of 2% to 3% per month
rather than the 5% of recent years. Target also has changed the
"messaging" in those famous circulars to emphasize price,
particularly in food and commodities, and they've also adjusted
worker hours to reflect lower traffic. Steinhafel has high hopes for
the company's Converse One Star partnership, which he says is "above
plan." Every five years Target rolls out a new store prototype, and
in October it will start testing the larger 2009 iteration, which
further emphasizes food, electronics, and pharmacies. (Consumables
and commodities make up 34% of sales, up from 30% in 2005.)
Target continues to open about 100
stores a year, a feat made easier by the fact that it has thus far
managed to avoid the barrage of bad press Wal-Mart has suffered. In
part, that's because of Target's very public philanthropy (no good
deed goes unpublicized here), but it's mostly because Target will
never be the biggest target - Wal-Mart is six times its size.
"Bentonville is a behemoth," Ulrich says, with a wink. "We're just a
nice, modest, little, average [company] trying to get to a
reasonable scale so that we can take care of things for our guests
and give them good value." Yet some have noticed that both Target's
and Wal-Mart's average pay in Minnesota, for example, falls below
the $12.24-per-hour that advocacy group Jobs Now calls a living
wage. "We feel they are worse than Wal-Mart because they are
masquerading as this benign employer," says Bernie Hesse, director
of special projects for Local 789 of the United Food and Commercial
Workers Union in St. Paul, which has unsuccessfully tried to
unionize local Target employees (no Target employees are unionized).
"They have gotten this pass because they have set up this foundation
and have this chic look, and that's more cruel than Wal-Mart.
Wal-Mart doesn't pretend."
The labor issues have thus far
remained behind the scenes, but a more pressing issue is the
emergence of William Ackman, founder of Pershing Square Capital
Management. Ackman, a very public activist investor, took a nearly
10% stake in the company last July. Even though his cash investment
(most of the stake is in options) is down 15%, he says he considers
Target "the best-managed retailer" around. Thus far he's met with
Ulrich, Steinhafel, and Scovanner to urge them to spin off part of
the credit card business and boost stock buybacks. (Target upped its
buyback and on March 12 announced it is in negotiations to sell half
its credit card receivables for about $4 billion.)
Taken all together, it's a tough
situation for any new CEO to walk into. Certainly it's fair to say
that if successors typically fall into two categories - those
representing continuity, like Steve Ballmer at Microsoft, and those
representing change, like Jack Welch or even Ulrich, Steinhafel is
poised to be the former. "There are always choices for succession,"
says Anne Mulcahy, CEO of Xerox and a longtime Target board member,
"and I think one of the [deciding factors] was Gregg's ability to
carry on the collaboration. Their ambition is about the company; it
is not about themselves as individuals."
And that, in fact, has always been
the point. "Ulrich has done his successor a service," notes business
historian Tedlow. "Sam Walton was an icon at Wal-Mart, and it's much
easier to succeed somebody who isn't." Says Ulrich: "I know there
are some people who have sort of this twisted concept that they
can't do it without me, but that would obviously be the worst legacy
that one could possibly leave." Instead he has built an organization
designed to outlive him - and his successor. "We're going to be here
for 40, 50,60 years," says Steinhafel. There's a decent chance
Target will still be a household name then. But there's an even
better chance its CEO won't be.
RESEARCH ASSOCIATE Susan M.
Kaufman contributed to this article.


Motorola Replaces
Two More Executives
By Sara Silver - Wall
Street Journal
March 17, 2008
Motorola Inc. has replaced two more
senior executives, adding to a stream of departures from the
troubled maker of telecom equipment.
Larry R. Raymond has replaced Steve
Strobel as treasurer of the Schaumburg, Ill., company. Mr. Raymond
most recently worked in private equity after 20 years at Sears
Roebuck & Co., ending as vice president and treasurer.
Also, Stephen Nolan is taking over as
the head of mobile devices in Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA)
for Motorola, a job that Mike Fenger has held. Mr. Nolan was vice
president of sales for Continental Europe.
A company spokeswoman said "the
leadership changes are part of an overall plan to swiftly transform
the senior executive team."
Since Greg Brown took over as chief
executive officer in January, the company has replaced its head of
finance, human resources and technology, among other senior
executives. Motorola's handset division, which makes up half of its
sales, has been losing money and market share since the decline in
popularity of its Razr phone.


Betting Big, Winning Big:
Interview With Bruce Berkowitz, CEO of
Fairholme Capital Management
By Lawrence C.
Strauss - Barron's
March 17, 2008 edition
BRUCE BERKOWITZ, PRESIDENT OF
FAIRHOLME FUND and CEO of Fairholme Capital Management in Miami,
runs concentrated portfolios -- and keeps a lot of powder dry to
pounce on opportunities as he looks for companies that throw off a
lot of free cash. This approach has paid off nicely for the firm,
which now oversees about $9 billion, the vast majority of it in the
no-load Fairholme1 Fund (ticker: FAIRX), of which Berkowitz is
president. Since its launch at the end of 1999, the fund has
finished near the top of its Morningstar category, with an annual
"since-inception" return of 16.27%, trouncing the S&P 500's
performance of minus 0.03% over the same period. The fund also bests
most of its peers based on one-, three- and five-year returns.
Barron's: You run a very concentrated
portfolio, with the top 10 holdings of the Fairholme Fund accounting
for roughly 70% of the assets. Why is that?
Berkowitz: If you can buy more of
your best idea, why put [the money] into your 10th-best idea or your
20th-best idea? If we're confident in what we do, then that's the
way we should do it. The only reason not to is a fear of being
wrong. The more positions you have, the more average you are.
How do you go about mitigating risk
in such a concentrated portfolio?
We consider risk to be the chance of
permanent loss, as opposed to volatility. Volatility is more of an
opportunity. There's nothing better than a one-time event that
allows you to buy a reasonable company at a great price. So we are
looking at the chance -- in terms of risk -- of a permanent loss,
based upon our own security research.
What kind of companies are you
looking for?
You can try to predict the future or
you can react to it. We are not any good at prediction. So we try to
position ourselves with companies that are capable of reacting to
whatever environment comes their way, because in the good times
companies take care of themselves. It's only in the bad times when
you want to find companies that actually plant the seeds of
greatness. There is Berkshire Hathaway there has been Leucadia
National [LUK], a holding company with a lot of different
businesses, and similar companies. They are always playing defense,
because you never know when something bad will happen.
In looking for stocks to buy, why do
you put so much emphasis on free cash flow?
Because it makes the most sense to
me. My first job was at a little corner grocery store, and it seemed
pretty simple. Cash goes into the register; cash comes out of the
register to pay for supplies, payroll and taxes -- enough to
maintain the business at a steady state. What was left over was the
owner's earnings, or free cash flow. That was really what the
business made.
Your cash position has averaged about
20% -- much higher than most mutual funds'. Why?
No. 1, we don't have to sell that
which is cheap [in order to] to buy that which is cheaper,
especially companies that we have gotten to know and love. And No.
2, where there are special situations, we can act quickly.
How about an example?
One is WellCare Health Plans [WCG], a
managed-care company focusing on Medicare and Medicaid. Last
October, some 200 federal and state agents raided its headquarters
in Tampa. That's when we started to look at the company, especially
because Fairholme is now based in Miami. WellCare, which serves only
Medicare and Medicaid, offers its members a better service then they
would get just on Medicare, something called Medicare Advantage. It
saves the government and taxpayers money, so they are trying to
reduce the growth of health- care costs. By using Medicare
Advantage, members have a wonderful prescription plan that they
didn't have with Medicare.
What else caught your eye about
WellCare?
If you study the history of
health-care companies or hospitals that get into trouble -- and
provided they have a reasonable balance sheet -- it's the same
scenario, usually taking place over a one-year period. Step A:
After, or during, the investigation, senior executives are replaced.
Step B: The institution pays some type of fine, which really ends up
just being a delay of game, and the company moves on. Top management
at WellCare has been replaced. If you look at the data, you'll see
that the company continues to grow and continues to get enrollment
in more and more counties in the U.S.
The stock fell off a cliff late last
October, presumably after the headquarters was raided. At around 37
last week, it was fetching less than 10 times 2008 profit estimates
of $5 a share. When did you start buying the shares?
We came in after it fell off the
cliff, when it was trading in the 30s late last year. As for the
investigation, the only thing we know was that there were 200 agents
that raided their campus. But, to this day, we don't know exactly
what is involved, except that these kinds of investigations usually
involve billing practices. Still, it's growing nicely and its
valuation is significantly less than those of a UnitedHealth Group,
WellPoint or Humana. The government needs all of these companies to
implement its health plans.
How did you develop this particular
idea?
Sometimes, it's by accident and being
in the right place at the right time. In January, Fairholme hired a
new chief operating officer, Charles Fernandez, who used to work at
IVAX, which was acquired by Teva Pharmaceuticals in 2006. He was the
audit committee chairman and he had intimate knowledge of
[health-maintenance organizations]. Then we [went] back to other
situations like this, including Tenet Healthcare and Health South.
Then we dug into the quality of WellCare. Based on Medicare and
Medicaid data, we see the growth. And there are certain indicators
you can't ignore, among them how WellCare has been building up cash.
Also, the independent directors acted quickly and wisely. It was
only a matter of months before they named a new executive chairman,
Charles Berg, formerly the CEO of Oxford Health Plans, which he
turned around and sold to UnitedHealth.
Where do you see the investigation
going?
WellCare will pay a fine. I'm sure
the company, like all other companies in this situation, wants to
resolve the issue as fast as possible. But this company generates $5
a share of free cash flow; it's too cheap.
Table: Berkowitz Picks 2 Let's move
on to another holding.
Mohawk Industries [MHK] is a carpet,
flooring and tile company that, together with Shaw/Berkshire
Hathaway, is one of the two big national companies in that industry.
It looks pretty cheap, trading at
roughly 12 times 2008 profit estimates.
The CEO, Jeffrey Lorberbaum, has done
a wonderful job of cutting costs, making some acquisitions and
growing the business. They are still doing very well in a difficult
environment. The stock gets pushed down, based on the residential
real- estate situation. But we still believe the company has the
ability to earn about $7 of free cash flow a share this year, even
in a difficult time, and into the future. They can earn much more
than that if things get better, and they are expanding in Europe.
Another of your holdings is Berkshire
Hathaway, whose A shares [BRK- A] currently trade around $131,000.
In the past, the market has made some
mistakes in valuing this company. But in general, right now the
market is within an intrinsic value range of anywhere from $125,000
to $175,000 per A share.
What gets the stock higher?
Just a-little-bit-different
assumptions in growth rates make a huge difference over time. Having
said that, Berkshire isn't going to be able to do what it's done in
the past, owing partly to the law of large numbers and because
Warren Buffett is getting older.
The company still has the ability to
outperform the index. But it's not going to produce the
27%-per-annum return he has achieved for the past 42 years. Buffett
is the first one to tell you that's pie in the sky. But at this
price, the company is unbelievably well-positioned to have one more
good growth spurt from this environment. You can sleep extremely
well at night holding this stock.
Sometimes a good bit of the trick to
investing is not losing. If you can focus on not losing, the winning
takes care of itself. For Berkshire Hathaway, the worse the
environment gets, the better it's going to do.
Because of what?
Buffett wants a tougher environment.
When you have $40 billion to $60 billion in cash on your balance
sheet, you need a tough environment, as that's the only way you are
going to be able to put that money to work. Berkshire isn't what I
would call a back-up-the-truck bargain value, but it's reasonably
priced.
Tell us quickly about St. Joe [JOE],
which is based in your neck of the woods.
A major real-estate developer and
forestry operation, they have over 700,000 acres in the panhandle of
Florida, most of it within a reasonable ride to the Gulf of Mexico.
Living here in Miami, you start to understand the state and its
business climate, partly by reading the state's master plan of
development. And you will see that an international airport is being
built now, right in the middle of St. Joe's land. And even though
St. Joe has made some mistakes in the past, specifically trying to
do too many things, they have at least made the wise choice of
raising some equity [by issuing more stock] so that they are pretty
much debt-free.
The stock's now around 40, down from
the mid-80s in 2005.
Under the right management, this is a
very, very valuable company, but it is tough to see because of the
long-term nature of the product and the lack of under-standing that
people outside the panhandle have of the panhandle. But we are
talking about what everybody wants: oceans, rivers, lakes, sand and
a nice climate.
Let's talk about a few stocks that
haven't worked out. Would you put Sears Holdings [SHLD] in that
category?
It's too soon to tell. I think Sears
is going to work out. Some of our greatest victories have come from
very difficult beginnings, and they have allowed us to buy more of
what we like at lower prices.
At 94 and change recently, the stock
was down about 50% from its peak nearly a year ago. What gives you
confidence in Eddie Lampert, the hedge-fund manager who took over
Sears in 2005 and serves as the retailer's chairman? They just went
through another top-management shakeup recently.
Look at Lampert's overall
performance. He has done a good job with retail holdings in the
past, and he understands Sears' assets. We've looked at a lot of the
tax assessments and location maps on many of their properties, which
have a lot of value and provide downside protection. We're in the
middle of a very difficult environment, so Sears is being priced for
a very, very difficult outcome. Meanwhile, it's making money, and
has significant assets, so I'm not concerned. We've had a position
since September. One error for us was Household International, a
credit-card finance company that HSBC acquired in 2003.
What did you take away from that?
You have to be very, very careful
about investing in companies that are captive to the capital
markets. We saw the same situation recently with Thornburg Mortgage
[TMA] and others. The capital markets decide to call in their loans
and these companies don't have good long-term financing -- it
doesn't matter how good they are. Well, they aren't that good
because they didn't take care of the balance sheet. If your
short-term financing is pulled, you're dead.
That's for sure. Thanks, Bruce.


Designing
Women?
Apparel Apparatchic at Kmart
Edited by Robin Goldwum
Blumenthal - Barrows
March 17, 2008 edition
CAN THE AVERAGE JOSEPHINE RESCUE
KMART? While other apparel retailers are trying to attract
high-profile designers to lend pizazz to their brands, Kmart is
going the opposite way. Last week, it began a nationwide search for
what it calls "the country's next style guru," à la reality
television's Project Runway or America's Top Model.
The contestants have until April 27
to post a picture of themselves decked out in their Kmart fashion
favorites on kmart.com\style3. The winner, who will be chosen by a
panel of celebrity judges, will join four other everywomen selected
in "blind casting calls" to represent Kmart in a national
advertising campaign.
"We thought if we could just get
people to try us we could win them over," says Bill Stewart, chief
marketing officer for the discount retailer, whose sales at stores
open at least a year fell nearly 5% in '07. He says the contest aims
to reverse some preconceived negative notions about Kmart quality
and service.
But some have questioned the idea's
effectiveness. "It's a slightly tired idea coming from a brand that
isn't already known to have a good point of view on design," says
Lucian James, president of brand- consulting firm Agenda. "It gives
the impression that Kmart is looking for help." The Kmart customer
"is looking for a bargain rather than anything that is
well-designed," says Derek W. Cockle, a professor at LIM (a college
for "the business of fashion") in New York. Both Kmart and parent
Sears Holdings (ticker: SHLD) have struggled with design initiatives
under the leadership of Eddie Lampert. The stock is down 46% in the
past year.
Stewart remains optimistic: "If you
take a look at our apparel, you'll find amazing style at an
incredible price."


Stepping Out After a
Makeover
By Michael Barbaro - New
York Times
March 15, 2008
It loomed just out of reach, a
tantalizing prize that Lord & Taylor could not win: Juicy Couture,
one of the hottest women’s clothing brands and a best seller in
rival stores.
Every year, the chief executive of
Lord & Taylor, America’s oldest department store, pleaded to have
Juicy Couture. And every year, its owner, the giant clothing house
Liz Claiborne, refused. “It was considered out of their league,”
said one person involved in the negotiations.
Not any more. With little fanfare,
Claiborne started selling Juicy Couture jewelry at a handful of Lord
& Taylor stores last month, with handbags expected soon, according
to people briefed on the deal.
The deal is the latest chapter in one
of American retailing’s most striking turnaround stories. With its
cluttered aisles, bland clothing and perpetually deep discounts,
Lord & Taylor not long ago appeared destined for the same doom that
befell once-venerable names like B. Altman, Sterns and Bonwit
Teller.
But the 182-year-old department store
chain has, improbably, come roaring back to life. Once-dowdy floors
are now lined with up-to-the- minute fashions. Cheap plastic
shopping bags have given way to hefty, luxurious ones. And formerly
empty stores are bustling with shoppers, giving the chain its best
sales figures in 15 years.
Behind the resurgence is a most
unlikely turnaround team: Jane Elfers, a tough-talking,
well-connected former department store buyer who is fiercely
protective of Lord & Taylor’s heritage, and Richard A. Baker, a
baby-faced financier who has virtually no experience running a
retail company.
When Mr. Baker, head of a buyout
firm, purchased Lord & Taylor in 2006, many people on Wall Street
assumed he would dismember the venerable chain by shutting down
stores and selling off valuable real estate. Instead, he has decided
to support Ms. Elfers, a chief executive who was already in place,
backing her with the trust and money needed to turn Lord & Taylor
around.
Together, the pair are plowing up to
$500 million into the chain’s stores, marketing efforts and Web
site. And Mr. Baker has embarked on a buying binge, starting with
Fortunoff, the jewelry and home furnishing chain, that will allow
him to fill in gaps in Lord & Taylor’s lineup of merchandise.
Lord & Taylor’s unexpected success
has turned conventional wisdom about modern retailing on its head.
Since about 2000, it was believed that department stores had to
merge with rivals to survive, wielding size to win over designers
and consumers. That encouraged Macy’s to buy its biggest rival, May
Department Stores, and Kmart to purchase Sears Roebuck.
Yet the 47-store Lord & Taylor chain,
one-twentieth the size of Macy’s, is proving that there is still
room for a small, regional department store chain. The era of
relentless mergers, it seems, has left many Americans rejecting the
coast-to-coast sameness of Macy’s in favor of something different.
Ms. Elfers, 46, who has worked at
Lord & Taylor for 19 years, calls the merger trend
“over-consolidation.” Consumers, alienated from the combination of
behemoths like Macy’s and May, which wiped out Marshall Field’s and
Hecht’s, are streaming into Lord & Taylor. “ People are looking for
a store to call their own,” she said.
For years, it appeared Lord & Taylor
would not have a chance to win over anyone, as it was bought and
sold by one out-of-town owner after another, careening from one
near-death experience to the next.
The chain, which opened in 1826,
started by dressing New York’s white glove set. Soon, it became a
fixture of upscale suburban shopping in the Northeast.
But in 1986, it was bought by May, a
national conglomerate. To squeeze more money out of the chain, May
managers began building Lord & Taylor stores in markets like
Florida, Texas and Georgia, where the chain — known for coats,
sweaters and boots — had little following. The stores carried less
expensive clothing brands. And new managers introduced steep
markdowns and bountiful coupons.
All of this dragged down the shopping
experience and prestige of Lord & Taylor, leaving it
indistinguishable from local rivals. “Lord & Taylor had no reason
for being,” said Paul R. Charron, the former chief executive of Liz
Claiborne, a major supplier to the chain.
Ms. Elfers is more blunt. “The store
had become a dump,” she said of that period.
When she became chief executive in
2000, Ms. Elfers decided to try something that rarely succeeds in
retailing: taking a tarnished brand back upscale. She insisted on
selling off 32 poorly performing stores that accounted for roughly
$400 million in annual sales; dumping the Liz Claiborne
conglomerate’s mid-priced clothing line, a $100 million business;
and recruiting higher-end designers.
Her vision? A Lord & Taylor
“comfortably above Macy’s, well below Neiman’s and Saks, elbowing in
between Nordstrom and Bloomingdale’s,” she said.
Customers started trickling back in —
and so did designers. Since 2003, Lord & Taylor has recruited more
than 200 new upscale brands, like Trina Turk, Tracy Reese and
Nanette Lepore for women and Lacoste, Hugo Boss and Ted Baker for
men.
Like consumers, clothing makers were
eager for an alternative to the mega-department stores. “We are all
rooting for Lord & Taylor to make the transition,” said Roger N.
Farah, the president of Polo Ralph Lauren.
For the first time in more than a
decade, sales at Lord & Taylor stores open at least a year, a
crucial yardstick in retailing, rose in 2006, before consumer
spending began to decline. Sales per square foot are an estimated
$250, higher than Macy’s but still well below Nordstrom.
In the midst of the turnaround, May
merged with the owner of Macy’s, once again putting the future of
Lord & Taylor in doubt. Rumors swirled that its stores would become
Macy’s. In the end, Macy’s chief executive decided to sell it for
$1.2 billion, making Lord & Taylor the only former May chain to
survive as an intact brand.
It was assumed that the new owner of
Lord & Taylor, NRDC Private Equity, would sell off the stores and
cash in on the value of locations like Lord & Taylor’s Fifth Avenue
store, alone worth an estimated $600 million.
Mr. Baker, the chief executive of
NRDC and the son of Robert Baker, a wealthy real estate developer,
seemed to fit that mold. Retail executives dismissed his purchase of
the chain as motivated by short- term profit, with some likening him
to Edward S. Lampert, the hedge fund manager who took over Sears in
2005 and has since run that chain on a shoestring, extracting
profits but turning off consumers.
But Mr. Baker is emerging as the
anti-Lampert: a serious figure in retailing committed to spending
the time and money necessary to rebuild a brand.
He has already spent $60 million on
stores, buying new carpet, chairs and fixtures. Another $100 million
will be used to modernize Lord & Taylor’s dated Web site, which is
attracting a paltry $6 million in sales a year.
“He is in it for good,” said Bud
Konheim, the chief executive of Nicole Miller, the contemporary
dress house. “He wants to put Lord & Taylor back on the map.”
Mr. Baker, 41, concedes that when he
bought Lord & Taylor, he attached a high value to its real estate.
“But what happened, literally days after signing the purchase
agreement,” he said, “is that the business started to perform better
than we expected.”
Monthly sales began surging 10 percent.
Macy’s decision to eliminate
century-old local brands, like Marshall Field’s in Chicago, pushed
shoppers into Lord & Taylor, where they found Ms. Elfer’s new,
higher-end store. “When people got there, they were surprised,
because Jane had transformed the stores,” said Mr. Baker, who holds
the title of chairman at Lord & Taylor.
In interviews, customers talked of
rediscovering Lord & Taylor. Ava Reich, 45, who has shopped
sporadically at the Manhattan store for a decade, said it “was not
as frumpy and middle-aged” as it used to be. “It’s more
contemporary, and it just looks really good.”
Despite the tough credit market, Mr.
Baker is considering buying several retail companies, in addition to
Fortunoff, which he purchased last month. He plans to put Fortunoff
jewelry and home goods into every Lord & Taylor store.
People familiar with his thinking
said Mr. Baker is considering Kleinfeld, the venerable New York
bridal chain, which could make Lord & Taylor a destination for
designer wedding dresses.
Ms. Elfers said that, even as dozens
of its competitors went bankrupt or were sold and renamed, Lord &
Taylor refused to be killed off.
“What else could be done to this
brand?” she asked. “The more barriers that are thrown in front of
it, the more people believe in it.”


Sears launches new effort to boost image, low sales
By Frank Washkuch - PR Week
March 17, 2008 issue
HOFFMAN ESTATES, IL: Sears has
launched a national campaign to reinvigorate its image amidst
slumping sales.
The goal of the effort is to boost
excitement in the brand, despite a gloomy economic forecast and
increased competition from other retailers, according to Kirsten
Whipple, Sears Holdings marketing and PR director. The campaign
launched on March 1 and is set to run through May.
Sears, which saw Q4 profit drop 47%
due to poor store performance, is reaching out to consumers to
reaffirm its usefulness, said Whipple.
"We know a lot of people have decided
that Sears isn't relevant to them," she added. "We know we have the
products, services, and experiences that are relevant for today, so
it's our job to get that message across."
Celebrity spokesman Eric Stromer,
host of HGTV's Over Your Head, has participated in about 50 TV,
radio, and print interviews regarding the initiative.
The retailer has launched a campaign
Web site, Reimagineyourself.com, featuring design tips from Stromer,
celebrity handyman Ty Pennington, of ABC's Extreme Makeover: Home
Edition, Redbook editor-in-chief Stacy Morrison, and "green" expert
Deborah Barrow.
The corporation also plans to
renovate the homes of 70 Armed Forces veterans on April 26, as part
of National Rebuilding Day.
Sears is working with Euro RSCG
Worldwide PR on the "Reimagine You" effort. The campaign
budget is undisclosed.
The effort is aimed at all consumers,
but Sears' partnership with Hearst to distribute a 32-page,
promotional magazine to 7 million people through 13 magazines and
newspapers is mostly targeting women, said Andrea Morgan, Euro EVP
and MD of consumer branding.
The promotion is running in
Cosmopolitan, O: The Oprah Magazine, Redbook, Marie Claire, Country
Living, Good Housekeeping, and Popular Mechanics.


Sears Holdings names
Kevin Holt retail operations chief
Ex-Meijer exec to head 1 of 5 new sections
By Sandra M. Jones -
Reporter - Chicago Tribune
March 13, 2008
Sears Holdings Corp. has named Kevin R.
Holt, a former Meijer Inc.
executive, to lead the company's retail operations business unit, one of
five umbrella units the retailer created earlier this year in a broad
reorganization.
Holt, 49, was named executive vice
president of store operations late last month, Sears spokesman Chris
Brathwaite said Wednesday, confirming a disclosure in a regulatory
filing. Holt joined the Hoffman Estates-based company in September as
senior vice president and chief effectiveness officer, charged with
"shaping the methods and processes" at the stores, Brathwaite said.
Sears is in the midst of a reorganization
that is dividing the company into many business units under the five
umbrella groups: brands, real estate, support, online and store
operations. It's a move that the company said is aimed at speeding
decision-making and increasing accountability but that some analysts
view as a precursor to asset sales.
Holt worked for 13 years at Meijer, a
closely held Grand Rapids, Mich.-based grocer
and general merchandise big-box chain, where he was most recently
executive vice president of retail operations. Meijer operates just
under 200 stores in Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Kentucky and Ohio.
In his new role at Sears, Holt will
oversee about 3,400 stores in the U.S. operating under names that
include Sears, Sears Grand, Sears Essential, Sears Hardware, Kmart and
Great Indoors. The chiefs of Sears and Kmart -- Don Germano, senior vice
president of Kmart, and Mike McCarthy, senior vice president of Sears
stores -- will report to Holt.
W. Bruce Johnson, who became interim
chief executive and president of Sears Holdings in February, had been
executive vice president of supply chain and operations for Sears
Holdings since the company was formed by the 2005 merger of Kmart and
Sears. James P. Mixon, a former Kmart executive, took over the supply
chain role in January as senior vice president of logistics and
transportation. Both Holt and Mixon report to Johnson.
Sears Chief Executive Aylwin Lewis was
ousted in January, and Sears is looking for a new CEO.


Sears names head of
retail operations
Chicago
Sun-Times
March 13, 2008
Sears Holdings Corp. has promoted Kevin
R. Holt, a former executive at Meijer stores, to head the company�s
3,400 retail stores, including Sears, Kmart, Sears Grand, Sears Hardware
and The Great Indoors, according to a filing with regulators.
Holt, 49, was hired at the Hoffman
Estates-based retailer in September, as senior vice president and chief
effectiveness officer.
His new title is executive vice president
of store operations. The retail business unit is one of several
operating units that Chairman Edward S. Lampert is creating to try to
turn around Sears Holdings declining sales and profits. Each unit will
have its own leadership and accountability. The reorganization may
result in Sears proprietary brands, such as Kenmore appliances and
Craftsman tools, being sold at rival retail stores.
The Hoffman Estates-based retailer
reported Feb. 28 that its fourth-quarter and fiscal year sales and
earnings declined.
Net income fell 47.5 percent, to $426
million, or $3.17 a share, in the fourth quarter ended Feb. 2, from $811
million, or $5.27 a share, a year earlier. Net sales fell 6.8 percent to
$15.07 billion from $16.18 billion in the period a year earlier.
Prior to joining Sears, Holt most
recently served as executive vice president of retail operations at
Meijer, a Grand Rapids, Mich.-based grocery and mass merchandise chain
of big-box, standalone stores.
Interim CEO and President W. Bruce
Johnson is leading Sears Holdings while the company searches for a new
CEO to replace Aylwin Lewis, who left in January.


Sears Holdings hires ex-Hilfiger exec for Kmart's women's division
By Monée
Fields-White - Chicago Business
March 10, 2008
(Crain’s) – Sears Holdings Corp. hired a
former executive at Tommy Hilfiger Corp. to head its women’s clothing
division at its Kmart stores.
Stephen Donnelly has been named vice-president and general merchandising
manager at Kmart and starts March 24, spokeswoman Amy Dimond confirmed
Monday.
Kathy Douglas, a vice-president and
general merchandise manager who headed both women’s and children’s
attire, will oversee just children’s goods.
The trade publication Women’s Wear Daily
earlier reported Mr.
Donnelly’s hiring.
Mr. Donnelly, who previously worked at
Eddie Bauer and A/X Armani Exchange, comes to Sears Holdings amid a
reorganization that will split the company into five divisions,
including a segment that will focus on boosting profit and sales of the
company’s key brands.
The move, announced in January, is part
of Sears Chairman Edward Lampert’s efforts to reverse the slump at Sears
and Kmart stores.
Sears Holdings' net income dropped 48%
and sales declined 6.8% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2007.
Sales at stores open at least a year, a
key retail measure, fell 4.5% with home appliances and apparel faring
the worst.


Product Review:
Sears Kenmore Elite Washer and Dryer
By Alexandria Jackson
- log Critics.org
March 10, 2008
In March of 2006 I decided to splurge
on a top-of-the-line washer and dryer. I use Consumer Reports
regularly and I research anything I'm about to buy months before
purchase. When I researched the Kenmore Elite Oasis Washer and
Dryer, I read nothing but fantastic reports.
When I got to Sears, I asked to see
the washer and dryer I'd been salivating over for months. I saw the
washer and dryer on a pedestal and I almost fainted. They were
actually pretty in addition to being energy efficient! I was even
more ecstatic when I saw the Canyon Capacity washer. You could fit
an entire sleeping bag in that thing!
In my current washer, I was up to
eight loads of laundry per week. My fantasy was that I could cut
that down to four loads with this beautiful set. I spent more money
than I should have on the washer and dryer. Final cost: $1500. I
declined the extended service plan; after all, Consumer Reports says
most extended warranties are for suckers. Plus, the Kenmore name was
behind them, not to mention the Sears name.
Two months after I was in possession
of my luxurious washer and dryer, the washer began beeping and
emitting an error code. The code meant nothing to my owner's manual
or me. I called a technician. He repaired whatever problem it was
and wished me well. Five months later, it began displaying a new
error code. I called the technician who repaired it without
speaking. I should have known something was amiss.
At the thirteen-month mark, one month
outside of the manufacturer's warranty, it began cycling randomly
through its water temperature levels. It was like Russian roulette.
I never knew which temperature I was going to get. In addition to
having several laundry mishaps due to the variable water
temperature, the washer began beeping incessantly. I had to add a
second door to the laundry area so I could simultaneously sleep and
wash a load of clothes.
I called Sears and received the
proverbial runaround. I was encouraged to buy the $129 extended
service plan. I refused on principle because I had purchased the
top-of-the-line model and did not expect further problems. Sears
said it couldn't help me unless I paid the $95 service call. I told
them to forget it; I'd live with the beeping and the crazy water
temperature.
I did not know the beeping was about
to herald a worse problem. The washer actually refused to wash my
clothes. I looked on line and discovered thousands of people having
the exact same problem with these washers. The FixYa guy indicated
that we all needed a new Interface Relay and that a technician would
have to come out.
I contacted Sears about the "known
defect" since so many people were having the same problem. They
reported that statistically it was not a "known defect" and they
were therefore not responsible for the problem. I demanded a free
technician. They refused.
I filed a Better Business Bureau
complaint. Sears responded by sending out a technician for free.
Sears called to set up the event - a five-hour window on one of my
working days. I agreed to take the time off work and made sure they
knew all symptoms pointed to a problem with the Interface Relay.
The technician showed up and
diagnosed it with, "You need a new Interface Relay." I said, "I
know." He said, "I have to order the part and you need to pay me
before I can order the part." I said, "What? I told them about this
two weeks ago!" The poor technician just shrugged. I tried to
contact the customer service representative, but surprisingly
enough, I could not reach her. I ended up shelling out $170 for the
part.
After I took another day off work for
the five-hour window of repair service, the technician told me on
the sly, "Buy the warranty. These things are going to go bad every
year." I was horrified that I'd have to pay the extortion fee of
$129 a year on something I'd paid $800 for 15 months previously.
I did not buy the warranty. I am an
idiot. I should know when to just take my tube of Vaseline and go
home.
Today is the anniversary of my
possession of the washer and dryer. The dryer has decided it won't
run unless I stand there and hold the "start" button. I went online,
and guess what? Thousands of people are having the same trouble.
I called Sears and bought a
three-year extended warranty for both. This made for an additional
$600 price tag to insure I won't have to pay the parts, labor, and
service charge to have a technician come out to my home to repair my
"luxury" items.
I will never buy another product from
Sears again as long as I live. The entire customer service process
is laughable. I will encourage all and sundry to stay away from any
Kenmore product, and if they simply must buy that brand, they
absolutely must pay the extortion fee - otherwise known as their
Master Service Plan. That is the price you must pay for a Sears
product in my humble and dissatisfied opinion.
----
Alexandria Jackson is a psychologist
by day and a Blogcritic by night. She is the author of Don't Take it
Personally: Keep Your Self- Esteem in a Relationship.
Comments
#1 — March 10, 2008 — maskay
You are not alone--I had similar
issues with a Kenmore washer and dryer (not top of the line, but
about $800 total) from Sears. Problem after problem, and I always
had to take 2 days off work because they don't equip a technician
with the basics in his truck. For example, my plastic tub in the
washer cracked. Instead of ordering the part when I made the
appointment (I was too stupid to see the crack, the techician had to
see for himself.) I had to go through 2 appts. this was about 6
months after my warranty ran out.
With the dryer it was a relay or
something so it would no longer start. I could see not having a tub,
but a part that's less that 4 inches?
Let's just say I've paid over 50% of
what I originally paid for the washer and dryer. I also filed a
complaint with the BBB but they could do nothing.
Sadly, I bought kenmore because my
parents had a kenmore washer and dryer from before my birth until
after I graduated from college. Only a few minor repairs needed that
my father could handle.
Next time I'm goig el cheapo--when it
breaks I'll just buy new, since most repairs cost a minimum of $300
anyway.
#2 — Alexandria [URL]
I would feel a lot less unhappy if
the BBB or Sears customer service understood that we aren't trying
to get something for free - the product is bad and should be
recalled.
And you're absolutely right. We
should consider washers and dryers disposable, just buy the cheapos
and toss 'em when they break.


Going to the
Company Elders for Help
By Matt Richtel - New York
Times
March 10, 2008
SANTA CLARA, Calif. — On a recent
Saturday afternoon, John Toppel, a retired Hewlett-Packard sales
manager, did not spend his leisure time golfing or mowing the lawn.
He spent it at a local electronics store extolling the virtues of
H.P. laptop computers to customers.
He was not paid by the store or by
Hewlett-Packard, for that matter. Mr. Toppel, 62, left the
technology company four years ago, but he remains a volunteer
cheerleader for H.P., one of thousands of its retirees whom the
company is trying to galvanize into an auxiliary army of senior
marketers, good-will ambassadors and volunteer sales people. None of
them get paid; they do it, they say, because of their affection for
the company.
“I feel like I have two marriages: a
wonderful marriage at home for 36 years and a wonderful marriage at
H.P.,” Mr. Toppel said. “I guess that’s now a former marriage, but I
still have strong feelings for it.”
Across the country, companies are
making use of retirees as part-time or temporary workers. They are
taking advantage of not only their expertise, but also their desire
to stay involved and engaged with the world through work.
Hewlett-Packard’s twist is
particularly unusual in Silicon Valley, where long-term company
loyalty is as rare as a pinstripe suit. Here, people switch jobs and
companies on Internet time, chasing the latest technology
developments and the chance to cash in stock options or catch an
initial public offering.
But Hewlett-Packard, founded in 1939
before there even was a Silicon Valley, has tens of thousands of
alumni, many who spent decades at the company, based in Palo Alto,
Calif. Old-timers express a familial loyalty, telling stories of
eating meals and drinking coffee with the founders, David Packard
and William Hewlett, or receiving a baby blanket from Mr. Packard’s
wife, Lucile, on the birth of a child.
In a move it says reflects a renewed
emphasis on grass-roots marketing in the Internet era,
Hewlett-Packard is seeking to turn its retirees into a valuable
asset that other, younger tech companies lack.
“We’re moving forward with an effort
to capitalize on the fact we have these great brand stewards,” said
Michael Mendenhall, chief marketing office of Hewlett-Packard. “When
you look at the importance of great word of mouth and great
third-party endorsement — who better to do that than your own
employees?”
Mr. Mendenhall appeared last Monday
at the retirees’ annual gathering with Hewlett-Packard’s chief
executive, Mark Hurd. They urged more than 500 retirees who had
gathered at the Computer History Museum in Mountain View, Calif. —
hundreds more watched over the Internet — to do volunteer sales,
join local alumni clubs, get involved in legislative issues the
company cares about and represent Hewlett-Packard in philanthropic
and community events. The company’s goal is to inspire involvement
from as many as 40,000 retirees.
Mr. Toppel, who did a recent stint as
a volunteer salesman at Circuit City, said he gladly is
participating because he feels great loyalty to the company. He and
others also say they still own shares in the company, giving them a
financial incentive to contribute. And, Mr. Toppel said, the company
is giving a renewed sense of purpose to retirees.
“It makes them feel good, makes them
part of it, makes them feel wanted,” said Mr. Toppel, who spent 31
years at Hewlett-Packard and now is a professor of management at the
business school at Santa Clara University.
The idea of encouraging retirees to
work for free has inspired some criticism. Susan Ayers Walker,
founder of SmartSilvers Alliance, which offers consulting services
to business looking to connect with older consumers, says she is
offended that Hewlett-Packard can’t find some way to compensate
volunteer workers, particularly salespeople.
The company said participation is the
reward. “It’s about being part of the H.P. community and its rich
heritage,” said Mr. Mendenhall. “That’s what they get.”
Their involvement can be bittersweet,
say some of Hewlett-Packard retirees. The oldest among them — now
into their 90's — are the last of the generation that helped build
Silicon Valley, watching it evolve from endless fields of almond,
plum and cherry orchards into laboratories, semiconductor companies
and software makers.
They also are workers from a bygone
era of paternalistic employers that promised lifelong employment.
That era is largely gone across the country, including at H.P.,
which broke a tradition of avoiding layoffs and has terminated more
than 30,000 workers over the last five years.
The contrast between the
Hewlett-Packard of yesterday and the typical Silicon Valley company
of today is especially pronounced, said Joe Schoendorf, 62, who
spent 18 years at H.P. and is now a venture capitalist. “If I look
at a résumé today, it says two years at Netscape, two years at
Google, two years at Amazon, and then Facebook. That used to be a
bad résumé that meant the person couldn’t keep a job,” said Mr.
Schoendorf. “There is no institutional loyalty.”
Leslie Berlin, a project historian
for the Silicon Valley Archives at Stanford, said the ethos has
probably changed today at Hewlett-Packard, which now has 172,000
employees. But in Silicon Valley’s history, the loyalty engendered
by Hewlett-Packard stands alone, she said.
“This is quite a unique phenomenon,”
she said. “They represent the collective past of this place,” she
said of the older retirees.
To be sure, companies like I.B.M. and
Lockheed Martin have loyal retiree groups. So do relatively newer
entrants into the Valley’s economy and culture, like Intel. A
tight-knit network of retirees in the area, alumni from places like
SRI International and Xerox Palo Alto Research Center who helped
build the Valley, have an enormous sense of tradition. But they
often are tied not to a company but to their work on specific
projects or technical standards.
In the case of Hewlett-Packard,
retirees talk about how the company treated them with respect. The
company was, historians say, the first to adopt flexible work hours,
and it put an early emphasis on ideas rather than titles.
Last Monday, Chuck Ernst, 91, a
former customer service manager, attended the retiree meeting with
Frank Musso, 75, who spent 25 years at H.P. They said they might not
have too much time or energy to get involved in volunteer projects,
but they liked the way the company was reaching out. They said the
company’s embrace of its retirees started in earnest several years
ago and has been intensifying.
“H.P. wants us to feel connected, and
they’re doing all this work to keep us connected,” said Mr. Ernst.
He said he thought the company probably ought to pay retirees to get
involved in sales, but it’s not something he feels strongly about.
“We’re proud of the company, and we don’t hesitate to let people
know it.”
Some former employees also do not
hesitate to let the company know how it might do better. One of them
is Art Fong, 88, who joined Hewlett-Packard in 1946 after being
recruited by Mr. Hewlett over a spaghetti dinner. Every few years,
Mr. Fong sends the company a technical suggestion, as he did on the
day of the retiree meeting.
“I suggested some improvements to
their new TVs,” said Mr. Fong, who spent 50 years at the company, 40
of them full time, and, thanks to stock ownership, retired a wealthy
man.
He said he has another suggestion for
the new Hewlett-Packard: “Be nice to your employees. Treat them like
family.”


Big Names Are Trading Teams,
But the Game Is Retail Fashion
By Eric Wilson and
Michael Barbaro - New York Times
March 8, 2008
It's free-agency season in American
fashion.
Isaac Mizrahi, the everyman's fashion
oracle, is about to leave behind his wildly popular cheap-chic
clothing collections at Target to be the creative director for Liz
Claiborne, the stalwart shopping-mall label.
Dana Buchman, a longtime favorite of
customers at upscale stores like Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman
Marcus, is decamping this fall to the budget-conscious Kohl's.
And Tommy Hilfiger, a constant in
department stores like Dillard's and Bon-Ton for two decades, now
says he will sell his clothes only at Macy's.
Over the next year, an unusually
large group of famous clothing designers, motivated by lucrative
deals, plan to shift their retail allegiances, in many cases
abandoning stores and customers who have supported them for years.
So like angry sports fans wounded by
a the trade of a star player, consumers (and even stores) are left
to wonder: What ever became of loyalty?
The sudden flurry of designer address
changes - J. C. Penney, Gap, Old Navy and Wal-Mart have also
recruited their own designers over the last six months - is likely
to create jarring transitions for American consumers as they try to
navigate the once-familiar aisles of their local clothing chains,
wondering where to find Isaac, Dana and Tommy, among others.
"There will be a period of
dislodgment and disenfranchisement," said William L. McComb, chief
executive of Liz Claiborne, whose efforts to revive flagging sales
hinge upon his company's aggressive wooing of Mr. Mizrahi from
Target.
After Claiborne announced the move in
January, Target responded by saying it would end its relationship
with Mr. Mizrahi at the end of the year, leaving, for now, a void in
its lineup.
The motivation behind these
defections and poachings is equal parts economic and egocentric.
Clothing manufacturers are responding to a seemingly insatiable
appetite for fashion across every income bracket. They are also
benefiting from a lively, and occasionally vindictive, competition
between mass retailers (Wal-Mart and Kohl's) and the traditional
department stores (Macy's, Bloomingdale's and Lord & Taylor) that
remain after years of industry mergers.
When it comes to luring designer
brands, it seems that popularly priced chains are suddenly on equal
footing with their glossier rivals.
For decades, department stores like
Saks had a virtual lock on designer clothing labels, until Mr.
Mizrahi broke that barrier with his collection at Target in 2003,
which, rather than burying his career, became an estimated
$300-million-a-year success.
Once the stigma of crossing into
mass-retail territory lifted, such high-low designer partnerships
became commonplace, with Vera Wang selling a line at Kohl's and
blue-chip names like Karl Lagerfeld and Stella McCartney creating
lines for H&M.
All this activity has raised a bar
for traditional retailers like Macy‚s, which rarely had to fend off
competition from below. Its 2005 merger with May Department Stores,
which created the country‚s largest department store company, was in
part an effort to use size to wield more influence over designers.
The democratization of design forced
Macy‚s to claim exclusives it never before needed, and to punish
designers who cut deals elsewhere. When Ms.
Wang went to Kohl‚s, Macy‚s dropped her popular lingerie line. The
chain cut orders from Liz Claiborne after the company offered a line
called Liz & Co.
to Penney.
"If the product is available in 50
different points of distribution in a five-mile driving radius,
convenience becomes the No. 1 reason to buy a brand," said Terry J.
Lundgren, chief executive of Macy's. "And so we lose."
That's why Macy's, which has begun
promoting its designer relationships in television ads, persuaded
Mr. Hilfiger to drop his other partnerships, infuriating regional
department store chains like Bon-Ton, Belk and Dillard's that had
promoted his brand.
"The stores we exited were very
upset," Mr. Hilfiger said. "I'm sure we'll lose certain consumers in
certain areas, but I'm sure the gain is much greater than the loss
could potentially be.‰
In recent months, the designer
poaching has devolved into open warfare among retailers, leaving
some battlefield casualties.
Only a year ago, Dana Buchman was
designing a $6,950 leopard-patterned swing coat made, with real
mink, for the affluent women who shopped for decades at high-end
stores like Saks Fifth Avenue and Bloomingdale‚s.
But as Liz Claiborne tried to
reorganize its business because of declining sales from department
stores like Macy's, the company decided to close the Dana Buchman
line and reinvent it as a bargain-conscious brand for Kohl's, where
no article of clothing is sold at full price, and most are under
$100.
Ms. Buchman does not expect most of
her customers will follow her there.
Judy Golubchick, 60, a loyal Dana Buchman shopper, is worried that
the Kohl's line "will be lower-quality product" than what she buys
at Ms.
Buchman's store off Madison Avenue in Manhattan. That location is
expected to close March 26.
"It's very sad for me," Ms.
Golubchick said, dressed head to toe, she proudly announced, in Ms.
Buchman's fashions.
"It‚s traumatic," Ms. Buchman said of
losing customers. " Traumatic." But, she added, "I am not stuck on
one kind of retailer, or one kind of customer.
It's a big country and everyone wants fashion."
For some retailers, the introduction
of upscale names like Ms. Buchman offers a handy means of
reinvention, and building buzz among customers.
Gap is bringing out clothes by
Patrick Robinson, who previously designed the ultramodern Paco
Rabanne collection in Paris. Old Navy has turned to the 1990s
phenomenon Todd Oldham (who once made a dorm-themed collection for
Target) to promote its happier, hipper new image.
And last week, Wal-Mart announced it
had hired Norma Kamali, an influential designer since the 1970s who
had just ended a relationship with Everlast making designer sweat
pants for Bloomingdale‚s, to create a new look for its clothing
department.
Not all deals have been successful.
Oscar de la Renta's venture called O Oscar has not gone over well at
Macy's, and Wal-Mart's previous fashion effort, a label by Mark
Eisen, was a flop.
Perhaps the most ambitious, and
closely followed, introduction is at J. C.
Penney, where Ralph Lauren began selling a broad collection of
fashions and housewares in February. Because Mr. Lauren already
sells his Polo collection to virtually every department store ˜
including the prickly Macy's - the collection for J. C. Penney is
called American Living, with no mention of Polo or Ralph Lauren in
the stores.
But the modern American shopper is
pretty savvy: At the Garden State Plaza in Paramus, N.J., last week,
few customers failed to discern Mr. Lauren's influence on the preppy
American Living line.
The displays were immaculate, with
whitewashed picket fence walls and displays of fake hydrangea in
metal pails, and piles of polo shirts, floral bedsheets, paisley
neckties, wheelie bags and even fuzzy toilet seat covers.
"It just looks like Polo, even if it
doesn't say so," said Ethel De See, 77, who bought American Living
leather belts and towels.
Ken C. Hicks, president of J. C.
Penney, said the precise name on the label is unimportant because
"the merchandise stands up on its own."
"It's designed by the greatest
American designer and being sold at the best American department
store."
Asked about Mr. Lauren's line for
Penney, Mr. Lundgren, Macy's chief, replied that "no one has ever
heard of that brand."
Mr. Hilfiger was slightly more
diplomatic. "People want the authentic and the original Ralph
Lauren," he said. "I don't know what American Living does for Ralph.
There may be some confusion or some conflict, I'm not sure. But I
will say it is better than the merchandise that exists in Penney's
today."


ADVERTISING
New sheriff at Sears
Arrival of marketing VP from West Coast could
mean changes to strategy with lead agency
Young & Rubicam
By Lewis Lazare - Chicago Sun-Times
March 6, 2008
Sears is adding ammunition in its
marketing department. Robert Raible, a former vice president of
marketing at a West Coast department store chain called Mervyn's, has
joined the Sears marketing team as vice president, integrated marketing
communication. Raible apparently will assume many of the duties of
Rebecca Case, vice president of marketing, advertising and creative, who
we announced on Monday is leaving the company after a seven-year stint.
Richard Gerstein, Sears chief marketing
officer, just broke the news about Raible in a memo to the troops at
Sears' advertising agencies, including, of course, Young &
Rubicam/Chicago, which is the lead agency for the struggling retailer.
Gerstein said Raible will "lead, communicate and evaluate the
organization's marketing communications activities." And Raible will
report directly to Gerstein.
Raible's arrival can't be altogether
comforting news for Y&R, or any of the other shops with which Sears
works. At least Case was a known entity. Y&R will have to figure out
quickly whether Raible, as Gerstein's point man, intends to rethink and
shake up the retailer's marketing strategy or stick with something
closer to the status quo, which doesn't appear to have been working too
well. This week Sears unveiled a new "Reimagine You" spring ad campaign
in conjunction with Hearst publications.
In his memo to the ad agencies, Gerstein
also said he had "mixed emotions" about Case's departure. Per Gerstein,
Case had expressed a desire to leave Sears as far back as last July, but
agreed to stay on until a replacement could be found


Macy's Joins Trend of Retailers Ending Monthly Reports
By Vanessa O'Connell - Wall
Street Journal
March 6, 2008
Monthly retail sales have long been
an important tool for gauging the health of the American economy as
well as the retailers themselves.
But tomorrow, when retailers around
the country report their February sales for stores open at least a
year, the statistics will be a lot less meaningful. Macy's Inc., the
nation's largest traditional department-store operator by revenue,
will stop making its monthly disclosure, joining other retail titans
such as Sears Holdings Corp., Home Depot Inc. and Dollar General
Corp.
The monthly reports have actually
lost significance as an economic indicator over time. For one thing,
they don't reflect two big shifts in the way consumers shop. The
booming category of online sales isn't included in the widely
watched numbers. And gift cards, which have grown in popularity,
aren't logged as sales until they are redeemed, temporarily
distorting monthly sales, especially during the holidays. The timing
of holidays on the calendar also can skew monthly sales figures,
making it harder to see a meaningful trend.
But for investors, the monthly
numbers provide a timely peek at sales trends that is even more
important with the economy shaky. Macy's decision to withhold its
monthly sales now underscores the increasingly difficult environment
for U.S. retailers, many of which have seen their shares tumble in
recent months amid mounting fears of a recession. Two other
retailers, Jos. A. Bank Clothiers Inc. and CVS Caremark Corp.,
abandoned reporting monthly sales as of January.
"There's obviously a common theme
among all of these retailers," says Ken Perkins, president of Retail
Metrics Inc., a research-consulting firm. "This is a trend when
things get lean and difficult." He expects the February sales
results to reflect another difficult month, and is projecting an
average growth in same-store sales of 1.2%.
"Giving less information at a time of
high investor concern heightens the perception that there might be
bad results," says David Dreman, chairman and chief investment
manager of Dreman Value Management, which owned about 3.4 million
Macy's shares as of Dec. 31.
Calling the decision by Macy's
"unbelievable," David Berman, a hedge-fund manager at Durban
Capital, said abandoning the disclosure of monthly sales hurts small
investors more than big investors, who have better access to
management and can hire professionals to help them collect clues
about sales trends.
"All they are doing is taking away
the pressure on themselves, and when that happens, in my experience,
the company really starts to tank," adds Mr.
Berman, who doesn't currently have a position in Macy's stock.
"There's no sense of urgency for management. The incentives are all
messed up. Where is the motivation coming from?"
At Macy's, informal discussions for
months focused on the benefits of abandoning monthly disclosure of
same-store sales. The operator of Macy's and Bloomingdale's stores
has reported negative same-store sales for eight of the 12 months
through Feb. 2, driving down its stock price. Executives at the
Cincinnati-based company began debating that the obligation to
report monthly same-store sales was a big distraction at a time when
the company was suffering from the effects of its 2005 acquisition
of hundreds of May Co. stores.
In a Feb. 26 conference call with
investors, Chief Financial Officer Karen Hoguet acknowledged that
the move, combined with not providing quarterly guidance, "could be
misconstrued as trying to cut back on the information that we're
providing to investors," but said "that is not the intent."
Macy's spokesman Jim Sluzewski notes
that companies in other industries -- like Motorola or Dell -- don't
report sales monthly.
"The practice of reporting sales
monthly unfortunately has encouraged a short-term orientation that
distracts retailers such as Macy's," adds Mr. Sluzewski. "Moreover,
monthly reporting in times of calendar shifts has led to
misunderstanding and misinterpretation of sales results."
Retailers first began reporting
same-store sales in the 1970s, when an analyst developed the metric
to analyze a now-defunct retailer whose older stores were suffering.
The number of companies reporting monthly sales grew substantially
in the '80s and '90s, as more retailers went public, and began
providing the metric as a yardstick.
But in recent years, retailers have
begun balking. Fewer than 50 retailers report monthly, down from 70
three years ago, according to TNS Retail Forward, a Columbus, Ohio,
consulting firm.
"Increasingly the thought is that
reporting monthly sales results makes retailers susceptible to
managing on a month-to-month basis," says Frank Badillo, senior
retail economist at Retail Forward. But because some big chains no
longer report the data, the figures don't accurately reflect the
retail landscape; there are now big gaps in the home-improvement
category and apparel retailers and discounters are overrepresented,
he points out.
At a Feb. 21 roundtable discussion
for retail chief financial officers hosted by Deloitte & Touche,
there was "a lot of grumbling" about the work involved in reporting
monthly sales, says Pat Conroy, U.S. consumer products leader at
Deloitte & Touche. Finance chiefs question whether "there is an
alternative that requires less work and provides just as much
insight," he says, noting that Deloitte would like to help them come
up with one in the future.
But critics of retailers that abandon
monthly sales reports note that, in good times, chains go out of
their way to trumpet big gains in monthly sales. "It always seems to
be the companies that are having problems" that go mum, says George
Whalin, president of Retail Management Consultants Inc. in Carlsbad,
Calif., and an investor in retail companies. He complained to both
Home Depot and Sears about their lack of disclosure, saying he
tracks the numbers closely. He says he got no response.
Nineteen retailers have abandoned
reporting monthly same-store sales in the past 18 months alone,
according to Retail Forward.


Sears Holdings
May Have Downside to $75
Seeking Alpha.com
March 5, 2008
Morgan Stanley is out cautious on
Sears Holdings (NASDAQ:SHLD), reiterating their Underweight rating.
The firm notes margins have now fallen for three quarters, and that
is despite drops in both depreciation and ad spending.
Sum-of-parts support near $90 a share
remains theoretical and stretched, in their view, and less likely to
find a bid in a more constrained credit and retail environment.
Valuation has downside to $75 vs peer group on FCF yield, even lower
on P/E.
Buybacks continued in 4Q, but with
cash down to $1.66bn (roughly half in Canada, ESL's meetings with
investors will be important. Original ESL fund investors are still
up at least 4x from the original Kmart bond before bankruptcy
investment. Some investors may want liquidity. Firm believes any
signs of redemptions or sell-down of ESL stake in SHLD would be a
significant negative to the share price
At $95, they believe the market is
failing to account for not only risks but likely outcomes. The 90bps
drop in SHLD margins equals the average they assume for WMT, TGT,
HD, LOW, M, JCP, JWN, and KSS.
Notablecalls: Don't
shoot the messenger, but I think SHLD may have some downside in it.
There were some Icahn stake rumors yesterday (10% chance of being
true, in my opinion), so there could be some weak hands around.
Not a huge conviction call by any
means. Just letting you know it's out there.


Wal-Mart to Open 81 Stores in March,
170 Supercenters in 2008
Dow Jones Newswires
March 5, 2008
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) said it
will open 81 new stores and clubs across the country in March,
providing jobs for 26,000 associates.
The Bentonville, Ark., retail chain
said it will also open 170 supercenters in the current fiscal year
ending Jan. 31, 2009, and 140 supercenters in the fiscal year ending
Jan. 31, 2010.
Wal-Mart said the 81 stores and clubs
are opening in 30 states including seven openings in North Carolina,
six in Illinois, five each in Michigan and Florida, four in Ohio and
three each in Wisconsin, Texas, Tennessee, South Carolina,
Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, New York, Nevada, Indiana and Iowa.
The company also said the stores
include two additional new high-efficiency
(HE-2) prototypes designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and
use 25% less energy than a standard Wal-Mart Supercenter.
Wal-Mart said it will open its ninth
Jobs and Opportunity Zone store in Decatur, Ga., on March 7, to
partner with local organizations "to spur job creation and economic
development in the community."


Advertising
'Reimagine you': no
imagination
Lackluster 'Garage' commercial, first in Hearst campaign, doesn't
make its case for Sears tools
By Lewis Lazare -
Chicago Sun-Times
March 4, 2008
Spring is about to arrive. So Hoffman
Estates-based Sears is coming at us with a new wave of spring
advertising, coupled with a promotional tie-in with Hearst magazines
and newspapers. A range of Hearst publications (from Redbook to the
Houston Chronicle) in the weeks ahead will become the conduit for
distributing copies of a Sears standalone 36-page magazine titled "Reimagine
You," which also is the theme of the new ad campaign from Young &
Rubicam/Chicago.
We discovered on Monday, however,
that there was some confusion within Sears about whether this mildly
aspirational "Reimagine You" campaign would include the overarching
"Where It Begins" tagline introduced a while ago -- a nebulous tag
notably absent from the retailer's holiday and winter television
advertising.
At first a Sears spokeswoman informed
us that "Where It Begins" would appear in all the "Reimagine You"
television commercials. But it wasn't on one of the commercials we
watched. The decision to drop it was apparently made so late in the
process that Sears' own marketing spokeswoman hadn't been informed.
In any event, the first of four
television commercials that will roll out over the course of the
next couple of months is called "Garage," and it does in fact deal
with tools -- by no means a sexy merchandise category, but
nonetheless one for which Sears is well-known. And it's a category
that, best we can tell, actually still drives customers to
struggling Sears outlets. Other spots yet to be unveiled will deal
with spring fashion, outdoor living and the kitchen.
"Garage" is a muddle of stuff that
doesn't do much to generate interest in Sears or its tool products,
except perhaps to note the retailer is conducting a tool sale.
The spot opens with a reference to
the magazine Popular Mechanics (a Hearst
title) and a bit of commentary from a PM editor who talks about
reimagining a home garage as a proper repository for tools.
Organization, says the PM guy, is the key. Hardly a startling
revelation.
But by the time we've gotten that out
of the way, the voice-over announcer barely has time to mention the
tool sale before the spot ends. And the commercial concludes, as
have many in recent campaigns, without making a compelling case for
why Sears is the right retailer to help us reimagine ourselves. Or,
more specifically, our garage. But what's worse is the lack of
creative spark in the way the commercial is shot and edited.
As a memorable marketing tool,
"Garage" feels way too flat.
Lew's view: C+


Advertising
Sears Joins
With Hearst for a Multimedia Blitz
By Stuart Elliott - New
York Times
March 3, 2008
TWO decades ago, shoppers were told
"there's more for your life at Sears". An
ambitious campaign that begins this week "the result of an unusual
retailer-media partnership between Sears and Hearst" may help determine
whether there is more life for Sears.
Sears, Roebuck & Company, a division of
the Sears Holdings Corporation, is struggling with slumping sales,
falling profits and mounting complaints about store conditions. Revenue
in the quarter that ended on Feb. 2 for stores open more than a year
"a closely watched yardstick in the retail
industry" dropped 4 percent from a year earlier.
The wobbly economy is exacerbating Sears'
woes as consumers slow their spending and worry about rising prices,
falling home values and the gyrating stock market. And while its
competitors have been stepping up efforts to woo skittish shoppers,
Sears Holdings has been cutting the marketing budgets for both Sears and
its sibling, Kmart.
"We already invest a significant amount
of capital and expenses" in areas like marketing, Edward S. Lampert, the
chairman of Sears Holdings, wrote to shareholders in a letter last week.
"The key is to improve the productivity of these investments."
The new campaign, with the theme "Reimagine
you," seeks to do that by peddling all at once a wide variety of Sears
products like clothing, appliances, tools and linens as well as branded
Sears services like home maintenance and kitchen remodeling.
The campaign, with a budget estimated at
$50 million to $75 million, will include television, print, catalogs,
signs and displays, as well as e-mail messages, video clips, blogs and
other Web sites.
One goal for Sears is to sponsor
"innovative, interruptive and integrated campaigns that challenge
people's perceptions" about the retailer and its offerings, said Richard
Gerstein, chief marketing officer at Sears, which is based in Hoffman
Estates, Ill.
"We have to do a better job of collecting
our products and turning them into experiences," he added.
Another goal, Mr. Gerstein said, is
finding media companies "to partner with, to go to market differently,"
rather than "buying pages for pages‚ sake."
So Sears is teaming up with the Hearst
Magazines unit of the Hearst Corporation, which is creating elements of
the campaign like a Web site (www.reimagine yourself.com)
and a 32-page booklet, "Reimagine You," to be distributed with 13 Hearst
magazines and newspapers.
Hearst will also add Sears-centric
content to a Web site thedailygreen.com that is part of the Hearst
Magazines Digital Media stable of sites.
The collaboration between Hearst and
Sears speaks to the interest among media companies in customizing plans
for major marketers, the better to capture a larger share of their
dollars.
The campaign represents "a significant
increase" in Sears's commitment to Hearst,
said Michael A. Clinton, the executive vice president at Hearst
Magazines in New York who is also the chief marketing officer and
publishing director.
For instance, Sears will make "a
significant digital buy on the Web sites" of
the nine Hearst magazines that will carry the "Reimagine You" booklet
with their April issues, Mr. Clinton said. They include Cosmopolitan (cosmopolitan.com),
O: The Oprah Magazine (oprah.
com/omagazine), Popular Mechanics (popularmechanics.com) and
Redbook (redbookmag.com).
The booklet was also to be distributed
with the Sunday editions of four Hearst newspapers: The Houston
Chronicle, The San Antonio Express-News, The San Francisco Chronicle and
The Times Union in Albany.
Mr. Gerstein described buying the ads on
the Hearst Web sites as part of an initiative to "ramp up our digital
investment to five times what it was" in spring 2007.
"We've been a little slow to the digital
party," he added, "but our customers spend a lot of time online,
researching products like appliances, lawn and garden, and patio
furniture."
The deal with Hearst also reflects a
shift in the Sears media strategy, Mr.
Gerstein said.
"There are a lot of media out there," he
said. "It's really about partnership, how to make the ads work for us
and stand out."
During the weeks that the "Reimagine you"
campaign is running, the Sears creative agency ˜ the Chicago office of
Y&R, part of the Young & Rubicam Brands division of the WPP Group ˜ will
produce ads that reflect the look and tone of the booklet and Web site
being produced by Hearst.
For instance, the print ads inside the
booklet use a "Reimagine" theme rather than the theme from the current
ads by Y&R Chicago, which is "Sears.
Where it begins."
And television commercials feature
editors and writers from the Hearst magazines. For example, one spot
begins with an announcer saying, "Sears asked Popular Mechanics to
reimagine the garage."
After a contributing editor of the
magazine, Joseph Truini, offers organizing tips, the announcer promotes
a sale on tools and concludes, "This spring, reimagine yourself at
Sears." Two Web addresses appear at the end of the spot,
reimagineyourself.com and sears.com.
The print ads and commercials seem
fresher, less cluttered and more aspirational than is typical of Sears
pitches.
For example, the print ads bear headlines
suggesting that readers can reimagine themselves as „the green
Samaritan," "the urban Aphrodite," "weekend
connoisseurs" or "the alpha neighbor." And the
models appear younger, better-dressed and more stylish than usual.
Not everyone endorses the idea of a
campaign for Sears that strives to be more upscale.
"They can maybe attract some attention
and attract some people into the store," said Alan Siegel, chairman and
chief executive at Siegel & Gale in New York, a corporate and brand
identity consulting company owned by the Omnicom Group, "but the
experience in the store will not reflect the ads."
The reason, Mr. Siegel said, is that Mr.
Lampert "has skimped on capital investment in the stores"
and has not focused enough on merchandise.
"He can do anything he wants in the
advertising," Mr. Siegel said of Mr. Lampert,
but Sears is now "really not competitive with Target, Kohl's and
others."
Mr. Gerstein, needless to say, would beg
to differ.
The campaign "is about igniting true
possibilities," he said, and persuading a
current or potential Sears customer that he or she can
"make it the year you want it to be."
Maybe the campaign ought to be called "Reimagine
Sears" ˜ or, to borrow the title of a TV series in which the commercials
will be seen, "Extreme Makeover: Sears
Edition."


The
Blue-Light Barneys: That's Kmart's Design
With Fourth-Quarter Sales Down 5.2%,
Discounter Desperate to Shed Preconceptions About Its Apparel
By Natalie Zmuda - Advertising
Age
March 3, 2008
Quick, think fashion. What's the
first retailer that comes to mind?
Bet it wasn't Kmart.
Coming off a 4.7% same-store-sales
decline last year attributed in part to soft apparel sales, the home
of the blue-light special is trying to get consumers to equate it
with style via a new apparel campaign set to break March 9. Wckd,
which was launched online, targets a younger demographic and is
already selling out in some locations. Its "Style Showoff Contest"
will pit Kmart customers against each other in a competition that
judges personal style. The hope is that new and former customers
will be surprised, and inspired to shop, by the looks these
fashionistas pull together.
"We were talking about ways to
dramatize what a great deal Kmart is," said Bill Stewart, Kmart's
chief marketing officer, who is an alum of Levi's and Dockers. "A
lot of people have preconceived ideas about what they'll find at our
stores. ... It's all around getting out the word that if you think
you know Kmart, you probably don't, unless you've been in in the
last week."
Sprucing up
wardbrobe
Jettisoning consumers' notions will
be critical, given the financial woes of Kmart and its parent
company, Sears Holdings. Last week, Sears Holdings said sales at
Kmart stores open at least a year declined 5.2% in the fourth
quarter and 4.7% during fiscal 2007. Apparel was cited as an area of
particular weakness.
That's a marked departure from the
relatively stable, if unextraordinary, results of years past. In
2006, same-store sales at Kmart were down 0.6% on top of a 1.2%
decline in 2005. (For comparison, Sears posted a 4% decline in
same-stores sales in 2007 and a 6.1% decline in 2006.)
Christine Augustine, senior retail
analyst at Bear Stearns, says the timing of the apparel push could
be apropos. "We consistently hear that when there's newness [in
apparel], consumers will buy. ... The challenge for Kmart is going
to be that they don't have the natural traffic to the store that
their competitors like Wal-Mart and Target do," she said.
She added that in a tough economy,
"sometimes competitors get conservative, and they're nervous, and
they don't want to spend [on advertising]. If you can spend in a
smart way, you can pick up share."
'Fashion
ambassador'
Four women have already been chosen
for the campaign in blind casting calls and have shot a TV spot and
print ads, which will launch the search for Kmart's "fashion
ambassador." Footage from the casting calls, in which the women
react to learning the clothes they have been trying on are from
Kmart, also could factor into the campaign. The women guessed the
clothes were from retailers including Barneys New York, Forever 21,
H&M and Banana Republic, Mr. Stewart said.
The strategy is also to put Kmart
clothing on real customers. Customer feedback has said that skinny
models and seamstresses can make anything look good. "I've done a
lot of apparel advertising in my life, and they're right," Mr.
Stewart said. "By letting our own customers tell the story of what's
in the store, we have tremendous credibility and tremendous viral
effect as well."
Ms. Augustine said a campaign that
gets consumers talking could be a boon for the retailer. "Probably
there's a whole generation of consumers that have no idea what Kmart
is like. ... They maybe haven't even ventured into Kmart," she said.
The winner will be announced May 13
and will be used in a national campaign, presumably for the fall
season, although Mr. Stewart declined to comment.
Kmart's agency of record, DraftFCB, is working on the push, which
will include TV, print, circulars and an online component. Mr. Blue
Light also will be interspersed throughout the campaign.
Mr. Stewart declined to comment on
whether the new campaign would lead to an increase in advertising
spending for 2008. If measured spending levels in the fourth quarter
of 2007 -- which are not yet available -- match those from the
fourth quarter of 2006, the retailer will have spent nearly $190
million last year, according to TNS Media Intelligence. Kmart's
advertising spend jumped to $192 million in 2006 from $149 million
in 2005.
Luring in women
Until now, Kmart's fashion marketing
has been limited, although it has been staffing up a chic design
studio in New York's SoHo neighborhood with hundreds of designers. A
campaign four years ago featured stars from the WB's new shows. And
last summer, Mr. Blue Light hosted a runway show in one TV spot. Now
execs are banking on the new apparel campaign to benefit Kmart
across all categories. (Kmart still carries the Martha Stewart
Everyday brand.) "The perception of apparel helps to color women's
overall opinion of a retailer," Mr. Stewart said. "I think this will
go a long way toward bringing all women to Kmart."
Bill Stewart, Kmart's chief marketing
officer
The campaign is also likely to
publicize the spring launch of three new apparel lines, although
there are no guarantees, as the contestants are not limited to
certain brands. The lines, Wckd, Piper & Blue and Limon & Sal, which
all target a younger demographic, are already selling out in some
locations, Mr. Stewart said. That's in addition to Kmart's Route 66,
Jaclyn Smith and Joe Boxer lines.
There are also separate marketing
plans for Wckd and Piper & Blue, both of which launched online with
dedicated microsites created by Chicago-based WhittmanHart. Mr.
Stewart said this is the first time Kmart has ever launched a brand
online. "These brands are targeting fairly young consumers, so most
of the effort there is online," he said. "We're doing a lot of work
around [interactive media, and [we're] trying to do something beyond
the typical banner ads."


Sears rejected in favor of Catterton bid
Chicago
Tribune
March 1, 2008
CORTE MADERA, Calif. — Restoration
Hardware Inc. is completing a proposed buyout from Catterton
Partners after deciding a competing bid from Hoffman Estates-based
Sears Holdings Corp. was inferior.
A committee of independent directors
of Restoration concluded that the Sears offer "was not reasonably
likely to result in a superior proposal," the retailer said Friday.
The Sears proposal "was subject to significant uncertainties"
compared with Catterton's terms, Restoration said.
Lower offer: Sears said in a
regulatory filing Thursday that it lowered its bid for Restoration
to $4.55 a share from the $6.75 a share it offered Nov. 26.
Catterton, a Greenwich, Conn.-based
buyout firm, lowered its offer Jan. 24 to $4.50 a share from $6.70 a
share after holiday sales at the home-furnishings chain unexpectedly
fell.


Sears considers selling signature brands in other venues
Lampert compares the struggling retailer to
the Super Bowl underdogs, says its exclusive brands may be sold
elsewhere
By Sandra M. Jones -
Chicago Tribune Tribune
reporter James P. Miller contributed to this report
February 29, 2008
With no sign of a sales pickup in
sight, Sears Holdings Corp. Chairman Edward Lampert is making a
radical suggestion: Sears should consider selling its proprietary
brands such as DieHard, Craftsman and Kenmore through other retail
outlets.
The notion of expanding Sears brands
outside the company has been tossed about the Hoffman Estates-based
headquarters for years, long before Lampert arrived. But Sears never
followed through for fear that without the exclusive brands,
shoppers would have little reason to visit a Sears store.
As times get tougher, that thinking
is taking on a new light.
In his annual letter to shareholders,
released Thursday, Lampert said "There is an opportunity for us to
rethink our brand distribution strategy."
The letter coincided with Sears'
fourth-quarter earnings report, which showed a 48 percent drop in
profits as sales declines at Sears and Kmart accelerated. It was the
second quarter in a row that profit had fallen as cost cuts failed
to keep up with tumbling sales.
Expanding distribution could help
turn around sales. Lampert noted Sears'
products and services need to be available "where and when our
customers want. In many cases, that may not be exclusively through
our stores."
The letter follows a significant
reorganization announced last month in which Sears said it would
create a stable of separate business units, including one dedicated
solely to Sears brands. While Sears didn't say so at the time,
observers assumed that under the new structure the brand unit leader
would have an incentive to look for sales outside of Sears.
"It's not my sense that people are
going out of their way to make Sears a shopping destination to
purchase Sears products," said Martin Brill, president of Sweetwater
Consulting LLC, a Jersey City-based firm that advises manufacturers
and retailers. "They need to do something [and] they could
definitely use the revenue."
In his letter, Lampert pointed to
DieHard car batteries as an example of a Sears product that rates
high in consumer recognition but "lags dramatically" in market
share. DieHard is sold at 900 Sears Auto Centers and 1,400 Kmart
stores.
"A car battery purchase is a duress
purchase event in which the customer is looking for the nearest,
most convenient solution," Lampert said. "Unfortunately, it is not
always us."
Colorful passages
Since Lampert has no investor
relations department and rarely speaks to Wall Street or the press,
his annual letter to shareholders is one of the few forums in which
the billionaire investor has an opportunity to say publicly what's
on his mind. This year's 14-page letter attempts to answer many of
the criticisms Lampert has faced, including skimping on store
investment, losing many top executives and failing to stop the
profit erosion.
In one of the more colorful passages,
Lampert begins the letter drawing an extended parallel between
quarterback Eli Manning leading the underdog New York Giants to a
come-from-behind Super Bowl victory over the heavily favored New
England Patriots -- and Lampert's own unexpected success in reviving
Kmart from Chapter 11 a few years ago.
"Like Eli Manning, we know what it's
like to be underestimated and questioned, but we intend to keep
working on our game to achieve our full potential," Lampert wrote.
The football analogy didn't sit well
with Credit Suisse analyst Gary Balter. He noted in a Thursday
report the comparison underscores a fatal flaw in Lampert's
thinking.
"Retailing is not sports," said
Balter. "Consumers may make a decision based on a promotion or
specific item, but over time, those [retailers] with the systems,
structures, locations and brands win."
Balter also warned that selling
Sears' proprietary brands, while it could raise cash in the short
run, could put Sears on a "slippery slope of creating less traffic
... and furthering the decline in the core." Most retailers these
days -- including rivals J.C. Penney, Kohl's, Target, Macy's and
Wal-Mart -- are doing the opposite, expanding their exclusive lines
as a way to stand out from competitors.
Decline across
categories
Revenue dropped 6.8 percent, to
$15.07 billion, from $16.18 billion. Sales at U.S. stores open at
least a year, a key retail yardstick, declined a combined 4.5
percent, with Sears falling 4 percent and Kmart dropping 5.2
percent. The sales declines were spread across categories, with home
appliances and apparel faring the worst.
For the quarter ended Feb. 2, Sears
had net income of $426 million, or $3.17 a share, down from the
year-earlier quarter's $811 million, or $5.27 a share. Net income in
the fourth quarter of fiscal 2007 included an after-tax gain of $17
million, or 13 cents a share, for asset sales. Excluding such
one-time factors, Sears said, per-share earnings were $3.04,
compared with $5.30 last year.
January was a particularly bad month
for sales and hurt Sears' fiscal year-end cash position. The company
had cash and cash equivalents of $1.6 billion, down from $3.8
billion one year ago. Cash attributed to the U.S. operations was
$743 million, less than the $1 billion Sears had forecast. The
remaining $879 million in cash is attributed to Sears Canada.
Lampert made clear that cost cuts are
in store. "We intend to manage the company's expenses and our
inventory position more tightly in 2008 in order to improve our
productivity," he said.
Sears said it spent $580 million on
capital expenditures in the past 12 months, an amount criticized by
some analysts as insufficient. In the same time frame, Sears spent
$2.9 billion buying back its shares.
Shares fell 20 cents, to close at
$101.40, on the Nasdaq stock market.
Separately, Sears lowered its offer
to buy Restoration Hardware Inc. to $4.55 a share from $6.75,
according to a regulatory filing. The home retailer already has
agreed to be acquired by Catterton Partners.
EXCERPTS
FROM LAMPERT'S LETTER
"When I first became involved with Kmart in 2002 during
its bankruptcy, the company had been given up for dead by most
industry analysts and media commentators. Kmart was like an
undrafted free agent who nobody thought had a chance to play in the
big leagues."
"For the second consecutive year,
Lands' End achieved a record year in the profitability of its
traditional direct business (i.e., catalog, online and inlet stores)
increasing its earnings 12 percent."
"To be clear, we are not saying that
we can't justify investing in our stores. The issue is more about
the size and type of investment as well as the timing and sequencing
of an investment. There are many things that a retailer can do to
improve its business without the significant amounts of capital that
a major remodel would require."
"Despite the perception during the
first two years that we were not focused on growing our business, we
were planning to do just that in 2007 through our increased
inventory investment. Unfortunately, we did not foresee the severe
economic turbulence ahead."
"We are currently planning for
reduced inventory purchases in 2008, especially in the spring/summer
and fall/winter seasonal apparel categories. And we intend to more
tightly manage our operating expenses in 2008 to improve our
productivity and in light of the economic environment."


Profit Down, Sears
May Hold Yard Sale
Analysts See a Failure In Bid to Revive
Sales;
'Only an Asset Play'
By Gary McWilliams -
Wall Street Journal
February 29, 2008
Sharply weaker profit at Sears
Holdings Corp. signals a growing likelihood that the retailer will
be closing stores, selling real estate and offering its core brands
through other retail outlets.
The Hoffman Estates, Ill., retailer
yesterday disclosed fiscal fourth-quarter net income fell 47% on a
6.8% sales decline, reflecting both a weak economy and customers'
preference to shop elsewhere.
SIGNALS FROM SEARS
• The News: Sears reported a 47%
profit drop and made statements analysts saw as opening the door to
store closures and asset sales.
• Behind the News: They viewed the statement as an acknowledgement
that efforts to revive sales have failed.
• In Writing: Edward Lampert's letter cites Sears' brands, services,
Web sites and real estate as "unique assets."Included in the results
was an admission that sales at stores open at least a year, an
indicator of market share, dropped more precipitously in January
than the 4.5% decline for the overall quarter ended Feb. 2. Sears
didn't offer a first-quarter or full-year forecast, but analysts
again cut expectations as a result of the worsening conditions.
Chairman Edward S. Lampert, in a
letter to investors, said he will look beyond Sears's own
deteriorating stores for revenue from its big-name brands and
business assets. Analysts viewed the letter as the most direct
statement to date that reviving sales through better marketing
campaigns and operating improvements has failed, and that now Mr.
Lampert views Sears's future value coming from its collection of
assets.
He also opened the door to selling
its highly-regarded Kenmore, Craftsman, Lands' End and Diehard
brands through other retailers. In the past, he has followed
retailing tradition in using the brands to lure customers into its
3,400 U.S. and 380 Canadian stores.
"There is an opportunity for us to
rethink our brand distribution strategy,"
he wrote in a letter to shareholders. "All four of these
brands...provide tremendous opportunity for value creation."
The comments by Mr. Lampert, a
hedge-fund manager whose funds own nearly 48% of the company's
stock, come amid a continuing restructuring of the $50.7 billion in
annual revenue company. Last month, he ousted the company's chief
executive and several other top executives and reshuffled the
company into a collection of semiautonomous businesses. The new
arrangement makes real estate a separate business unit with its own
profit-and-loss goals.
Following the March 2005 combination
of Sears and Kmart, Mr. Lampert has kept most of the company's U.S.
stores open despite Wall Street pressures to exit poor-performing
locations. Instead, he reduced investments in the stores,
sacrificing appearance, while promising investment in computer
systems and online operations. Last month, Sears said it would cut
about 200 jobs at its headquarters, citing weaker results, but it
has yet to make bigger cuts.
In his letter, Mr. Lampert reiterated
that he wouldn't invest in modernizing stores where returns don't
justify the spending. Analysts say the decision to look at real
estate as stand-alone assets should encourage sales of
underperforming stores rather than continuing them for the retail
cash flow.
The chairman's letter cites Sears's
brands, home services, its collection of Web sites and real estate
as "unique assets" assuring future profit for stockholders.
Mr. Lampert's decision to take sales
of Kenmore appliances and other brands outside Sears's stores marks
the first in several likely moves to recoup cash from its assets,
analysts said. Sears shares fell 20 cents to $101.40 in 4 p.m.
trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market.
"The reality is for the last year and
a half this has been an asset play and only an asset play. Now, he's
admitting that in his letter," said Gary Balter, a retail analyst at
Credit Suisse who on Jan. 14 lowered his rating on Sears to
"underperform," from "outperform." "The first step is selling
brands, selling real estate, selling off [Sears] Canada," he said.
Neither Mr. Lampert nor interim Chief
Executive Officer W. Bruce Johnson were available to comment on the
likelihood of new store closing and brand sales. A spokesman wrote
in an email, "We remain committed to the continuation of our efforts
to improve our operating performance."
Rivals are also suffering from weak
U.S. sales, but few have been as injured as Sears. Target Corp. this
week said fourth-quarter sales at stores open at least a year rose
just 0.2%, and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. reported a 1.7% gain for its
final quarter. In contrast, Sears reported same-store sales fell
4.5%, continuing a two-year drop.
The company said available cash at
the end of the quarter dropped to $1.62 billion, from $3.84 billion
a year ago.
William A. Dreher Jr., a Deutsche
Bank retail analyst, said Sears must chop the underperforming stores
-- what he called "deadwood" -- from its Sears and Kmart chains.
Sears "clearly has not" provided a reason for customers to shop at
its stores beyond the big-name brands, Mr. Dreher said. "If he gets
rid of the brands, what's next?" The retailer's dismal performance
"reveals the lack of control over the business," he added.
Sears said same-store sales in "most
categories" declined again last quarter. Customer Growth Partners, a
Connecticut retail consulting firm, estimates that Sears's share of
major appliances sales fell to "barely 30%" last year from about 40%
in 2001 as home-improvement retailers' Lowe's Inc. and Home Depot
Corp. gained share.
In his letter to stockholders, Mr.
Lampert compared Sears to the New York Giants football team, which
won this year's Super Bowl despite poor midseason performances. "We
know what it's like to be underestimated and questioned, but we
intend to keep working on our game to achieve our full potential,"
he wrote.


Survival strategies for Macy's, Penney's, Target, Neiman's
By Jayne O'Donnell,
USA Today
February 29, 2008
An economic slowdown tends to spook
the retail industry. When the economy sputters, people close their
wallets and delay purchases, and stores suffer.
Store chains, after all, can't survive very long without robust
consumer spending.
But retailers don't just stand there and take a beating. They slim
down, shut stores, trim inventory, slice payroll and take other
strategic steps they hope will help them endure the pain. Some
stores even thrive in recession even as others struggle.
With fears that the coming months
could be the toughest for them since the
1991 recession, retailers are fighting to gain any edge they can
over their rivals and to cushion themselves from the slide in
customer spending. Many of them are redeploying staff and revising
promotions; some are putting a new stress on low prices. In the end,
they know, some of them will be winners, others losers.
"I see clients being more aggressive
about promotion and reviewing the strategy by which they promote and
how often they do it," says Madison Riley, a retail strategist with
consulting firm Kurt Salmon Associates, whose clients include most
major retailers.
The stores' strategies vary. So do
their prospects for success. Much depends on how vulnerable they are
in the first place.
Retailers that specialize in
furnishing or refurbishing homes have been among the hardest hit.
Specialty stores with highly discretionary products, such as the
high- and low-end tchotchkes sold by Sharper Image (SHRP) and
Lillian Vernon, respectively, may be worst off of all. Both
retailers filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection last week.
Specialty apparel stores are
struggling, too. Even though some clothing, especially for growing
kids or for career women, is regarded as essential, sales figures
suggest that many of those purchases are being postponed.
Home Depot (HD) has slashed 500 jobs
at its headquarters. Jewelry store chain Zales (ZLC) has announced
plans to close 60 stores, and Ann Taylor plans to slash 180 jobs and
close 117 stores within two years.
"The retailers accept that we're in a
recession — smack in the middle of it," Riley says.
Among the most visible ways that
stores are trying to ease their pain from the spending slowdown:
•Merchandise. Retailers must take
care not to stock too little of the latest hot fashion or product —
or showcase it too late. Many stores, Riley says, are working more
closely with overseas suppliers to settle quickly on designs and
shorten the development process.
•Pricing. Even retailers that try to
avoid across-the-board price slashing are embracing the deep
discounting trend, which Wal-Mart capitalized on so successfully
last fall and holiday season.
•More consumer input. Retailers can't
afford to wait until the end of a season to determine which trends
will prove most popular. Riley says stores are stepping up consumer
research and using their websites to gather real-time opinions from
shoppers.
Thanks to luck, foresight or a bit of
both, some retailers are better positioned to manage a downturn.
Those with low, low prices — think Wal-Mart (WMT) and off-price
retailers including T.J. Maxx (TJX)— and those that cater to the
wealthy are tending to outperform those in the middle.
But opportunities exist for midlevel
retailers, too. If shoppers are trading down to Wal-Mart, as its
sales suggest, then more affluent people may be ready to cut back on
their Bloomingdale's trips in favor of Kohl's (KSS). Tough economic
times tend to diminish loyalty to stores across the spectrum.
"In this type of economy, the super
shoppers get coupons out and check things online; they're going to
be loyal to themselves first," says Phil Rist of the consumer
insights firm BIGresearch. "Everyone's trying to find ways to make
their money go as far as they can so there's something left for
things they really want."
Christopher Maddox of Washington,
D.C., says he's not giving up on Macy's (M), one of his favorite
retailers, but is being far more cautious about his purchases this
year.
"I'm only buying essentials due to
the economy," Maddox says. "Luxury and big-ticket items are not in
my budget due to increased costs of gas, food and utilities."
What follows is a look at the
strategies of four retailers — Target (TGT), J.C. Penney (JCP),
Macy's and Neiman Marcus — that draw from often-overlapping segments
of shoppers.
As they brace for a possible
recession, these stores are re-examining, in particular, four areas
that will be most evident to shoppers: inventory, staffing, store
openings and promotions.
J.C. Penney
Damn the economic naysayers, J.C.
Penney is designing its most ambitious five-year plan for store
openings in its history and last week oversaw its largest-ever
merchandise launch. Still, facing a persistent drop in consumer
spending, CEO Mike Ullman says the chain is scaling back those store
openings from 50 to 36 this year and will adjust its inventories to
reduce the need for hefty markdowns.
Ullman hopes that Ralph Lauren's new
American Living fashion, home and footwear line for men, women and
kids will further invigorate the Penney brand, which has drawn more
and younger customers with the addition of the Sephora makeup line
and two private-label lingerie lines designed, in part, to compete
with Victoria's Secret. The American Living line will be found in
600 of the chain's 1,000 stores, often with its own in-store shops.
Deutsche Bank senior retail analyst
Bill Dreher questions whether now is a good time for Penney to
launch a line that's about 25% higher-priced than similar
merchandise already in its stores.
Under the deal, Ralph Lauren's name
won't appear anywhere on the new merchandise or displays, Dreher
notes. Kohl's, by contrast, was able to connect the Lauren name with
its Chaps line for many years, which helped keep customers aware of
the connection. The new line is "no panacea," he says.
Still, Dreher notes, Penney has
successfully reinvented itself over the past decade from a chain
known for "dowdy, older-lady-type fashions to one that's very much
hip, on-trend and cool." More recently, Penney has recognized that
its catalog business is less important now than its website, he
says.
About six months ago, Penney decided
to merge its store, catalog and online marketing operations; the
change will result in 100 to 200 job losses. Ullman insists it's
"not a cost-driven exercise," but rather one that'll give shoppers
"one view of our merchandise."
"People expected us to have
cost-cutting, but that's not how you grow a business," Ullman says.
Ullman says Penney benefits by
serving the "middle third" of the country, where people aren't
"living paycheck to paycheck." Still, all bets are off if a weak
economy grows really sick.
Nick Birchfield of Garden City,
Mich., is still shopping at Penney, but that could change. If the
economy gets much worse and gas prices rise higher, he says, "I will
not be shopping at J.C. Penney unless they are giving their
merchandise away."
Neiman Marcus
Neiman Marcus is preparing for a
possible sales slowdown, recognizing that while affluent customers
might not trade down to lower-quality stores, they might buy less
even if they remain loyal.
The luxury retailer may adjust the
amount of merchandise in stores, but otherwise is "just continuing
business as usual," says spokeswoman Ginger Reeder.
Neiman "knows how to react," to
economic troubles, Reeder says. That means preserving its customer
service and high-quality merchandise but adjusting its inventories
to concede the reality that its customers may be tightening their
snakeskin belts.
"We've found our customers are very
resilient," says Reeder, referring to Neiman's history during past
economic slowdowns. "They're not trading down but might potentially
buy less."
As at other luxury retailers with
strong presences in California and Florida, Neiman's sales have
suffered along with their customers' finances during the housing
recession, says Craig Johnson of retail consulting and research
company Customer Growth Partners. But for the "premier luxury
retailer in the U.S," in Johnson's words, suffering means merely
moderate sales growth — down from double-digit increases in recent
years. "As the economy stabilizes and spring returns, we look for
improving results," Johnson says.
Neiman's focuses its promotions on
two major sales a year, which Reeder says won't change.
In this economy, sales figures show,
the safest demographic spot for retailers to occupy is either the
low end or the very high end. "Middle-market department stores
continue to bleed market share to discounters such as Wal-Mart and
TJX, to high-end players like Saks (SKS) and Neiman Marcus and to
hot specialty stores such as Anthropologie," Johnson says.
As Reeder suggests, those who remain
loyal to Neiman's through economic turmoil are typically those who
prize quality over price.
"I still shop at Neiman's and will
continue to," says Amy Cavers, of Skillman, N.J. "If things worsen
or my budget gets tighter, I may cut back on my volume if anything,
but not where I shop. I still want the same quality in my purchases.
… I would rather have fewer shoes and dresses but with the same
uniqueness and flair or style that I expect."
Jennifer Stillman of Atlanta says
that rather than cutting designer labels out of her apparel budget,
she's buying groceries at Wal-Mart and Costco (COST) over pricier
markets such as Whole Foods (WFMI).
Macy's
The nation's largest department store
chain concedes that the economic slowdown has forced it to put off
plans to scale back its sales and promotions.
"We still believe the strategy is a
good one, but the timing not necessarily good," says CEO Terry
Lundgren.
In 2006, Macy's said it was trying to
wean customers off frequent sales in favor of its "Every Day Value"
pricing. Though Lundgren says there were slightly fewer promotions
in 2007 than in 2006, he says Macy's won't reduce the timing or the
number of sales until consumer spending starts to bounce back.
All the great deals now in stores are
one benefit of the depressing economic news, says Marietta Landon of
Cambridge, Mass. She finds sales everywhere she goes. "Especially
Macy's — they make every weekend a sale with saving passes and
advertising galore," Landon says.
Macy's says its plan, announced
earlier this month, to eliminate 2,300 management jobs in the
company's central office and create 250 new ones in its local
markets wasn't necessarily driven by the economy. But saving about
$100 million a year sure doesn't hurt. The plan to localize
decision-making "was conceived long before there was talk of a
credit crunch or mortgage crisis, but executing it now in the face
of a possible recession does have its benefits," says Macy's
spokesman Jim Sluzewski.
The addition of
Tommy-Hilfiger-branded men's and women's apparel this fall, which
will make Macy's the only place to buy the brand in the USA outside
of Hilfiger stores, should further boost sales, he says.
Macy's has also announced plans to
close nine poor-performing stores this year. Though struggling with
some of the same issues that its rival J.C. Penney faces in catering
to the middle class, Macy's holds an advantageous position, says
Phil Rist of BIGresearch. That's because Macy's enjoys the image of
being something of a novelty in many areas since it renamed the
former May department stores in the fall of 2006.
Its clientele is generally more
affluent than Penney's, notes analyst Bill Dreher. Still, in times
like this, even a Macy's will likely be hurt by the tendency of
customers to cut back on non-essentials.
"All the department stores are
vulnerable because they are about 80% apparel and 20% home goods,"
Dreher says. "After years of strong apparel sales, customers have
full closets, and with a weak fashion cycle, there's nothing
fashionistas have to run out and buy."
Target
"Hello goodbuy."
Couldn't that be a Wal-Mart slogan?
As the economy struggles, Target,
long known as the purveyor of the well-designed product, is
increasingly spotlighting its low-priced goods. "Hello goodbuy" is
the tag line for ads that now focus as much on the price of its
products as they do on their style. After all, in a down economy,
hand-painted toilet-bowl-brush covers that cost several bucks more
than the next one are seldom a major consumer priority.
That leaves Target more vulnerable in
this economy than, say, Wal-Mart, says Deutsche Bank senior retail
analyst Bill Dreher. It may be a discounter, but it's hard for it to
compete with Wal-Mart on price, Dreher says.
"Target has historically focused more
on being fashion-forward and having value-added design," Dreher
says. "The problem is, consumers don't want that now. They're not
redecorating or refurbishing their homes. They're looking for
everyday life staples."
At the same time, Dreher says, Target
is better positioned than department stores these days.
Target has been trying for years to
get its low-price message across, says spokeswoman Lena Michaud. And
she says its business plan will carry it through hard times: "We are
very confident in our strategy going forward."
That includes trying to rein in costs
in a way that customers won't notice. That may be difficult given
that a key target is hourly payroll expenses. Michaud says Target is
investing in technology to make sure workers are scheduled at the
right times. Unlike some of its competitors, Target is sticking to
its plan to open stores, about 100 of them, which Michaud says is
consistent with the number it has opened in recent years.
The chain is also preparing for the
departure this year of designer Isaac Mizrahi, who has a line of
popular private-label apparel at Target but is leaving to join Liz
Claiborne. Spokeswoman Susan Giesen says Target will still offer
apparel from trendy designers, which, along with the new Converse
All-Star apparel and footwear line, should fill any gaps in its
clothing lines.
That might not be enough to keep
clothing customers loyal. Based on BIGresearch's survey data on
people who shop at Target primarily for at least one category of
merchandise, these consumers are shopping around. "The folks who
shop at Target for health and beauty aids — a lot of them go to
Kohl's, Macy's and Penney's first for clothing," says Phil Rist of
BIGresearch. "There's a lot of cross-shopping."
Contributing: Erin Kutz
HOW THE VIEWS OF THESE STORES'
REGULAR SHOPPERS COMPARE
Target Neiman Marcus and Saks Macy's J.C. Penney
Optimistic about the economy in next
6 months 33% 35% 36% 33%
Shopping closer to home 38% 26% 36%
44%
Shopping for sales more often 42% 22%
39% 45%
Spending less on clothing 39% 28% 35%
42%
Taking fewer shopping trips 39% 11%
34% 44%
Source: BIGresearch survey
using national sample; responses are percentages of 2,434 people who
said they regularly shopped at Target, 1,632 at Macy's,
2,723 at J.C. Penney and 32 at Neiman Marcus or Saks
STORES AND THEIR
SHOPPERS
Here is how these retailers' shoppers
compare with the U.S. population as a whole. Depending on who the
store is targeting, they want to have close to or a higher
composition of shoppers than the U.S. average. An index of 100 is
considered average.
Target Neiman Marcus Macy's J.C.
Penney
Age 18-34 104 99 92 89
Age 35-64 110 112 110 105
Age 65 and older 69 70 82 97
Education high school 82 71 78 92
Education college 112 115 113 105
Household size two or fewer 88 91 91
95
Income less than $40,000 63 55 56 75
Income $40,000-$99,000 121 96 116 120
Income $100,000 and more 155 240 186
122
Source: Claritas, a Nielsen
company


To Our Shareholders:
I would like to start off this letter
in a rather unconventional way by congratulating the New York
Giants, led by their young quarterback Eli Manning and by head coach
Tom Coughlin, for winning the Super Bowl earlier this month. This
was quite an upset victory. Throughout the regular season, fans and
the media were quick to criticize Manning every time he had a bad
game, and to question his leadership. As recently as late November,
after a particularly disappointing loss to Minnesota in which
Manning threw four interceptions, many pundits were declaring him a
bust. Manning, however, did not give up or lose heart. He remained
focused, continued to work hard on his game and on improving his
skills, ultimately leading the Giants to the NFL Championship and
being named the Super Bowl MVP.
I mention this not because I am a
Giants fan (I am actually a lifelong fan of the New York Jets) but
rather because the Giants‚ story reminds me of what we went through
a few years ago with Kmart. When I first became involved with Kmart
in 2002, during its bankruptcy, the company had been given up for
dead by most industry analysts and media commentators. Kmart was
like an undrafted free agent who nobody thought had a chance to play
in the big leagues. Its more than 150,000 employees and its
investors had an uncertain future. Despite intense criticism of and
skepticism about the company and its prospects, we were able to
rally Kmart‚s various constituents and turn an unprofitable, failing
company into a profitable company with hope for the future. Like Eli
Manning, we know what it‚s like to be underestimated and questioned,
but we intend to keep working on our game to achieve our full
potential.
I would be the first to tell you that
I never expected it to be easy, and it certainly hasn't been. But it
has been rewarding ˆ rewarding to those investors in Kmart who stuck
with the company after it emerged from bankruptcy, to the vendors
who continued doing business with Kmart, to the associates who
remained with Kmart, and to the customers and communities who
continued to support the company.
In late 2004, Kmart was on its way to
earning almost $1 billion in Earnings Before Interest, Taxes,
Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA), had built up almost $4
billion in cash, and had virtually no debt. In November 2004, we
believed that the company‚s prospects could be enhanced by a partner
who could help improve the productivity of Kmart‚s almost 1,500
stores. Sears had been challenged for many years and found itself
seeking a way to grow outside of the mall. Expanding by building a
large number of stores was a risky strategy. By merging, the
combined company would have the scale, time, and capabilities to
compete more effectively against many of its more profitable rivals.
Again, at the announcement of the
merger there were skeptics in the industry, in the media, and in the
financial community. Many of the issues raised were valid. However,
the sensationalist tone masked the real debate.How would Kmart
compete against the more profitable and better capitalized Wal-Mart
and Target? How would Sears compete with Home Depot and Lowe‚s as
well as Best Buy, Kohl's and JC Penney? Why would we believe that we
could do something that so many others had tried with mixed results?
All of these are legitimate
questions. What we have tried to do is improve our operations in the
near term while positioning ourselves for long-term success. After
the merger, we initially worked to improve our operations by
focusing on the basics, like markdown disciplines and expense
management. At the same time, we have been prioritizing our
resources to rebuild many of the company's systems and processes by
taking a longer-term view than most investors and business managers.
Looking forward, I continue to be
excited about the prospects for Sears Holdings. In 2008, we need to
reverse much of the profit erosion we experienced in 2007. It won't
be easy, especially if the economy stays soft. The environment
surrounding U.S. retail has been very difficult; we were not alone
in experiencing disappointing performance this past year. Many
retail companies lost significant market value. As illustrated in
the table below, while the recent correction has brought Sears
Holdings‚ stock price down from an increase of nearly 20 times since
Kmart emerged from bankruptcy to around ten times, it remains one of
the top-performing retail stocks over the past five years. In
addition, it is not clear that heavy expenditures of capital
guarantee either short or long term success. Like any investment of
capital, the return on that capital over time will determine its
wisdom.
Retail Companies with Market
Capitalization Greater than $5 billion
($ in millions, except per share
data; sorted by Return Since 5/6/2003)
2/26/2008
Market
Cap 2/26/2008
Price Return
Since Kmart
Emergence
5/6/2003 2007
Return LTM (c)
Sales
Capex
LTM (c)
Data as of:
LTM (c) FYE07 FYE06
Sears Holdings Corporation
13,951 $ 101.36 914 % (b ) (39 )% 50,703 582 513
586 2/2/08
Urban Outfitters Inc.
5,143 $ 30.98 707 % 18 % 1,403 128 212 128
10/31/07
GameStop Corp.
7,583 $ 47.11 703 % 125 % 6,532 174 134 111
11/3/07
Nordstrom Inc. (a)
8,500 $ 38.46 360 % (26 )% 8,828 501 264 272
2/2/08
CVS Caremark Corp.
59,209 $ 40.09 214 % 29 % 76,330 1,805 1,805
1,769 12/29/07
J. C. Penney Company, Inc
11,185 $ 50.45 205 % (43 )% 19,860 1,243 772 535
2/2/08
Polo Ralph Lauren Corp.
6,869 $ 67.50 197 % (20 )% 4,671 232 184 159
12/29/07
Coach Inc.
11,437 $ 32.50 187 % (29 )% 2,932 154 141 134
12/29/07
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
6,995 $ 81.19 174 % 15 % 3,750 NA 403 256
2/2/08
Amazon.com Inc.
29,882 $ 71.69 132 % 135 % 14,835 224 224 216
12/31/07
Best Buy Co. Inc.
19,506 $ 46.50 105 % 7 % 39,504 797 733 648
12/1/07
Costco Wholesale Corp.
28,894 $ 66.46 98 % 32 % 66,058 1,434 1,386 1,217
11/25/07
The TJX Companies, Inc.
14,557 $ 33.31 86 % 2 % 18,647 527 378 496
1/26/08
SUPERVALU Inc.
5,963 $ 28.19 86 % 7 % 43,961 1,025 837 308
12/1/07
Kroger Co.
17,523 $ 25.94 85 % 17 % 69,859 2,133 1,683 1,306
11/10/07
Staples, Inc.
16,730 $ 23.66 81 % (13 )% 19,334 492 528 456
11/3/07
Macy‚s, Inc. (a)
11,483 $ 26.52 80 % (31 )% 26,313 994 1,317 568
2/2/08
Safeway Inc.
13,400 $ 30.29 66 % (0 )% 42,286 1,769 1,769
1,674 12/29/07
Target Corp. (a)
45,605 $ 54.89 66 % (12 )% 63,367 4,369 3,928
3,388 2/2/08
Starbucks Corp.
13,820 $ 19.06 59 % (42 )% 9,823 1,073 1,080 771
12/30/07
Limited Brands Inc. (a)
6,357 $ 18.00 52 % (32 )% 10,134 788 548 480
2/2/08
AutoZone Inc. (a)
7,893 $ 124.93 46 % 4 % 6,271 217 224 264
2/9/08
Tiffany & Co.
5,175 $ 40.75 46 % 19 % 2,932 194 182 157
10/31/07
Whole Foods Market Inc.
5,167 $ 37.04 29 % (12 )% 7,178 538 530 340
1/20/08
Gap Inc.
14,867 $ 20.27 28 % 11 % 16,027 685 572 600
11/3/07
Walgreen Co.
37,425 $ 37.75 18 % (16 )% 55,081 1,858 1,785
1,338 11/30/07
Lowe‚s Companies Inc. (a)
36,435 $ 24.99 15 % (27 )% 48,283 4,010 3,916
3,379 2/1/08
The Home Depot, Inc (a)
48,654 $ 28.83 5 % (31 )% 77,349 3,388 3,542
3,881 2/3/08
Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
205,847 $ 51.40 (2 )% 5 % 378,799 14,937 15,666
14,530 1/31/08
Kohl‚s Corp.
14,821 $ 47.25 (16 )% (33 )% 16,382 1,510 1,142
828 11/3/07
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.
7,974 $ 30.44 (25 )% (23 )% 7,111 339 318 220
12/1/07
Notes:
All pricing data sourced directly
from Bloomberg; stock prices have been dividend-adjusted.
All company financial data sourced
directly from Capital IQ on February 27, 2008, except where
otherwise noted and except for all Sears Holdings data
(a) Company financial data from
latest press release.
(b) Assumes $10.00 Kmart plan
participant price on 5/6/03
(c) LTM is last twelve months
For a company like Sears Holdings,
which has been in a rebuilding phase, the macroeconomic issues
compound the difficulty of the rebuilding effort.
Earning over $2.5 billion in Adjusted EBITDA in 2007, however,
provides us with capital to be in a position to take advantage of
future opportunities to invest in our business and create value for
shareholders. We also have a strong balance sheet, as we ended the
year with $1.6 billion in cash and a reduced debt load while some
retail companies have increased their debt over time as shown below.
Retail Companies with Market
Capitalization Greater than $5 billion
($ in millions; sorted by Return
Since 5/6/2003)
Debt
Cash
LTM (c) /
MRQ (d)
Data as of: FYE07 =
FY Ending:
MRQ (d) FYE07 FYE06 FYE05 FYE04 MRQ (d)
Sears Holdings Corporation
3,009 3,548 4,016 4,863 (e ) 8,655 (e ) 1,622
2/2/08 2/3/07
Urban Outfitters Inc.
˜ ˜ ˜ ˜ ˜ 191 10/31/07 1/31/07
GameStop Corp.
574 856 976 37 ˜ 278 11/3/07 2/3/07
Nordstrom Inc. (a)
2,497 639 934 1,030 1,234 358 2/2/08 2/3/07
CVS Caremark Corp.
10,482 10,482 5,057 2,189 2,842 1,084 12/29/07
12/29/07
J. C. Penney Company, Inc
3,708 3,444 3,465 3,923 5,374 2,471 2/2/08
2/3/07
Polo Ralph Lauren Corp.
618 446 305 293 277 824 12/29/07 3/31/07
Coach Inc.
17 3 3 16 5 891 12/29/07 6/30/07
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
˜ 27 59 54 33 649 2/2/08 2/3/07
Amazon.com Inc.
1,344 1,344 1,267 1,485 1,857 3,112 12/31/07
12/31/06
Best Buy Co. Inc.
988 650 596 668 920 1,614 12/1/07 3/3/07
Costco Wholesale Corp.
2,219 2,222 565 768 1,321 3,210 11/25/07
9/2/07
The TJX Companies, Inc.
833 810 809 700 699 733 1/26/08 1/27/07
SUPERVALU Inc.
9,128 9,478 1,518 1,678 1,940 177 12/1/07
2/24/07
Kroger Co.
7,462 7,042 7,205 7,901 8,260 166 11/10/07
2/3/07
Staples, Inc.
330 518 530 559 758 1,032 11/3/07 2/3/07
Macy‚s, Inc. (a)
9,753 9,753 10,183 3,879 4,059 583 2/2/08
2/3/07
Safeway Inc.
5,655 5,655 5,868 6,359 6,763 278 12/29/07
12/29/07
Target Corp. (a)
17,090 10,037 9,872 9,538 11,018 2,450 2/2/08
2/3/07
Starbucks Corp.
1,080 1,264 703 281 4 535 12/30/07 9/30/07
Limited Brands Inc. (a)
2,905 1,673 1,676 1,646 648 1,019 2/2/08
2/3/07
AutoZone Inc. (a)
2,151 1,991 1,857 1,862 1,869 93 2/9/08
8/25/07
Tiffany & Co.
463 518 472 441 487 391 10/31/07 1/31/07
Whole Foods Market Inc.
773 761 9 19 171 44 1/20/08 9/30/07
Gap Inc.
188 513 513 1,886 2,770 1,656 11/3/07
2/3/07
Walgreen Co.
1,167 917 ˜ ˜ ˜ 295 11/30/07 8/31/07
Lowe‚s Companies Inc. (a)
6,680 4,436 3,531 3,690 3,755 530 2/1/08
2/2/07
The Home Depot, Inc (a)
13,430 11,661 4,085 2,159 1,365 457 2/3/08
1/28/07
Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
44,671 39,018 38,729 31,052 26,466 5,569
1/31/08 1/31/07
Kohl‚s Corp.
2,227 1,059 1,154 1,107 1,089 321 11/3/07
2/3/07
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.
˜ ˜ ˜ ˜ ˜ 377 12/1/07 3/3/07
Notes:
All pricing data sourced directly
from Bloomberg; stock prices have been dividend-adjusted.
All company financial data sourced
directly from Capital IQ on February 27, 2008, except where
otherwise noted and except for all Sears Holdings data
(a) Company financial data from
latest press release.
(c) LTM is last twelve months
(d) MRQ is most recent quarter
(e) In FY05 and FY04, Sears Holdings
debt represents Sears Roebuck (including Sears Canada) plus Kmart
debt
Sears Holdings remains one of the
largest retailers in the United States in terms of revenues, market
capitalization, and employees. However, our profit margins continue
to lag our competitors. We intend to manage the company‚s expenses
and our inventory position more tightly in 2008 in order to improve
our productivity on both fronts. We will continue to work to improve
our game and work on our skills in the short term, and aim to put
this company on a winning trajectory over the medium and long term.
* * * *
In the remainder of this year's
letter, I will review our performance in 2007 and analyze how we
have performed both in the context of the economic environment and
also over a longer time horizon. I will focus in particular on the
company's cash generation since the merger and on how we have used
the cash over the past three years. I will also describe some of
Sears Holdings‚ unique assets, including our brands, services,
online businesses, real estate, and people. Finally, I will discuss
the current changes we are making at the company in terms of both
organizational structure and management in order to maximize the
value of these resources.
2007 and Fourth Quarter Financial
Performance
The 2007 fiscal year was our third
year as a combined company. In our first two years of operations,
2005 and 2006, we generated substantial profit increases. In 2007,
however, we gave back those profit improvements and returned to the
2004 profit level. But while 2007 was difficult, we cannot lose
sight of the opportunities ahead of us and the resources we have at
our disposal.
For the 2007 fiscal year we reported
net income of $826 million. On a per-share basis, earnings were
$5.70 in 2007. For the fourth quarter of 2007, net income was $426
million ($3.17 per share), as compared to $811 million ($5.27 per
share) in the fourth quarter of 2006.
Because GAAP (Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles) net income includes more than just operating
results (it also includes financing and investing results), we use
an Adjusted EBITDA measure internally to evaluate operating
performance. It is called „Adjusted‰ EBITDA because we also exclude
certain transactions (like gains from asset sales) that we believe
are not reflective of ongoing operating performance. For the 2007
fiscal year our Adjusted EBITDA declined to $2.55 billion, which is
below 2006 and 2005 and comparable to the 2004 level.
Adjusted EBITDA
($ in millions)
Pro Forma*
2007 2006** 2005 2004
Domestic
$ 2,056 $ 3,248 $ 2,622 $ 2,134
% to revenues
4.6 % 6.8 % 5.3 % 4.2 %
Sears Canada
495 416 347 390
% to revenues
8.8 % 8.0 % 6.8 % 8.0 %
Total
$ 2,551 $ 3,664 $ 2,969 $ 2,524
% to revenues
5.0 % 6.9 % 5.5 % 4.5 %
Please see our earnings release
issued today for a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP net
income.
* The "pro forma" Adjusted EBITDA
figures for 2004 and 2005 are derived by combining the results of
Kmart and Sears, Roebuck for those years - i.e., using an assumption
that the two companies were already merged at the beginning of the
2004 fiscal year.
** 2006 was a 53-week year, so 2006 did benefit from an extra week
of operations. We estimate that the extra week benefited 2006 EBITDA
and fourth quarter 2006 EBITDA by approximately $60 million (please
note that this is an estimate because we do not close our books on a
weekly basis).
Before the merger, Kmart earned
almost $1 billion in EBITDA and had approximately 100 million fully
diluted shares outstanding while the combined company earned over
$2.5 billion of Adjusted EBITDA in 2007 and today has approximately
132 million fully diluted shares outstanding and $1.6 billion of
cash, after having deployed roughly $9 billion of cash during the
past three years. We are proud of the progress we've made but do not
believe we have played up to our full potential yet.
2007 in Review
The economy was certainly one of the
factors which contributed to our performance in 2007 - falling
housing prices led to mortgage defaults, which in turn damaged the
credit markets and ultimately led to losses measured in the tens of
billions of dollars across the financial services industry. As a
consumer-facing company, we are adversely affected whenever the
macroeconomic environment challenges the individual consumer.
Further, given the large portion of our business which is in big
ticket, home-related categories (e.g., appliances, tractors,
treadmills) we are strongly affected by changes in the housing
market. But the economy was not the only factor. Looking back, we
also had too much inventory in 2007, particularly in seasonal goods
like apparel.
As I discussed in last year‚s letter,
we ended 2006 with more inventory than we had held in the past. At
the time, we believed that the performance of several of our
businesses justified the increase in our inventory investment to
grow our earnings. Much of the profit improvement that occurred in
both 2005 and 2006 was due to the elimination of unprofitable sales
and promotions as well as due to synergies from the merger. We
viewed these changes as necessary to establish a sound base of
profitability from which to grow. Despite the perception during the
first two years that we were not focused on growing our business, we
were planning to do just that in 2007 through our increased
inventory investment. Unfortunately, we did not foresee the severe
economic turbulence ahead. In hindsight, 2007 was not a good year in
which to operate with increased inventory. The higher inventory
investment coupled with the difficult economic environment led to a
significant increase in markdowns to cl ear product, especially
seasonal product which has a shorter life than basic items. This
created a double hit on gross margin; both lower volume due to
declining sales and a lower gross margin rate due the increased
markdowns. As a result, our gross margin dollars declined by more
than $1 billion from the prior year.
Our current plan is to take a more
conservative posture in 2008. First, we begin 2008 with a lower
inventory level. Domestically, our inventory is down nearly $300
million (when you adjust the $160 million of previously consigned
pharmacy which is now included in our inventory since the first
quarter of 2007). Also, we are currently planning for reduced
inventory purchases in 2008, especially in the spring/summer and
fall/winter seasonal apparel categories. And we intend to more
tightly manage our operating expenses in 2008 to improve our
productivity and in light of the economic environment. But we plan
to continue to invest for the long term in enhancing our
merchandising capabilities, improving our multi-channel experience,
enhancing the in-store customer experience with additional Lands‚
End shops and Craftsman in Kmart, and expanding our Home Services
offerings.
There were several successes in 2007
that I would like to recognize.
The first one is Sears Canada, which
increased its Adjusted EBITDA by nearly 20% to $495 million this
year, or 8.8% of sales. The Sears Canada team has done an excellent
job in focusing on the merchandise offerings and optimizing
promotions, resulting in a 150 basis point expansion in their gross
margin rate.
For the second consecutive year,
Lands‚ End achieved a record year in the profitability of its
traditional direct business (i.e., catalog, online, and inlet
stores) increasing its earnings by 12%. This performance is
impressive as 2007 was not a very good year for apparel and speaks
to the strength of the Lands‚ End business. Not only is it a
respected brand appreciated by many customers for its great
combination of quality and value, it is also a highly profitable
operating business.
Finally, our cash flow generation
remained strong as we generated $1.6 billion of operating cash flow
in 2007, which exceeds the $1.4 billion generated last year. We
ended the year with $1.6 billion in cash, as we deployed $4.3
billion in 2007 as follows:
$2.9 billion for share repurchases;
$600 million for net reductions of
debt;
$580 million for capital
expenditure reinvestments in our business;
and
$220 million contributed to our
legacy pension obligations.
During the year we increased our
buyback activity and reduced our shares outstanding by nearly 15% as
we repurchased approximately 22 million shares at an average price
of $135 per share. In hindsight, although we believe it was a
prudent use of cash, it would have been better if we had exercised
more patience in the buyback as our share price continued to decline
as the year progressed. However, my experience is that it is
difficult to predict short-term stock price performance and that one
should make the best decisions one can with the available
information and a long-term perspective.
History of cash
flow generation
Over our three years of operating as
a combined company, we have generated significant cash flow. Cash
flow generation refers to cash from operations, which is the cash
generated from running the business. The reason for the focus on
cash from operations is because we believe that it provides the best
view of the ongoing cash generation capability of the enterprise as
it excludes the effect of borrowings (other than the interest
expense) and other financial transactions like acquisitions,
divestitures, asset sales, and share repurchases. Obviously, it
makes a big difference whether cash was earned from running the
business or borrowed from a bank - the big difference being that
amounts borrowed must be repaid, with interest.
Cash from operations is before taking
into account capital expenditures.
Some of our capital expenditures are discretionary investments that
we choose to make back into our business. This is an important point
that doesn‚t seem to be as widely understood as it should be.
Managers make an explicit choice among a number of alternatives when
deciding to invest funds back into the business. The only sound
economic reason to make such a choice is when we believe
the capital expenditures will earn a better return for our
shareholders than other potential uses would produce. If we are not
convinced that capital expenditures will produce acceptable returns,
the better course is to use this capital in other ways, including
returning these funds to our shareholders through buybacks or
dividends.
Some have wondered why we haven‚t
invested more money in our stores. This is a legitimate question. In
theory, a company can always invest more money in its operations,
but, when we make an investment we expect to earn an appropriate
return. Since we have invested a significant amount of capital in
hundreds of stores, we have some good data to work with to better
understand what works and what does not. In some cases, our
investments have led to higher earnings in the stores in which we
invested and we continue to make investments like those today. In
other cases, however, the investment has not led to acceptably
improved performance.
Let's look at a hypothetical example.
Imagine that we invested $200 million to remodel or improve 100
stores, or $2 million per store. If the store profitability after
that investment is exactly the same as before, then the $200 million
investment generates 0% in return. By simply keeping our money in
cash, we could have earned anywhere from 3-5% over the past several
years, which is better than the 0% return in this case.
The related question then becomes:
why can't you find ways to invest in your stores that generate an
acceptable return? That's exactly the problem we have been working
to solve and we will continue to work until we solve it. Until then,
we will seek to be responsible with our shareholders‚ capital and to
make decisions based on the results of the portfolio of tests that
we have in process at any point in time.
Pressing this point even further,
some might ask, if you can‚t justify investing in your stores, then
how are you going to grow your business? To be clear, we are not
saying that we can‚t justify investing in our stores. The issue is
more about the size and type of investment as well as the timing and
sequencing of an investment. There are many things that a retailer
can do to improve its business without the significant amounts of
capital that a major remodel would require. Improving the assortment
of products and services, mix of inventory, visual presentation,
recruitment and training of employees, and marketing and
communications to customers are all ways to generate improved
performance. They all require significant investments, but we
already invest a significant amount of capital and expense in all of
these areas. The key is to improve the productivity of these
investments. Our marketing and labor spend is in the billions of
dollars each and we need to work diligently to get the most from
these significant investments. Fundamentally, our capital allocation
decisions are influenced by the alignment of management and owners
with the goal of creating value for the shareholders of the
business.
Let me return to the main point,
which is that cash generated from operations is one of the key
factors of our business. But we also need to consider one more
factor: pension contributions. Cash from operations (as defined by
accounting rules) is reduced by the cash contributed to pension plans,
which has been significant for us over the past three years.
However, we do not consider this cost to be part of cash from
operations because it does not represent a current operating cost.
Both Sears and Kmart have legacy pension obligations, which we
inherited and which do not relate to current operations. These
pension obligations arose because both predecessor Sears and Kmart
companies promised pension benefits to associates but did not
provide funds sufficient to pay for that promise at the time (given
changes in interest rates, actuarial assumptions, and returns on
plan assets). Over the past three years, we have contributed
approximately $800 million pre-tax to the Sears and Kmart pension
plans and we currently expect to contribute several hundred million
more in total over the next few years. However, we (along with the
rating agencies) view this pension cost as more akin to a repayment
of debt incurred years ago than an ongoing cost.
With all that being said, how much
cash have we generated from operations over the past three years?
From my perspective it is about $6 billion, computed as follows:
Cash from operations
$ 5.3 billion
Add back pension contributions
$ 0.8 billion
Total
$ 6.1 billion
That is certainly a significant
amount of cash that has been generated by our enterprise since 2004.
Uses of cash
Over the last three years, we have
spent a total of $4.3 billion on share repurchases. We have
repurchased 33 million shares at an average cost of
$132 per share. With this buyback activity, we have reduced our
shares outstanding by 20%. For those investors who have sold their
shares, we have helped provide liquidity to exit their investment.
For those investors who have held onto their shares, they get to
participate to a greater extent in the company's future performance.
Debt reduction has been another area
of significant focus for us over the last three years. We have
reduced our total obligations by more than $3 billion, in the
following two ways. First, we have repaid $1.8 billion of our debt.
Our debt balance is currently only $2.3 billion ($3.0 billion with
capital leases) - which is quite modest for a company of our size
and with our earnings. This number includes the debt of Sears Canada
and Orchard Supply Hardware. Excluding this subsidiary debt leaves a
remaining balance of $1.6 billion.
Second, we have focused on reducing
our pension and other retirement benefit obligations (as noted
above, this is similar to debt). Over the past three years we have
reduced this obligation by $1.3 billion, cutting our retirement
benefit liabilities in half from their balance of $2.6 billion at
the time of the merger. This reduction is mostly due to the $800
million we have contributed to pension plans, but the payments we
have made for other legacy retiree benefits (like medical coverage
and life insurance) and the investment returns generated by our
pension assets have also contributed to the reduction in the
liability.
In contrast to the attention that our
share repurchases have received, it is generally not well understood
or appreciated how much we have reduced our debt and pension
obligations. Our decision to reduce debt stands in contrast to the
practice of some other retail companies that have increased their
debt levels significantly in recent years.
In addition to share repurchases and
debt reduction, we have also invested in our business over this
period, as we have devoted $1.7 billion to capital expenditures. The
total investment in our business is $2.0 billion if you include the
$300 million we deployed last year to increase our ownership in
Sears Canada. We have remodeled hundreds of stores during that time
and have invested significantly in new technology platforms and
information systems to enhance our online, supply chain and
merchandising capabilities.
As a public company we are always
focused on shareholder returns. However, as you can see, we
simultaneously reduced our obligations and invested in our
businesses over this time period. As a result of these actions, we
enter 2008 fortunate to have a strong balance sheet. This,
accompanied by cash flow generation, can be a very powerful
combination, especially in difficult economic times. Among other
things, it provides the capacity to pursue opportunities which may
become available due to the environment. At the end of the day, our
goal is to create value by generating cash and using that cash
wisely, not simply to accumulate cash.
Resources
As we look forward to 2008 and beyond
we certainly face a number of challenges ˜ some based on the
macroeconomic environment, and others specific to our company. At
the same time, we see a number of important resources that are
unique to Sears Holdings. As our company strives to experience
success in the years to come, we will need to draw heavily upon
these important attributes.
One of our most important resources
is the great brands we own, in particular DieHard, Craftsman,
Kenmore, and Lands‚ End. All four of these brands have significant
equity with customers and provide tremendous opportunity for value
creation. To illustrate, let me discuss one of them, DieHard, in
more detail. Based on brand recognition studies, DieHard leads in
customer recognition among car battery brands by a wide margin, but
it lags dramatically in market share. Why? We believe it is due to
fewer points of distribution. As a proprietary brand, DieHard is
only available in 900 Sears Auto Centers and 1,400 Kmart stores. Yet
it is competing with other batteries that are available in thousands
of locations across the country. Further, a car battery purchase is
a duress purchase event, in which the customer is looking for the
nearest, most convenient solution. Unfortunately, it is not always
us, but there is an opportunity for us to rethink our brand
distribution strategy to create value.
Home services, including
installation, delivery, and repair, represent another important
resource of our company. Our extensive network of in-home and
in-store service businesses gives us a great opportunity to retain
long-term relationships with our customers ˆ a chance to deliver
value not only at the point of sale but on an ongoing basis, and a
chance to learn continuously about our customers and what they like
and do not like about our products.
We also benefit from owning multiple
growing and profitable on-line businesses, which enhance our
multi-channel customer experience. Sears.com, Landsend.com and
PartsDirect.com are all successful ways that we are engaged with our
customers. For those who are not familiar with PartsDirect.com, it
is the website through which we provide repair parts. In my view
PartsDirect.com clearly illustrates the power of the online selling
channel as it combines access to both the product (carrying more
than 7 million repair parts from 450 manufacturers) and information
(more than 750,000 schematic diagrams of products and the parts of
which they are comprised) necessary to help our customers replace
worn-out parts on their own. Clearly, it is going to be
essential in the years and decades to come for any retail business
to be not just competent but outstanding online. I would not put
Sears Holdings in the outstanding category yet, but I believe we are
trending in the right direction.
Sears Holdings also benefits from
possessing substantial real estate assets.
We have a physical presence in almost all major communities in the
United States. In addition, we own a significant number of our
larger stores including about 750 Sears Full-line, Kmart and The
Great Indoors store locations. We also own 10 distribution centers
as well as our Home Office campus located in Hoffman Estates,
Illinois. We believe that these properties are a substantial benefit
to our business.
All of these assets are valued by our
customers and allow us to present solutions to enhance our
customers‚ lives. Not only do we have a legacy of trust, which we
seek to continually strengthen, we also are known for the quality
and value of our products and services, which we are able to present
to our customers through multiple channels. Our associates in our
stores are also critical resources, who are at the front lines of
building customer relationships every day.
As we look ahead, these are some of
the unique assets we see playing critical roles in the future of
Sears Holdings.
New Structure and
Personnel Changes
We have recently undertaken a
reorganization of the internal workings of Sears Holdings. The idea
behind the reorganization is to drive decision-making down into the
organization and to harness free-market forces to convert a
centrally planned company into a more decentralized company. In
effect, Sears Holdings will operate as a holding company that owns
five types of businesses: operating businesses; support businesses
(e.g., finance, marketing); online businesses; real estate
businesses; and brand businesses. In the case of the operating and
support business categories, there will be a number of business units that fall into those
categories, each run by a single leader accountable for its results.
The holding company will define the "Sears Way" of doing business,
appoint the leaders of the business units, and have its senior
executives act as board members for each of the business units.
We know that corporate
reorganizations are often greeted with skepticism, but we do believe
strongly in the spirit and philosophy behind this reorganization.
Our hope is that the new structure will bring much more focus,
clarity, and accountability to the process of analyzing the
performance of our company's various business units. In turn, the
hope is that greater visibility and accountability will help us
identify, monitor, and accelerate the improvements we require to be
more competitive. The pace of implementing the new structure will
depend on the ability of each business unit leader and the needs of
each business unit.
Our mission is to provide our
customers with the products and services they want. And, we need to
be prepared to supply them where and when our customers want. In
many cases, that may not be exclusively through our stores. Instead,
it could be online, via catalog, or possibly even through other
retail outlets. We will now have a dedicated brand team who will
manage our branded products - Kenmore, Craftsman, and DieHard, that
way. Furthermore, we will have a Real Estate business that
will act as an internal landlord, providing access to space and
maximizing the value of that space over time. In order to be
successful in the future we need to more quickly adapt to the
changing marketplace and we believe that this structure will help us
do that. We have begun the process of transforming the organization
to this new model, but it will take some time to build the processes
and information systems necessary to support the structure.
In addition to these structural
changes, Sears has recently announced a few important changes in our
senior executive ranks. In any company, especially in turnaround
situations and in difficult times for an industry, one would expect
that there would naturally be executive and employee turnover. We
strive to give our managers and associates sufficient opportunities
to learn, to grow, and to take responsibility for driving their
businesses. Retail is a challenging industry and the ability to
attract and retain talent is a high priority for us at Sears
Holdings. At the same time, we need to ensure that we continue to
promote and build a performance-oriented culture. I want to
specifically recognize all of the associates who fulfill our mission
every day, helping to improve the lives of our customers by
providing quality services, products, and solutions that earn their
trust and build lifetime relationships.
In late January we announced that we
have begun a search for a new chief executive officer for Sears
Holdings. I want to take this opportunity to again thank Aylwin
Lewis, for his leadership and dedication over the past
three-and-a-half years, first as CEO of Kmart and most recently as
CEO of Sears Holdings. Aylwin led the integration of Kmart and Sears
Roebuck and helped meld these two cultures. He has exemplified the
qualities that are core to our company and its principles: hard work
and ethical leadership. I enjoyed working with Aylwin over the last
three years and I appreciate his contributions to the Company and
the support he has provided me.
Second, while we interview candidates
to become our new CEO, we are fortunate that we have such a strong
interim leader in Bruce Johnson. Bruce has begun implementing the
important organizational changes that will allow our business units
to operate with greater independence, focus, and efficiency. Bruce
is an experienced retail and consumer products executive. He joined
Kmart in 2003 after five years at French retail chain Carrefour,
where he served as director, organization and systems and as a
member of the management board. Before that, Bruce spent 16 years at
Colgate-Palmolive in various positions. Bruce has worked hard not
only to integrate and improve our supply chain and increase our
direct sourcing of product, but in 2006 took responsibility for
store operations as well. As interim CEO, Bruce is overseeing the
separate business units described above.
Finally, I will continue to lead the
Office of the Chairman and focus on identifying and attracting
talented executives to our company, including a new chief executive
officer. I will also work to ensure that our new structure supports
our objectives of greater accountability, faster decision-making,
and increased profitability. I believe the reorganization will allow
our leaders to be more productive and efficient and allow us to
attract talented executives who are eager to take on the challenges
of running their own businesses.
* * * *
We remain committed to creating
value, growing in a disciplined way, and aiming to be a leader in
the retail industry. As I said last year, it‚s important for all of
us at the company to keep in mind that we could not do any of this
without your continued support as shareholders. We sincerely thank
you for allowing us to work on your behalf, and we look forward to
continuing our efforts in 2008 and beyond.
Respectfully,
Edward S. Lampert, Chairman
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Statements: Certain statements contained in this
letter contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Those statements
include, but are not limited to: statements about the ability of
Sears Holdings (the "Company") to increase its revenue and profits,
innovate, manage spending and invest its capital profitably; the
Company‚s risk management processes; the Company‚s inventory levels,
debt capacity and future cash flows; future share repurchase
activities; the Company's pension liability and its ability and
plans to fund its pension obligations. These forward-looking
statements are based on assumptions about the future that are
subject to risks and uncertainties. The following factors, among
others, could cause actual results to differ from those set forth in
the forward-looking statements: the risk that the Company fails to
offer merchandise and services that its customers want; the risk
that the Company does not successfully manage its inventory levels;
the ability of the Company to compete effectively in the highly
competitive retail industry; the Company‚s failure to successfully
invest available capital could negatively affect the Company's
performance; the Company may fail to properly implement and realize
the expected benefits from our new organizational structure and
operating model; comparable store sales may fluctuate for a variety of reasons; the Company may
rely on foreign sources for significant amounts of merchandise, and
its business may therefore be negatively affected by the risks
associated with international trade; the possibility of disruptions
in computer systems to process transactions, summarize results and
manage the Company‚s business; the loss of key personnel; the
Company may be subject to product liability claims if people or
property are harmed by the products it sells; the Company may be
subject to periodic litigation and other regulatory proceedings,
which may be affected by changes in laws and government regulations
or changes in the enforcement thereof; and a decline in general
economic conditions, consumer spending levels and other conditions
could lead to reduced consumer demand for the Company‚s merchandise.
Certain of these and other factors are discussed in more detail in
the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
In addition, these forward-looking statements are intended to speak
only as of the time of this letter and no undertaking is made to
update or revise them as more information becomes available.
Lampert's New Role
Model
Edward S. Lampert has taken a lot of
hits during his time as chairman of Sears Holdings. But he
apparently sees himself as spiritual kin to a pro football player
who endured years of ridicule before finally winning a championship.
In his annual letter to shareholders,
Mr. Lampert congratulated Eli Manning, the young New York Giants
quarterback who led his team to victory in Super Bowl XLII this year
and won the Most Valuable Player trophy ˜ but only after suffering
nearly four years of insults and mockery for his inability to lead
his team. Mr. Lampert (a New York Jets fan, mind you) sees an
instructive lesson in that, as his company reported a 47 percent
decline in profits for the fourth quarter.
"Like Eli Manning, we know what it‚s
like to be underestimated and questioned, but we intend to keep
working on our game to achieve our full potential," he declares.
Read the beginning of the letter
after the jump.
February 28, 2008
To Our Shareholders:
I would like to start off this letter
in a rather unconventional way by congratulating the New York
Giants, led by their young quarterback Eli Manning and by head coach
Tom Coughlin, for winning the Super Bowl earlier this month. This
was quite an upset victory. Throughout the regular season, fans and
the media were quick to criticize Manning every time he had a bad
game, and to question his leadership. As recently as late November,
after a particularly disappointing loss to Minnesota in which
Manning threw four interceptions, many pundits were declaring him a
bust. Manning, however, did not give up or lose heart. He remained
focused, continued to work hard on his game and on improving his
skills, ultimately leading the Giants to the NFL Championship and
being named the Super Bowl MVP.
I mention this not because I am a
Giants fan (I am actually a lifelong fan of the New York Jets) but
rather because the Giants‚ story reminds me of what we went through
a few years ago with Kmart. When I first became involved with Kmart
in 2002, during its bankruptcy, the company had been given up for
dead by most industry analysts and media commentators. Kmart was
like an undrafted free agent who nobody thought had a chance to play
in the big leagues. Its more than 150,000 employees and its
investors had an uncertain future. Despite intense criticism of and
skepticism about the company and its prospects, we were able to
rally Kmart‚s various constituents and turn an unprofitable, failing
company into a profitable company with hope for the future. Like Eli
Manning, we know what it‚s like to be underestimated and questioned,
but we intend to keep working on our game to achieve our full
potential.
I would be the first to tell you that
I never expected it to be easy, and it certainly hasn't been. But it
has been rewarding ˆ rewarding to those investors in Kmart who stuck
with the company after it emerged from bankruptcy, to the vendors
who continued doing business with Kmart, to the associates who
remained with Kmart, and to the customers and communities who
continued to support the company.
In late 2004, Kmart was on its way to
earning almost $1 billion in Earnings Before Interest, Taxes,
Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA), had built up almost $4
billion in cash, and had virtually no debt. In November 2004, we
believed that the company‚s prospects could be enhanced by a partner
who could help improve the productivity of Kmart‚s almost 1,500
stores. Sears had been challenged for many years and found itself
seeking a way to grow outside of the mall. Expanding by building a
large number of stores was a risky strategy. By merging, the
combined company would have the scale, time, and capabilities to
compete more effectively against many of its more profitable rivals.
Again, at the announcement of the
merger there were skeptics in the industry, in the media, and in the
financial community. Many of the issues raised were valid. However,
the sensationalist tone masked the real debate. How would Kmart
compete against the more profitable and better capitalized Wal-Mart
and Target? How would Sears compete with Home Depot and Lowe‚s as
well as Best Buy, Kohl‚s and JC Penney? Why would we believe that we
could do something that so many others had tried with mixed results?
All of these are legitimate
questions. What we have tried to do is improve our operations in the
near term while positioning ourselves for long-term success. After
the merger, we initially worked to improve our operations by
focusing on the basics, like markdown disciplines and expense
management. At the same time, we have been prioritizing our
resources to rebuild many of the company‚s systems and processes by
taking a longer-term view than most investors and business managers.
Looking forward, I continue to be
excited about the prospects for Sears Holdings. In 2008, we need to
reverse much of the profit erosion we experienced in 2007. It won't
be easy, especially if the economy stays soft. The environment
surrounding U.S. retail has been very difficult; we were not alone
in experiencing disappointing performance this past year. Many
retail companies lost significant market value. As illustrated in
the table below, while the recent correction has brought Sears
Holdings‚ stock price down from an increase of nearly 20 times since
Kmart emerged from bankruptcy to around ten times, it remains one of
the top-performing retail stocks over the past five years. In
addition, it is not clear that heavy expenditures of capital
guarantee either short or long term success. Like any investment of
capital, the return on that capital over time will determine its
wisdom.
Go to Sears Holding Letter via the
Securities and Exchange Commission


Sears
Earnings Fall More Than Analysts' Projections
By Lauren Coleman-Lochner
- Bloomberg.com
February 28, 2008
Sears Holdings Corp., the retailer
controlled by investor Edward Lampert, reported fourth-quarter profit
that plunged more than analysts projected after appliance and clothing
sales declined.
Net income fell 47 percent to $426
million, or $3.17 a share, in the three months ended Feb. 2 from $811
million, or $5.27, the Hoffman Estates, Illinois-based company said
today in a statement. Revenue declined 6.8 percent to $15.07 billion.
Sears announced a reorganization last
month to revive sales as consumers burdened by higher fuel, food and
mortgage costs cut spending or shopped elsewhere. The retailer has
posted sales declines in stores open at least a year in every quarter
since Lampert combined the Sears Roebuck and Kmart chains three years
ago.
"I'm not sure that there's anybody out
there who says, 'Sears or Kmart is my favorite place to shop'", said
David Keuler, a money manager at Mason Street Advisors. The Milwaukee
firm holds Sears shares only in index funds and not in its actively
managed portfolios.
Seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg
estimated profit of $3.11 a share. Profit
included a 13-cent gain from asset sales.
Sears rose 24 cents to $101.60 yesterday
in Nasdaq Stock Market composite trading. The stock, little changed this
year, has lost 43 percent of its value in the past 12 months through
yesterday.
'Like Eli Manning'
Lampert began a letter to shareholders
released today by praising the New York Giants' upset Super Bowl win and
comparing the National Football League team to Kmart, which he brought
out of bankruptcy in 2003.
"Like Eli Manning, we know what it's like
to be underestimated and questioned", Lampert wrote, referring to the
Giants' quarterback.
Sears had too much inventory last year,
particularly in clothing, Lampert said in the letter.
"Our current plan is to take a more
conservative posture in 2008", he wrote. "We
intend to manage the company's expenses and our inventory position more
tightly in 2008 in order to improve our productivity on both fronts."
To stem declining sales, Lampert ousted
Chief Executive Officer Aylwin Lewis last month and reorganized the
company into five units: support services; apparel and home goods;
online sales; real estate; and development of its brands, such as
Craftsman tools. The retailer also cut 200 jobs, or about 4 percent, at
its headquarters to save costs. The company operates about 3,800 stores
in the U.S. and Canada.
Analyst's View
"We do not expect any change to the
downward trajectory in the near term'' as
consumers curtail spending on clothes and appliances, Bill Dreher, an
analyst at Deutsche Bank AG in New York, wrote in a Jan. 23 report. "On
the positive side, the shift in strategic focus could improve
transparency and help investors better understand the value of the
individual units."
Dreher recommends
selling the shares.
Sales at stores open at least a year fell
4 percent at Sears stores and 5.2 percent at Kmart for a total of 4.5
percent companywide, led by declines in appliances and clothing.
Lampert said the new structure will
bolster earnings and attract customers. Sears
has lost shoppers to competitors such as J.C. Penney Co. and Target
Corp. in recent years.
"This is a man who is not a retailer,
who's pretending to be a retailer,"
Richard Jaffe, an analyst at Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. in New York, said in
an interview yesterday. In the retail industry, "history suggests the
near impossibility of taking a distressed business and turning it
around," he said. Jaffe doesn't have a rating on Sears shares.


Sears Posts 47% Drop in Net Income As Economic Woes Hit Bottom Line
By Donna Kardos - Dow Jones
Newswires
February 28, 2008
Sears Holdings Corp.'s fiscal
fourth-quarter net income fell 47% on declining margins as the
weakening economy and increasing competition continued to hurt
sales.
For the quarter ended Feb. 2, the
retailer controlled by hedge-fund manager Edward S. Lampert posted
net income of $426 million, or $3.17 a share, down from $811
million, or $5.27 a share, a year earlier. After reporting last
month that same-store holiday sales fell at domestic stores, Sears
projected earnings of $350 million to $470 million, sharply below
analysts' estimates. Excluding items, including divestiture gains,
earnings fell to $3.04 a share from $5.30.
Sears, which gets about 40% of its
revenue from home goods and appliances, saw its revenue fall 6.8% to
$15.07 billion, driven by lower same-store sales and an additional
week of sales in the prior year. The mean estimates of analysts
polled by Thomson Financial were for earnings of $3.10 a share on
revenue of $15.26 billion.
Gross margin slumped to 27.7% from
29.7%, reflecting increased markdowns to mitigate the sales weakness
and resulting higher levels of inventory.
Total domestic same-store sales
declined 4.5%, dropping 4% at Sears's namesake stores and 5.2% at
the Kmart discount chain. The company attributed the drops to
competition and the economy, notably the housing downturn, less
disposable income and higher prices for consumer staples. Sears
noted it saw a more pronounced decline in same-store sales in
January.
Merchandise inventory levels
increased 1% to $10 billion, as a 1.1% reduction in domestic
inventory levels was offset by an increase in inventory levels at
Sears Canada, largely due to the weaker dollar.
Sears said it had cash and cash
equivalents of $1.6 billion at the end of the quarter -- $749
million domestically and $879 at Sears Canada -- compared with $3.8
billion a year earlier. Analysts have been watching the company's
cash position, as less cash could limit management's ability to
spend big to revitalize sales and stores, especially at a time in
the fiscal year when Sears's operations consume large amounts of
cash.
Lots of cash continued to be used for
share buybacks, with the company spending $2.9 billion in the fiscal
year, including $553 million in the fourth quarter. Sears had $183
million available for purchase as of Feb. 2 under current repurchase
authorization.
Sears's once-dominant place supplying
refrigerators and washing machines to American homes has been
chipped away by competitors such as Lowe's Cos. and Best Buy Co.,
while its clothing business has suffered at the hands of Kohl's
Corp. and J.C. Penney Co. and its identity as the nation's broadest
one-stop shop was usurped years ago by Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
The company last month ousted its
chief executive and announced plans to restructure into five
autonomous units in an effort to make the 121-year-old retailer more
nimble and profitable. Earlier this month, Sears said it will
eliminate about 200 employees at its headquarters as it tries to cut
costs.
Meanwhile, analysts have been
questioning whether Mr. Lampert's focus on cost control will pay
off, particularly if Sears keeps shuffling executives and employees
continue to follow each other out the door. Not long after its CEO
was ousted, the company saw the exits of two other senior
executives. And a week ago, the Sears announced the departure of two
veteran merchandising executives who oversaw Kenmore appliances and
Craftsman tools, two of the company's best-known and most lucrative
brands.
Sears shares closed Wednesday at
$101.60 and there was no premarket activity.


Allstate Chairman, Financial Chief To Retire; Boosts Dividend, OKs
Buyback
Dow Jones
Newswires
February 26, 2008
Allstate Corp. (ALL) said Chairman
Edward M. Liddy and Chief Financial Officer Dan Hale will retire,
effective April 30 and March 31 respectively.
Separately, the Northbrook, Ill.,
insurance company raised its quarterly dividend to 41 cents from 38
cents and approved a $2 billion share repurchase program.
Liddy will be succeeded by Thomas J.
Wilson, who will remain president and chief executive.
Samuel Pilch, group vice president
and controller, will serve as acting chief financial officer while
the company searches for a successor.
The dividend is payable on April 1 to
shareholders of record on March 14. The repurchase program is
scheduled to be completed by March 31, 2009.
Allstate shares were at $49.36 in
after-hours trading, after closing the regular session up 64 cents,
or 1.3%, at $48.82.


Deere retirees 'feel sense of betrayal' on health insurance
By Bob Tita - Chicago
Business.com
February 27, 2008
(Crain's) - Deere & Co. retirees on
Wednesday accused CEO Robert Lane of disregarding their service to
the farm equipment maker by imposing more expensive health insurance
coverage on them.
About 5,000 salaried retirees who had
been receiving the same coverage as when they were on the job were
given a choice of different insurance plans that some retirees
maintain will cost them thousands of dollars more a year and provide
fewer benefits than the old plan.
Dozens of retirees attended
Wednesday‚s annual shareholder‚s meeting and some voiced their
opposition to the changes when Mr. Lane fielded questions from the
audience. Mike Stohlmeyer, 67, of East Moline said retirees were
promised the continuation of their health insurance coverage as part
of their retirement benefits.
"We feel a sense of betrayal," he
said after the meeting at the company's Moline headquarters. "We
view Deere as a family. Where's the loyalty? Where's the
compassion."
Mr. Lane, however, says the company
isn‚t reneging on retirees‚ health insurance coverage, but can't
afford inefficiencies in the old plan. By giving retirees more
options on coverage, the company hopes to control escalating
insurance costs.
"We are confident that because of
your personal involvement the program will be more effective," he
said. "We continue to believe these changes are beneficial to the
retirees and to the company."
With the possibility of a lawsuit
from the retirees looming, Mr. Lane mostly declined to comment on
specifics about the coverage or discuss the company's costs for it.
However, he took exception at characterizing the relationship
between the company and its employees as a family.
"For most of you, you‚re not out of a
family if you're not pulling your weight," said Mr. Lane, who
described Deere as a "high-performance team." "If you're not pulling
your weight on a high-performance team, you're not on the team."


Allstate chairman, CFO
to retire
Chicago Business.com
February 26, 2008
(AP) Allstate Corp. Chairman Edward
M. Liddy plans to retire at the end of April and the company's chief
financial officer plans to retire at the end of March, the insurer
said Tuesday.
Liddy, 62, spearheaded the insurer's
initial public offering and spinoff from Sears, Roebuck and Co., and
has been with the company since 1994. He will be succeeded by Thomas
J. Wilson, 50, who is also chief executive and president.
"Ed Liddy made an indelible mark on
Allstate," Wilson said in a statement.
Liddy was president and chief
operating officer of Allstate from 1994 through 1998, and chairman
and CEO from 1999 to 2006.
Wilson will continue to serve as
president and CEO.
Dan Hale has been CFO since 2003.
Allstate is conducting a search for Hale's successor, considering
candidates from inside and outside the company.
In the meantime, Samuel Pilch, 61,
will be acting CFO. Pilch has been corporate controller for 12 years
and was formerly treasurer of Travelers Insurance Co.
Joan Crockett, senior vice-president
of human resources, also is retiring. Crockett, 57, has led
Allstate's human resources department for 14 years, capping 35 years
of service at the company.
Crockett will be replaced by James
DeVries, who joins Allstate from Principal Financial Group.


Sears CEO job tough sell
By Sandra M. Jones - Tribune
Reporter - Chicago Tribune
February 25, 2008
Edward Lampert has had no luck filling
the position at the struggling retailer, as top candidates are looking
for a level of control, direction and compensation
Edward Lampert, the billionaire
hedge-fund investor mired in turning around Sears Holdings Corp., has
been looking for a chief executive to run the retail giant since last
fall, a longer time period than publicly acknowledged, according to
several executives familiar with the search.
It's been an uphill slog.
The dilemma: Candidates for the CEO job
want the freedom to set direction and hold sway over business-unit
leaders. Yet with Lampert's wealth and reputation so closely tied to
Sears, the billionaire, not surprisingly, is loathe to give up much
control, a factor that is getting in the way of closing a deal,
according to people with knowledge of the situation.
With Sears warning its fourth-quarter
profit, to be reported Thursday, will plummet for the second quarter in
a row, and its closely watched cash position shrinking, filling the
leadership void takes on new urgency. Sears is in the midst of a
reorganization that has left workers and investors alike at loose ends
over the company's direction.
"It's a very hard sell," said Nancy
Koehn, a professor and retail historian at Harvard Business School.
"It's not clear what the strategy of this company is, and that makes it
hard to find a CEO. Somebody who is effective and ambitious wants to go
into a place where they have the freedom to set a clear-cut strategy."
The Hoffman Estates-based company
announced its intention to hire a new CEO in January to replace Aylwin
Lewis, the fast-food executive Lampert handpicked to run the company
created when Kmart Holdings Corp. bought Sears, Roebuck and Co. in 2005.
Sears has at least two search firms on
the prowl for talent, Russell Reynolds Associates and Korn/Ferry
International, according to people familiar with the situation.
The new CEO will be charged with
overseeing a new structure of many business units, including real
estate, online, brands, support and store operations, that operate
independently, have their own profit-and-loss responsibilities and own
advisory boards.
Lampert has said the move is meant to
speed decision-making and improve accountability, but many on Wall
Street see it as a precursor to selling off pieces of the business.
The confusion has interfered with Sears'
ability to attract a CEO.
One candidate close to taking the job in
January backed away after becoming convinced the strategy didn't make
sense and the reporting structure didn't allow the CEO enough control to
fix the retailer, according to a person familiar with the situation.
Exodus casts a pall
When Sears announced Lewis' departure
last month, Lampert said he planned to remove himself from the daily
operations, a role he has played for more than two years. But even if
Lampert can pull himself away, an exodus of senior executives has cast a
pall over the frontline managers who in the end will have to execute any
plan.
At least nine top executives, including
Lewis, have left since January 2007.
Tina Settecase, vice president of home
appliances, resigned Friday. Greg Inwood, vice president of
merchandising for e-commerce and formerly head of Craftsman tools,
hardware and paint, left several weeks ago. Both were Sears veterans.
John Walden, chief customer officer, left
in January after less than one year. Bob Luse, senior vice president of
human resources, left in earlier this month. Peter Whitsett, senior vice
president for merchandising at the Kmart division, departed in November.
And early last year, three key executives
left: Dan Laughlin, senior vice president of merchandising for
appliances and electronics; Joan Chow, chief marketing officer for the
Sears division; and Craig Monaghan, chief financial officer. Monaghan,
who had worked for Lampert as CFO of AutoNation Inc., another of
Lampert's big investments, resigned after less than six months on the
job.
A Sears spokesman declined comment.
Officials at Russell Reynolds and Korn/Ferry didn't return calls.
Buying on the cheap
Ultimately, Lampert could find himself
faced with choices he would rather not make: settling for a
less-than-seasoned CEO, paying a premium in compensation and terms, or
going back to running the company himself.
Lampert wants to hire an experienced
executive of "GE caliber," said one high-level executive familiar with
the search, referring to the sterling reputation General Electric Co.
has for churning out top-tier managers. Yet, in reality, executives at
that level want to run the show and are likely to clash if Lampert
interferes, analysts said.
Then there is the pay issue. Lampert is
disinclined to pay a premium for anything. He made his fortune by buying
companies on the cheap. At Sears he has skimped on capital investment in
the stores and squeezed suppliers. And he doesn't like to pay for star
power.
Martha Stewart and Bob Vila are cases
in point.
Shortly after taking over Sears, Lampert
asked the home-decor diva to accept less money under her long-term
contract with Kmart if she wanted to expand her distribution into Sears
stores. Martha Stewart said no and signed an exclusive deal with Macy's
for a new line of home products. Lampert similarly ended a long-standing
contract with home-remodeling celebrity Bob Vila.
"Obviously, it's going to be very
difficult to find the right person," said Alan Barocas, an Atlanta-based
retail consultant and the former head of Gap Inc.'s real estate
department. "If you want somebody with a track record of success, you
will have to pay an extra premium to work for Lampert."
In the end, Lampert's unspoken strategy
may be as simple as finding a way to untether his destiny from the
retailer. The Sears chairman owns 48 percent of the company through his
Greenwich, Conn.-based hedge fund, which caters to wealthy investors. It
is the fund's largest equity holding.
"It's going to be challenging for him to
find someone without being creative in how he structures the deal," said
Mark Reilly, partner at 3C-Compensation Consulting Consortium. "Nobody's
been able to figure Sears out. If they can find someone to do that, that
person is going to be worth a lot of money."
---
RESIGNATIONS ADD TO
SEARS' UPHEAVAL
At least nine top executives have left
Sears Holdings Corp. since January 2007. Among them:
John Walden, chief customer officer, who
left in January after less than one year.
Aylwin Lewis, a fast-food executive
handpicked by Lampert as CEO, exited last month.
Joan Chow, chief marketing officer for
the Sears division, left early last year.
Craig Monaghan, chief financial officer,
resigned after less than six months.


Outsider CEOs: breath of fresh air or more hot air?
Chicago Business Editorial
February 25, 2008
In business, as in politics, few
figures are as alluring as the brilliant outsider who promises
innovative solutions to seemingly intractable problems. Shareholders
and directors of struggling companies, exasperated by veteran
managers' inability to devise successful strategies, often seek
"fresh thinking" by looking beyond their industry for new
leadership.
Fresh thinking and innovation, of
course, are critical to any business. But companies that seek
salvation abroad ignore a basic fact: True innovation springs only
from a deep understanding of how an industry and its market work.
Few outsiders helicoptered in to save a major company bring that
kind of insight. They tend to offer simplistic strategies that
overlook the company's real problems.
Cell phone maker Motorola Inc., for
example, hired a computer industry executive as CEO a few years ago.
At first, Edward Zander seemed to have fixed Motorola's problems
with the wildly popular Razr phone. Only later did it become clear
that the Razr was a lucky hit, conceived before Mr. Zander arrived.
The Razr's popularity soon ebbed, revealing that Motorola's real
problems — an inability to develop new phones quickly and
manufacture them efficiently — remained unsolved.
A similar scenario is playing out at
Sears Holdings Corp., where hedge fund manager Edward Lampert took
over a few years ago promising radical change.
Disregarding industry convention, he invested little in Sears stores
and sucked billions out of the company through stock buybacks. Lo
and behold, profits are now plunging as shoppers bypass its shopworn
stores.
Perhaps the most dramatic local case
of outsider appeal is at Tribune Co., where directors tossed the
keys to real estate mogul Sam Zell for a nominal investment on his
part. Despite falling circulation, ad sales and cash flows, Mr. Zell
plopped $13 billion in acquisition debt on the company and casually
assured everyone that all would be well once he worked his
unspecified magic.
But recently, his tone has changed.
He's cursing at employees, calling the situation at Tribune a
"crisis" and warning it has "no future" if things don't change. Now
that's fresh thinking.


Attention, Lampert: Red-light Sears, blue-light Kmart
By Rance Crain
- Chicago Business.com
February 25, 2008
My daughter Heather's solution to the
Sears meltdown: Be more like sibling Kmart.
Heather was thrilled when she went to
Kmart to buy sheets and discovered the store's Martha Stewart
Everyday line had linens with thread counts of 600. When she's in a
hurry, Heather likes the easier parking (Kmarts are free-standing
and not located in malls like department stores) and the fact that
Kmart provides shopping carts to haul away all that bedding.
Sears, on the other hand, is a mess.
The merchandise is piled together without rhyme or reason. At the
Sears store in Hyannis, Mass., on Cape Cod, which is across the road
from a Kmart, the Craftsman tools are right next to the patio
furniture, next to windows, bedding — a big mishmash of stuff all
jumbled together. Children's wear is with appliances and
electronics. The best thing Sears has going for it — the Lands' End
line of men's and women's clothing — is jammed into a corner and
displayed in the same careless way.Not a very good first impression.
After Sears, I went to Kmart. It's
less jumbled and more open but a little on the faded side. The
electronics department had plenty of widescreen TVs, though no jumbo
sets like Sears had. The Craftsman section was, in some ways, more
attractive and appealing, even though there wasn't as wide a
selection. On the other hand, there were no huge signs heralding the
line or a special Martha Stewart section. That's definitely
underplaying the partnership.
Heather says she filled a couple of
carts because she had a lot of pillows. The manager told her to pull
her car up and he would load the merchandise into it. "For the sheer
hassle factor, it was easier than going to a department store. I
shopped at Kmart at 8 p.m. and left at 9 p.m. The department stores
were closed by then, and that was my only time to shop."
Sears Holdings' Eddie Lampert is just
about out of bullets, as Crain's recently put it. He's milked Sears
dry, and about the only thing left to do to raise money is sell off
Lands' End, Kenmore and Craftsman.
That's a shame, because they could
all find a happy home at Kmart, which could end up a formidable
competitor to Wal-Mart and Target. With Martha Stewart, Lands' End,
Kenmore and Craftsman under one roof, consumers like Heather would
have even more reason to shop Kmart.
My advice: Close Sears, sell the real
estate and plow the money into building the Kmart brand.


Subprime Lessons Hit Home for CEOs In Other Industries/Sears
mentioned
By Erin White -
Managing - Wall Street Journal
February 25, 2008
As mortgage lenders imploded and
stock prices swooned last summer, a light bulb went off for Tim
Houlne, chief executive of a Texas call-agent provider: "Bubbles
always burst."
Mr. Houlne's realization attests to
how, far from Wall Street, executives in other industries and their
advisers are finding management lessons in the subprime-loan
meltdown.
Among the key insights: Don't chase a
boom without planning for the bust. Make sure subordinates feel safe
delivering bad news. Ensure that incentive systems don't encourage
excessive risk. And don't gloss over complicated details.
"Every five to 10 years, there's a mess of this sort," says Richard
Coughlan, a management professor at the University of Richmond.
"Leaders would do themselves a great service if they would study the
failures of the past and learn from them."
Mr. Houlne says he's trying. His
company, Working Solutions of Plano, Texas, provides companies with
agents who work out of their homes handling customers' phone calls.
Amid the subprime woes, he asked lieutenants to assess the company's
exposure to potentially risky customers in cyclical industries.
A review showed that Working
Solutions derived a big chunk of its revenue from clients in the
hospitality and travel industries, which Mr. Houlne views as
vulnerable to economic downturns. So he urged salespeople to more
aggressively pursue health-care and pharmaceutical firms, which he
believes are less exposed to booms and busts. He says the effort is
beginning to pay off.
By contrast, in the finance industry,
many firms continued to pursue subprime-related business long after
the first signs of a housing slowdown.
That's a familiar pattern to veterans
of the technology boom of the 1990s and the ensuing bust. During the
boom, telecom companies rushed to install miles of fiber-optic lines
based on predictions of an exponential need for capacity, says
Michael Kanazawa, chief executive officer of Dissero Partners, a
management-consulting firm. Those predictions fell flat;
technological advances boosted the capacity of existing fiber. "It's
really easy to fall into that trap of whatever seems to be working
for us today, let's just keep doing that tomorrow," Mr. Kanazawa
says.
Instead, he suggests that executives
plan new initiatives before the current wave crashes. Toyota Motor
Corp. did this well during the 1990s, Mr. Kanazawa says. While
Toyota and its peers chased the then-hot sport-utility market,
Toyota also developed its hybrid Prius. Its 2000 U.S. launch ran
counter to conventional wisdom at the time. But as gasoline prices
rose, Toyota's move looked prescient.
Marty Beard, president of a
mobile-messaging unit of software maker Sybase Inc., is trying to
apply that lesson. Sybase executives convene quarterly meetings to
consider potential new projects. Last month, his unit created a
group focused on mobile-commerce prospects, an idea from a fall
brainstorming session.
Jim Bradford, dean of Vanderbilt
University's Owen Graduate School of Management, sees another lesson
in the subprime woes: Make sure subordinates feel comfortable
delivering bad news -- promptly. It's possible that earlier strong
warnings of mounting subprime problems may have helped top bank
executives react better.
Mr. Bradford speaks from experience.
Before entering academia, he was CEO of glassmaker AFG Industries, a
unit of Japan's Asahi Glass Co. He tried to foster a candid
environment by also praising and promoting people who disagreed with
him or who brought him bad news.
That candor helped thwart disaster at
least once. In the mid-1990s, a customer told an AFG sales
representative about a potentially serious safety problem. A
forklift at the customer's warehouse had crashed into some AFG glass
intended for shower doors. The break pattern indicated the glass
hadn't been properly tempered and could cause injuries. The sales
representative told Mr. Bradford about the problem, and AFG alerted
shower-door makers before the faulty glass reached consumers.
Mr. Bradford later praised the rep at
meetings. "You really want to encourage that conduct, as painful as
it may be," Mr. Bradford says. "You don't want to have to wait until
the Federal Trade Commission or a safety group is coming to you."
Similarly, Stephanie Klein, CEO and
founder of Boomer Group, a staffing agency based in Colorado,
re-examined the health of the firm's culture as the subprime crisis
unfolded. "You start to look back and say, 'Are we doing anything
that would cause us to be making these [risky] decisions?' " she
says. Ms. Klein says she wants the company to have an environment
where co-workers feel comfortable questioning each other's decisions
-- even hers.
She was heartened when she recalled a
meeting with a prospective client a couple of months ago. She had
left giddy with the possibility of new business. But a colleague
worried that the client would treat temp workers placed by Boomer
poorly. Ms. Klein realized she had ignored several red flags and
reconsidered.
Other management experts say the
subprime mess underlines dangers of incentive systems' unintended
consequences. Many finance-industry participants are rewarded for
closing deals, with less regard for the deal's ultimate value.
Critics say that encourages everyone from mortgage brokers to
investment bankers to disregard long-term risk.
Sears auto centers learned this
lesson about incentives in the early 1990s, recalls Mr. Coughlan,
the University of Richmond professor. State officials alleged that
employees recommended unnecessary repairs largely to earn more
commission payments. By 1994, Sears had paid $15 million in refunds
and other costs to settle charges in 41 states and 19 related
class-action suits. It also pledged to change its compensation plan.
Executives at Sears, now Sears
Holdings Corp., hadn't intended for workers to perform unnecessary
repairs, Mr. Coughlan says. Under the commission system, though,
"it's logical in retrospect that folks would have behaved this way,"
he says.
Allan Cohen, a management professor
at Babson College in Massachusetts, sees another lesson: Make sure
to understand your business. Wall Street invented so many ways to
repackage and trade mortgages that executives had a hard time
estimating their own losses once the market unraveled.
Too often, Mr. Cohen says, executives
plunge into businesses they don't fully understand, particularly if
rivals are doing the same. That happened during the dot-com boom, he
notes, as venture-capital firms threw money at companies.
"It got so that it was, 'I have to be
there fastest and first or somebody else will get this,' without
asking, 'Is there a market? Would anybody buy this?' " he says.


Readers speak on how
to help Sears
By Mike Hoban - Business at
Large - The Time - Munster, Indiana
February 23, 2008
Two weeks ago in this space, I posed
a challenge to readers to suggest ways to turn around Sears if you
were the strategic adviser to that company. Unless you have been
living on the planet Zemo for the past 10 years, you know that Sears
and the Titanic seem to have a lot in common, with the exception
that the Titanic's deck chairs were nicer.
I asked you to write and many of you
sent your ideas and modest proposals. Or, perhaps my mom wrote all
those e-mails under phony names so I would think people are reading
this column. Either way, here are some of your thoughts:
* Recognize that the Sears‚ customer
base is middle class and stop flitting with avante garde,
here-today-gone-tomorrow merchandising schemes.
* Multiple readers identified the
employees and their attitudes as being key to a turnaround. Pay them
well, you said, and train them to be knowledgeable first line
contacts with customers. Increase communication and feedback with
them.
* Several suggested that the new CEO
should run the show, not Chairman Ed Lampert. One reader, in fact,
suggested that Mr. Lampert go elsewhere altogether.
* Make sure the merchandise is
available -- too many stock-outs.
* Improve the customer service --
"it's not unusual to see sales associates standing around in groups
while the customers must browse on their own."
* Getting closer to the customers and
their needs was a theme echoed by several. Examples -- "Hold
roundtables with them;'' "Give them an evaluation form."
* Several ex-Sears employees wrote in
with ideas. One of those reader-writers recommended that top
management listen more to Sears field managers.
* More than one reader identified
tools and appliances as Sears' strong suits and suggested a focus on
those areas, and perhaps exiting categories like clothing and
jewelry. "Sears is a pretty drab place outside of appliances and
tools," someone said.
* However, another "adviser" opined
that better advertising and a regional buying strategy would help
attract customers to Sears' apparel offerings.
* Multiple readers proposed that
Sears provide better discounts for seniors and ex-employees.
* One reader was very specific,
calling for Sears to put a Dollar Store inside existing stores, as
well as a deli, nail salon and three banks. Yes, three. And if you
spent $15, you'd get a free glazed doughnut.
Would these kinds of actions be
enough to make Sears a shopping destination like Target is? Or, will
Sears ultimately go the way of another merchandising icon,
Montgomery Ward?
The new management team has much work
to do. As one reader -- one of the ex-Sears employees said, "This
business is not rocket science. It is simple if they just listen to
the folks in the field . . ."
Finally, a reader named Jane said she
would appoint a female CEO and have an all-female board. She went on
to say, "Success, like anything else, depends on vision and
creativity. And the ladies have it -- hands down."
Hmmm ... Mom, seriously, was that
you?
Opinions expressed solely are those
of the writer. Mike Hoban, of Crown Point, is a senior consultant
for an international leadership development and training firm.


Sears'
Craftsman, Kenmore executives depart
By Sandra M. Jones - staff
reporter - Chicago Tribune.COM
February 22, 2008
Sears Holdings Corp. veteran
executives that have been in charge of the retailer's flagship
Kenmore and Craftsman brands have resigned in a management shake-up
at the retailer.
Tina Settecase, vice president of
home appliances, is leaving the Hoffman Estates-based company today,
a spokesman Chris Brathwaite confirmed. Settecase led the charge to
revive Sears' appliance business , including its marquee Kenmore
line, as Home Depot and Lowe's moved into the market and took market
share.
Greg Inwood, who had been in charge
of Craftsman tools, hardware and paint, left several weeks ago.
Inwood had moved to Sears' online business briefly late last year as
vice president of merchandising.
Both executives have been with the
company for more than three decades and are retiring, Brathwaite
said.
Steven Light, a vice president of
inventory management, will succeed Settecase as head of appliances.
Dave Figler, a former Staples Inc. executive, succeeds Inwood as
head of tools, hardware and paint.
The management changes were first
reported by the Wall Street Journal.
Sears is in the midst of a
reorganization that is dividing the company put into many business
units, including units focused on brands, real estate and store
operations, in a move the company said is aimed at speeding decision
making and increasing accountability.


What Made Jack Welch Jack
Welch
By Matthew Kirdahy -
Required Reading - FORBES.COM
February 22, 2008
Apparently, it's not rocket science.
Anyone can be a leader. Really. That's not to say the average Joe
could manage $20 billion in assets and a 50,000-man workforce, but
if you've got the right mixture of traits, all it takes is the
experience and desire to reach that point.
This is how Jack Welch and a host of
other big-name corporate American leaders did it, explains Stephen
H. Baum, author of What Made Jack Welch Jack Welch: How Ordinary
People Become Extraordinary Leaders.
In his book, Baum taps into the minds
of some of the best business leaders of the 20th century, taking an
anecdotal approach to revealing the secrets of what makes a guy like
Jack Welch, former chief executive of General Electric, and others
like him, legendary.
"Leadership boils down to some very
simple--not rocket science--ideas:
character, confidence, critical thinking and the ability to engage
other people," Baum said. "It's all about know-how and learning that
stuff in life, what works and what doesn't."
Baum has been an adviser and coach to
CEOs for more than 20 years. This book is a product of the
relationships he's forged in that time. With their trust, he
interviewed business leaders about some of the most intimate details
of their lives and how the events molded them.
"It's a leadership book in practical,
daily ways," Baum said. "Learn from what other people have done and
get your own experiences, big or small. Take your own inventory.
Look in the mirror. It's all about personal growth."
Baum met with Forbes.com to discuss
proven and failed leaders, their decisiveness, humility and
character and how a U.S. Navy Seal instructor could size up who has
"it" and who doesn't in a day.
Forbes.com: With all the leadership
books already on the shelf, what inspired you to write this and take
a more human approach to the subject of building great leaders?
Stephen H. Baum: A few years ago, I
decided I had a calling, a passion, when I was coaching. Even when
you're doing studies with analytical results with charts and stuff,
when you examine those results, it's important. Part of all of that
I love is when a CEO would say, "Hey Stephen, you going to hang
around afterward? I want to talk to you about something. I can't
talk to the board about it. I can't talk to the team about it. My
wife's tired of hearing it."
I found that sort of intimate
relationship very satisfying, if I could help them chart a course.
In consulting, you're supposed to provide answers; in coaching
you're suppose to provide questions. That's one data point. I was
sort of focusing my career on coaching in a private practice.
I had this prospect who was a
28-year-old CEO. I was asking myself, "Why would this guy think that
someone nearly twice his age is relevant as a coach for him?" I
started to write down the experiences that I've had that make up my
behavior, my beliefs.
And I went to somebody I knew who was
then chairman of Sears. I said, "Arthur, I want to run this by you
and see how it goes." And for the next two hours, instead of looking
at my own tape, I listened to him. When we finished, he said, "You
know, I've never seen anything in the literature about this. You
ought to write a book."
Do existing leaders pick up books
like the one you've written, or is it just the aspiring that show an
interest?
I already know for a fact that
business owners, especially entrepreneurs, have read the book and
given me feedback. The fellow I mentioned who owns an insurance
agency in Connecticut, he wanted to take his community activities to
a different level. He read the book and decided he could do what he
thought he couldn't.
They use this kind of information to
get ahead then?
There are very few leaders that don't
want to have an edge, to be even better than they are. There are
some who don't. There are some who think, "I already know what I
need to know."
Guys who run companies, they're in a
war for talent. So they ask, "Is there anything in your book that'll
help recruit, develop and keep good guys?" The answer is yes. I
didn't write it for HR people.
In your book, it's clear that you
explain that good leadership can be taught, and in the battle of
nature vs. nurture, it's nurture that prevails. Is it always that
cut-and-dry? There are plenty of people who believe
otherwise--leaders are born, and all that.
I'll answer your question in two
ways. The first answer is the theory of the case. That is, if you
have a minimum level of intelligence. If you have a deep-seeded
motivation to take control of your own destiny, to take charge of
your life, you will test yourself in taking charge and being a
leader.
You may find you don't like it. You don't like being on the hot
seat. You don't like the pressure. You don't like the rejection. You
want something else. There's nothing wrong with that.
There has to be followers,
independent practitioners. There's room in the world for a group of
people who do not want to oversee a group of other people.
I had an experience last fall. I went
out to the [U.S.] Navy SEALs training grounds in San Diego. I've
never been there before. I had a private conversation with the
commanding officer of the Navy SEALs training base. I got a chance
to ask him about the class ... you have a 30% success rate.
That's how many people get to be SEALs.
Well, they all want to be. That's why
they're there.
But want to be how bad? These are all
people who are fit. They have some level of intelligence. [The
commanding officer] said that in the incoming class, in a day or
two, "I can tell that 10% or 15%, that if I cut off their left leg,
they will still make Navy SEALs. I can also tell the 10% or 15% that
will never make it. They're going to opt out."
He said the sad part is that the 75%
to 80% left, those are the ones who make the best platoon leaders.
So nature vs. nurture? We'll see. But it's mostly nurture.
Do you consider yourself a leader?
Now that's a tougher question. I am
much less on the firing lines than somebody who is actually
responsible for a group of other souls. So I could be a thought
leader, sure. I have to be responsible for my group of chief
executives whom I meet with all the time. It's not the same thing as
if you've had the profit-and-loss responsibility for their
livelihoods. I can't lay claim to that.
Just to underscore that, God help me
if I think I am.
Are good leaders good followers? At
some point in our lives we've all had to take orders and play by
someone else's rules.
There are situations in which a good
leader has to be a good follower because there's something in the
community that's going on where they play a role and they're not the
leader of it. There may be situations in an industry where they have
to let somebody else take the lead. There are sometimes good reasons
to let somebody be out front. But it is over their contravention of
their preferences, that they would prefer to take charge. By the
time they are well along in their careers, that's the seat they're
used to.
Are the leaders you see in corporate
America, like the ones making headlines right now, true leaders, or
did they just work their way up the ranks and make it to the top
job?
Obviously not all of them. If they're
leading by fear when the company is three days away from bankruptcy,
no. That's not a way to build an institution. The way to build an
institution is to make it the best damn place to work.
Now in some businesses, the culture
of the industry doesn't look like that.
There are serious issues about the financial industry where the
culture by and large is all about the financial returns. One of the
reasons Stan O'Neal (former CEO of Merrill Lynch) failed, in my
view, he didn't feel responsible for the human capital, only the
financial capital. And I don't think we're finished seeing lawsuits
that expose what they knew and when they knew it.
Are leaders ever to weight the two
equally, financial and human capital, in a business?
You can't balance it minute by
minute. You can't keep it equal all the time. You just can't do
that. You have to know what the non-negotiable is for each
constituency. You have to put credit in the bank for each of them
from time to time, is the way this works.
When Gordon Bethune took over
Continental Airlines, he looked out at a defeated workforce.
Shareholders had driven the company into bankruptcy. He had to put
the employees first at that moment, not forever. He had to prove to
them this was worth investing in from their point of view in a book
he wrote: From Worst to First.
It's all about signal act, as I call
it--when deeds speak louder than words and get the employees
involved. He couldn't have turned the airline around if he just
looked at the numbers.


Changes Continue at Sears
Leaders of Kenmore, Craftsman Depart from Key Brands
By Gary McWilliams - Wall
Street Journal
February 22, 2008
Two veteran merchandising executives
are leaving Sears Holdings Corp. in the midst of a revamping
intended to make the 121-year-old retail pioneer a more nimble and
profitable company. The executives oversaw Kenmore appliances and
Craftsman tools, two of the company's best-known and most lucrative
brands.
Tina Settecase, the company's vice
president of Kenmore appliances, is retiring this week after 35
years at the Hoffman Estates, Ill., company. Ms. Settecase, 58 years
old, is being succeeded by Steven Light, a vice president of
inventory management.
Greg Inwood, a 30-year company
veteran who had been the vice president of Craftsman tools, hardware
and paint, retired three weeks ago. Mr. Inwood was reassigned as a
vice president of merchandising shortly before his retirement. Dave
Figler, a former vice president at office-supplies retailer Staples
Inc., took over tools, hardware and paint merchandising.
Kenmore appliances and Craftsman
tools are two of the company's most successful brands,
combined accounting for about a third of the company's $53 billion
in annual sales. But sales of the product lines recently have
declined on a year-over-year basis.
A spokesman confirmed the moves,
calling them unrelated to the company's recent decision to oust its
chief executive and establish autonomous business units. Messrs.
Light and Figler continue to report to Douglas T. Moore, a senior
vice president in charge of the electronics, appliances and tools
business units, people familiar with the matter said.
Sears's efforts to revitalize its
home and appliance businesses with new marketing campaigns ran
headlong into a housing crash and economic downturn. Sears announced
last month the reorganization and departure of Aylwin B. Lewis, its
CEO, after forecasting profit for the fiscal fourth quarter ended
Feb. 2 would fall about 50% from the $820 million earned a year
earlier.
In addition, Robert D. Luse, the
senior vice president of human resources, and John C. Walden,
executive vice president and chief customer officer, have left the
company in recent weeks. Mr. Luse's duties were reassigned to
William R. Harker, senior vice president and general counsel. Sears
also recently cut about 200 employees at its headquarters as part of
a cost-cutting move.
The company has launched an effort to
replace Mr. Lewis and is recruiting executives to lead other
business units. Former Microsoft Corp. MSN Shopping executive James
Barr joined the company this month as a senior vice president over
its online unit, responsible for online sales and technology
infrastructure.


Settecase Leaving Sears
By Alan Wolf - Twice
February 21, 2008
Hoffman Estates, Ill.
- Tina Settecase, the longtime chief merchant of Sears‚
industry-leading home appliance business, is retiring today after 35
years with the company.
She will be succeeded as home appliance
VP/general merchandise manager by Steve Light, formerly the inventory
management and replenishment VP for Sears‚ apparel business.
"Tina achieved tremendous success during
her 35 years with Sears and we thank her for her many contributions,
particularly during her last 12 years in a leadership role," the company
said in a statement to TWICE. "Her unwavering support of home appliances
was unmatched, and we wish Tina and her family all the best."
Light reports to Douglas Moore, Sears‚
hardlines merchandising senior VP and a former chief merchant at Circuit
City.


Motorola names new CFO
By John Pletz - Chicago
Business
February 21, 2008
(Crain's) - Motorola Inc. has named a
new chief financial officer from outside the company.
Paul Liska, a former Sears, Roebuck
and Co. CFO, will take over March 1 for Tom Meredith, a Motorola
board member who was named interim CFO last March.
Mr. Liska, who most recently was a
partner at several private-equity firms, is a surprise choice for
the post. Some Motorola insiders guessed the new CFO would come from
within the company.
Bringing in an outsider could be a
risky move for CEO Greg Brown, who took over the top job only last
month and is under serious pressure from Wall Street. Carl Icahn,
who holds a 5% stake in Motorola, has mounted another proxy fight.
Mr. Meredith, who will remain on the
board of directors, was a favorite among Wall Street analysts and
investors dating back to his days as CFO of Dell Inc. He was viewed
as a smart, straight-shooting financial whiz who championed cash and
tight inventory control. But Mr. Meredith, who was a friend of
former Motorola CEO Ed Zander from their days together at Sun
Microsystems Inc., never intended to stay in the job long-term.
"I'm a big fan of Tom Meredith", Jim
Suva, a Citigroup analyst, said recently in an interview before Mr.
Liska was named the new CFO. "I've really welcomed him bringing in
financial discipline."
As Mr. Brown considers whether to
spin off Motorola‚s handset business, Mr. Liska's private-equity
background could be his more pressing need.


Sears Holdings 2008
Annual Meeting
Set for Monday, May 5
Sears Holdings News
Release
February 20, 2008
HOFFMAN ESTATES, Ill., Feb. 20
/PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Sears Holdings Corporation NASDAQ: SHLD
announced today that the 2008 annual meeting of stockholders will be
held at the Company's headquarters in Hoffman Estates, Ill., on Monday,
May 5, 2008.
In addition, the company announced that
March 10, 2008 has been fixed as the record date for determination of
the stockholders of the Company entitled to notice of and to vote at the
Annual Meeting of Stockholders.


Sears agrees to settle lawsuit over possibly unstable ovens
Associated Press - Daily Herald -
Suburban Chicago
February 20, 2008
EDWARDSVILLE -- Sears Holdings Corp. will
install safety brackets on its stoves in millions of households as part
of a settlement of a class-action lawsuit over the appliances supposed
propensity to tip.
Under an agreement signed off on by a
Madison County judge, Hoffman Estates-based Sears will fix all brands of
its kitchen ranges in as many as
3.9 million homes by bolting them to a wall or floor. The deal covers
Sears ranges sold since mid-2000.
The settlement also requires Sears to
install safety brackets in newly purchased ranges for the next three
years.
Attorneys for the plaintiffs estimate the
settlement could cost Sears more than $500 million. Sears, in a
statement Tuesday, said it disputes "many aspects of the case, including
the value on this settlement -- which Sears estimates to be a small
fraction of what plaintiff's counsel estimates."
Consumer groups, which were not involved
in the lawsuit, say more than 100 people have been killed or injured
from scalding and burns caused by hot foods and liquids spilling from
the stove top, or from being crushed by the weight of a stove that has
tipped over.
Those advocacy groups insist Sears and
other retailers often fail to connect safety brackets when delivering a
stove, which apparently now are made so light they can be unstable
unless secured to a wall or floor. Most stoves made before the 1980s
were too heavy and sturdy to easily tip over.
"The Consumer Product Safety Commission
hasn't even warned the public about it, much less done anything about
it," said Joan Claybrook, head of the consumer group Public Citizen.
A spokeswoman for the commission says it
"has put out messages that consumers should use the brackets offered to
them" and considers voluntary standards adequate.
Consumers will have the option of having
an anti-tip device installed free of charge, receiving $100 it they have
Sears or a third party to install the device, or getting a $50 gift card
to help pay for a new, regularly priced stove from Sears if they don't
want the anti-tip device.
"The whole idea is to solve the problem,"
said Stephen Tillery, a St. Louis lawyer involved in the lawsuit.
The lawyers will split $17 million in
fees, according to the settlement.

Sears
Holdings Elects Kevin B. Rollins to Board
Sears Holdings News Release
February 20, 2008
HOFFMAN ESTATES, Ill., Feb. 20
/PRNewswire-FirstCall -- Sears Holdings Corporation NASDAQ: SHLD
announced today the election of Kevin B. Rollins, 55, former
president and chief executive officer of Dell, Inc. and currently a
senior adviser to the private investment firm TPG Capital, L.P.
(formerly Texas Pacific Group), to membership on the Sears Holdings
board. His election increases the number of Sears Holdings'
directors to 8.
"Kevin Rollins is an accomplished
businessman whose experience leading a company in Fortune's top 50
will be invaluable as we continue to implement Sears Holdings'
revised organizational and internal management structure. The Board
of Directors looks forward to his advice and contributions," said
Sears Holdings Corporation Chairman Edward S. Lampert.
Along with his duties as CEO of Dell,
Mr. Rollins was a member of the company's board of directors,
through January 2007. He then served as a senior advisor to the
company until his retirement in May of last year. During his 11 year
career with the company, Mr. Rollins also served as Vice Chairman
and as the head of Dell Americas. Prior to his time at Dell, Mr.
Rollins worked at Bain & Company, most recently serving as a
director and partner.
Mr. Rollins also serves on the board
of Avaya Inc. and is a member of the President's Leadership Council
and the Marriott School National Advisory Council at Brigham Young
University, where he founded and continues to sponsor the Rollins
Center for E-Commerce.
He also serves as Vice Chairman of
the Board of the American Enterprise Institute in Washington DC.


Big Retail
Chains Dun Mere Suspects in Theft
Demands for Money Can Leave Targets With Little Defense
By Ann Zimmerman -
Pay Up - Wall Street Journal
February 20, 2008
After Miami handyman Glenn Rudge was
accused of shoplifting an $8 set of drill bits at Home Depot, he
thought he'd settled the matter when he showed his receipt to
prosecutors and they dropped the charge.
But a few weeks later, a law firm
hired by Home Depot began sending him letters demanding first
$3,000, then a total of $6,000, implying he'd be sued if he didn't
pay it.
In an escalating battle against
theft, retailers are going after anyone suspected of shoplifting,
turning over their names to lawyers and collection firms, who pursue
the suspects for stiff penalties and split the take with the
retailer.
CIVIL RECOVERY
When lawyers and debt collectors
pursue alleged shoplifters for monetary penalties with letters and
phone calls, retailers call it "civil recovery." But the people
targeted by the practice see it as something else. They describe it
as a humiliating and intimidating process that leaves them all but
defenseless. Here are some of the demand letters, and the shoppers'
legal responses.
• Clear Evidence 1
A Palm Beach judge, Donald W. Hafele,
writes to the Florida bar on behalf of one of the alleged
shoplifters who received a letter demanding $700. The judge claims
the letter fails to itemize the supposedly stolen items and provide
"clear and convincing evidence" of the damages.
• Boy's Money 2
A Massachusetts mother wanted to know
why a Florida firm was demanding her 14-year-old son pay $475 for a
$10.99 pair of sunglasses he attempted to steal when he was visiting
his grandmother in Florida. The mother wrote, "…I find it hard to
believe that justice is served in attempting to scare and threaten a
young boy into handing over money after he has already given back
the merchandise."
• Collect Call 3
A Florida Bar grievance committee
found "no probable cause" in a complaint against a lawyer sending
demand letters and calling the alleged shoplifters, but warned the
firm to be careful about its collection tactics. "Harassment
techniques in an effort to collect for your clients are not
acceptable."
• To Pay or Not to Pay 4
A Philadelphia firm first sought a
total of about $1,400 in civil damages from three women for
merchandise that was undamaged and put back into stock for resale.
Two of them paid and each received a letter saying the payment
"satisfied her civil obligation." A third one did not pay, and
instead got a "final notice," saying that she could have to pay
"additional costs." And that her "credit rating might be adversely
impacted. "There is little oversight of a system retailers call
"civil recovery," created by special laws passed in all 50 states.
With no proof of theft, the retailers demand money -- often $200 but
sometimes far more -- and promise to avoid suing if it is paid
quickly. Laws vary by state, but in general, retailers can demand
these sums even if the item at issue was worth far less and was
quickly recovered and put back on the shelf.
The laws are meant to help compensate
retailers for money they must spend to secure their stores against
crime and recoup part of losses when thieves are not caught, says
Neal Tenen, a founder of Civil Demand Associates, a firm
specializing in civil recovery. U.S. retailers lost more than $40
billion to theft in 2006, which equaled 1.6% of retail sales and was
up $3 billion from 2005, according to the National Retail
Federation, a trade group.
But people targeted describe a
humiliating and intimidating process, with no way to resist short of
hiring a lawyer, a costly step few are able to take.
Once a person's name is turned over to a collection firm, he or she
is dunned with letters and often phone calls, which refer to
lawsuits and sheriff's visits and sometimes multiply the penalty by
demanding "pre-litigation" legal fees.
Defenders of the process say that,
besides helping stores recover a small part of their security costs,
it reduces litigation and the clogging of the courts by allowing
shoplifting cases to be settled without legal action.
This goal is evident in the way the
laws are written. Many don't simply authorize retailers to demand
money from suspected shoplifters but say retailers must make such a
demand before they can file a suit.
But this legal first step has turned
into a routine demand. For one thing, the laws often are vague about
who can be targeted. Secondly, although the laws call the demands a
prerequisite to suing, they don't say that retailers really have to
intend to sue before making such a demand. There's nothing to stop
them from demanding money from shoplifting suspects even if they
have no intention of taking them to court.
Lord & Taylor, for instance, never
follows up civil-demand letters by suing suspected shoplifters, its
loss-prevention manager said in deposition about a year ago, citing
the cost of going to court. Lord & Taylor collected about $1 million
in civil recovery from suspected shoplifters in a recent year, up
from $850,000 the year before, the official testified.
The chain's letters to suspected
shoplifters are sent out by a Florida law firm called Palmer Reifler
& Associates, which also handles the task for four dozen other
clients, from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. to Walgreen Co., keeping 13% to
30% of what it collects. A partner at the law firm has said that it
sends out about 1.2 million civil-recovery demand letters a year but
follows up by suing fewer than 10 times a year.
Leading people to fear a suit when
none is likely makes civil recovery a kind of "shakedown," contends
Walter Hanstein III, a Maine lawyer who complained about Palmer
Reifler to the Florida bar association last year. Palmer Reifler
didn't return several calls seeking comment. In a letter to the bar
association, it defended civil recovery as "a first alternative
dispute measure" to resolve cases short of litigation.
Civil recovery has rarely faced legal
challenge. A 1993 challenge to Ohio's civil-recovery process cited
the federal Fair Debt Collection Practices Act. A U.S. magistrate
said that law didn't apply because civil recovery wasn't an effort
to collect a debt but "a settlement offer for potential tort
liability."
In 2005, a suit by three Pennsylvania
teenagers suspected of shoplifting said a retailer's civil demand
deprived them of due process. A federal court in Philadelphia
dismissed their suit, saying that state law, not federal,
established the rules. The lawyer for the teens, J. Conor Corcoran,
didn't appeal. "I think the statute is scandalous, but there are
only so many windmills you can chase," he says.
Retail lobbies began pressing state
legislatures for civil-recovery laws about two decades ago as their
theft and store-security costs rose, says Stuart Levine, chief
executive of another recovery firm, Zellman Group. He says the
retailers wanted laws to help cover their security costs just as
"when a cop writes you a speeding ticket, the funds funnel back to
the state to pay for the police to catch you in the first place."
At Beall's Inc., a Florida-based
chain of 550 department stores, loss-prevention executive Dan Doyle
says, "We're just trying to get some money from criminals so our
honest customers don't have to pay." The National Retail Federation
describes the money retailers collect through civil recovery as
"minimal" compared with their fraud losses and security costs.
In the Home Depot case, Mr. Rudge,
the handyman, had a set of drill bits poking out of his shirt pocket
when he went through the checkout line at a Miami store in December
2002, according to a suit he later filed against Home Depot. After
he paid $66 for his purchases, a security guard stopped him on his
way out and asked him about the drill bits.
Mr. Rudge said he had carried them
in, having bought them on an earlier trip to the store. After he
kept insisting he was innocent, the guard handcuffed him, walked him
to an interrogation room in back and took the drill bits. Mr. Rudge
asked to call home to have his wife bring in the receipt but the
store wouldn't let him, he said in a 2003 suit in Miami-Dade County
Circuit Court, since settled. Home Depot declined to discuss
specifics of his account.
Prosecutors charged the handyman with
shoplifting, then dropped the charge in February 2003 when he showed
them a receipt for the drill bits. But about a month later,
according to his suit, he got a letter from the Palmer Reifler law
firm demanding he pay a little over $3,000 within 20 days.
He ignored the demand. Then he got a
letter demanding an additional $3,000, as "pre-litigation"
attorney's fees, for a total of just over $6,000. If he didn't pay,
one letter said, the sheriff's office would be called to notify him
if a lawsuit was filed.
Mr. Rudge was doing some handyman
work for a lawyer and showed her the letters. "I took one look and
said, 'This is outrageous,' " says the lawyer, Alison Harke. "These
letters are designed to make people settle because they believe they
are going to jail." She filed a suit against the retailer, the
settlement of which is confidential.
Costly Drill Bits
Home Depot said Mr. Rudge was pursued for such a large sum because
of a data-entry mistake that recorded the price of a $8.09 drill-bit
set as $1,008.09. The law firm then tripled that, which the Florida
statute permits in certain cases. The retailer said it now has extra
processes to make sure it seeks correct penalties.
Home Depot's spokesman, Ron DeFeo,
defended going after Mr. Rudge even though prosecutors dropped
charges when he showed a receipt. "In Florida, no criminal
conviction is needed to pursue civil demand," Mr. DeFeo noted.
As in this case, collection firms
sometimes add legal fees to their demands.
Most states permit a separate legal fee only if a court first
approves it, but 10 states don't bar asking for "pre-litigation"
fees, and Palmer Reifler sometimes does so. Two others, Civil Demand
Associates in Van Nuys, Calif., and Zellman Group in Port
Washington, N.Y., say they don't ask for such fees. Zellman's
lawyer, Michael Asen, says doing so would be "gouging."
Sometimes, suspected shoplifters face
another demand: a no-trespassing agreement. A Lord & Taylor store in
Novi, Mich., detained three teenage girls in February 2005 on
suspicion of stealing a $50 pair of sunglasses. The store called the
police, but before they arrived, it asked the three to sign
statements agreeing not to enter any Lord & Taylor store for three
years.
A security guard "made it seem like
we had no choice, and at the time, we were just so nervous and
scared that I signed it," said one girl, Sarah Eggen, in a
deposition later filed in U.S. court for the Eastern District of
Michigan.
When the police arrived, they looked
at a surveillance tape and released two of the girls, including Ms.
Eggen, concluding they weren't involved. The third teen later faced
a retail-fraud charge that was dropped after she did some community
service and attended a theft-deterrence class.
Lord & Taylor gave Palmer Reifler the
names of all three teens, and each received a letter demanding a
payment of $200 within 20 days, in which case "no further civil
action will be taken against you."
When they didn't pay, at least two of
the girls got second letters from Palmer Reifler. These increased
the demand to $435 apiece, adding $235 from each girl in
pre-litigation attorney's fees, according to a suit they later
filed. The store put the undamaged sunglasses back on the shelf for
sale, Lord & Taylor's loss-prevention manager testified.
One girl had an aunt who was a
lawyer, and she sued the retailer and its law firm on their behalf.
The teens settled with the retailer and have a pending settlement
with the law firm, says the lawyer, Mary Brigid Sweeney.
"You had two teens who were innocent
and this was extortion," Ms. Sweeney says. "The legal intent of the
law is a recoupment of losses, not to make a profit by suing over
and over, multiple parties."
Lord & Taylor, now a unit of NRDC
Equity Partners in New York, says it doesn't comment on litigation.
A little over a year ago, a Florida
judge complained about the civil-recovery process to the state bar.
In Palm Beach County Court, a woman had pleaded guilty to stealing
$222.90 of merchandise from a Saks Fifth Avenue store. Her sentence
included court costs, and when the judge asked how long it would
take her to pay them, she said a long time, showing him a letter
saying she owed Saks $669.
The judge, Donald Hafele, complained
to the bar association that the letter, sent by Palmer Reifler,
didn't spell out any injury or damage and could be misleading.
Palmer Reifler partner James R.
Palmer told the bar association that his firm, applying Florida law,
had tripled the recovery demand in a mistaken belief the merchandise
had been damaged.
Compensable Injury
In a letter to the bar group, Mr.
Palmer defended civil recovery as "a 'cost spreading' measure to
allow retailers to recover a small portion of the losses arising
from people who get away with theft from the people who are caught
trying to take items." He added that even if an item is recovered
undamaged, the retailer has "suffered a legally compensable injury
in the form of an invasion of a legal right to ownership of and
control" over it.
The bar association dismissed the
judge's complaint, saying it lacked jurisdiction. Judge Hafele says,
"The answer will have to come through case law or the legislature
amending the statute, after determining whether the civil theft law
is accomplishing what it is designed to do."
The bar association got four other
complaints about Palmer Reifler last year, two of them complaining
about excessive phone calls. The law firm disputed that notion, but
the bar association questioned its "methods and professionalism" and
warned the firm that "harassment techniques in an effort to collect
for your clients are not acceptable."
In one of the complaints, a
Massachusetts mother wanted to know why a Florida law firm was
demanding that her 14-year-old son pay $475 after he tried to steal
an $11 pair of sunglasses while visiting his grandmother in Florida.
The boy entered a program that required him to do community service.
His parents added some punishment,
doubling the amount of community service.
But, his mother wrote to the Florida bar: "I find it hard to believe
that justice is served in attempting to scare and threaten a young
boy into handing over money after he has already given back the
merchandise."

Sears Case
Cited by Critics of Safety Panel
By Stephen Labaton - New
York Times
February 20, 2008
WASHINGTON - In an effort to pressure
lawmakers to toughen legislation on consumer product safety,
consumer groups this week began publicizing the recent settlement of
a major lawsuit against Sears for installing millions of kitchen
ranges that were vulnerable to tipping over.
The groups, which were not involved
in the class-action lawsuit, say that more than 100 people have been
killed or injured from scalding and burns caused by hot foods and
liquids spilling from the stove top, or from being crushed by the
weight of a stove that has tipped over.
They say the Consumer Product Safety
Commission has known about the problems for more than 20 years but
repeatedly declined to take meaningful steps to correct it.
A spokesman at the commission, Scott
Wolfson, said that last year it listed the possible tipping of
stoves, furniture and other household items as one of the five
greatest hazards facing consumers. It recommended that consumers
install brackets to secure ranges and urged the industry to apply
its own voluntary safety standards.
Joan Claybrook, president of Public
Citizen, one of the consumer groups publicizing the settlement, said
the Sears case highlighted the failure of the commission and the
shortcomings of legislation moving through Congress to strengthen
it. By all accounts, the agency has been significantly understaffed
and had struggled to monitor the safety of products effectively.
"Voluntary standards have been shown
not to work," Ms. Claybrook said. "And mandatory recalls under the
agency‚s procedures take too long to occur."
Ms. Claybrook has criticized both the
House and the Senate versions of consumer product safely legislation
as failing to do enough. The Senate Commerce Committee approved a
measure in October that was denounced by the administration and
manufacturers. The Senate majority leader, Harry Reid of Nevada, has
recently said the Senate would consider a bill as early as next
week.
The administration, including the
acting head of the safety commission, Nancy A. Nord, and
manufacturers have praised a bill approved by the House in December.
Ms. Nord‚s spokesman, Julie Vallese,
said Ms. Nord criticized the Senate bill for overreaching in her
appearances at a toy fair on Sunday and a conference of safety
regulators on Monday.
"She has given credit to the House
members for working together in a bipartisan way to help American
consumers," Ms. Vallese said. "She has commented that the Senate did
not approach its legislation in the same constructive way and in her
opinion, the legislation shows that. Her concern is that the Senate
legislation will not advance safety for American consumers."
The Bush administration dislikes a
provision in the Senate bill that would give state prosecutors
greater authority to enforce consumer product laws and would provide
compensation to industry whistle-blowers. Ms. Nord has objected to
those provisions and many others that have also been opposed by
manufacturing associations.
Ms. Nord has also criticized a
provision that would give the agency greater discretion to disclose
details from companies of consumer complaints and potential product
defects. She has said that such disclosure would discourage the
companies from being candid with regulators.
She has also objected to a provision
in the Senate bill that would give the agency the authority to
impose financial penalties of up to $100 million for safety
violations. The law now caps such civil penalties at $1.25 million.
The comparable provision in the House bill would increase the
maximum penalty to $10 million.
The Sears settlement, approved last
month by Judge Barbara Crowder in Madison County, Ill., requires the
company to fix ranges in as many as 3.9 million homes by bolting
them to a wall or floor. Parts and labor for the procedure have a
value of about $135. The agreement covers Sears ranges sold since
2000.
If every household ever sold such
ranges requested the fix, the groups said, then the settlement would
be valued at about $526 million. In addition, the judge approved a
$17 million payment by Sears to the lawyers for the homeowners.
The settlement also requires Sears to
install safety brackets in newly purchased ranges for the next three
years. Details about the settlement are available at
www.searsrangesettlement.com.
The product safety commission has a
staff of about 400, roughly half of its size in the 1980s, and one
full-time employee to test toys. Fifteen inspectors monitor all
imports of consumer products under the agency‚s supervision, a
marketplace that last year was valued at $614 billion.
A spate of food and product recalls
beginning last year highlighted the agency's difficulties. Moreover,
the commission has been hampered by the failure of the White House
to fill a vacancy on the three-person commission.
In August, Congress granted the
commission temporary permission to operate without three
commissioners. But the provision expired three weeks ago, and the
vacancies prevent the agency from issuing new rules or punishing
companies that violate the old ones.


Sears chair's rival boosts
company holdings
By Sandra Guy - Chicago Sun-Times
February 15, 2008
Sears Chairman Edward S. Lampert has cut
his losses in Citigroup, the nation's largest bank, while Lampert rival
William Ackman has increased his stake in Sears Holdings Corp.,
according to regulatory filings late Thursday.
Ackman, a hedge-fund manager who
successfully fought Lampert's bid to acquire the portion of Sears Canada
that Sears Holdings didn't already own, boosted his holdings in Hoffman
Estates-based Sears Holdings by 4.5 percent, to 6.15 million shares,
according to the filings.
Ackman's first investment in Sears last
October caused Sears' stock to jump because Ackman, through his Pershing
Square Capital hedge fund, was expected to pressure Lampert to sell off
real estate and take other steps to increase shareholder value.
Sears' performance continues to decline,
and the troubles prompted CEO Aylwin B. Lewis' departure earlier this
month. Analysts continue to question Lampert's strategies.
Separately, Lampert, through his hedge
fund ESL Investments, reduced its stake in Citigroup by 31 percent, to
19.08 million shares.
The value of the holding had fallen from
$1.3 billion to $561.8 million because of Citigroup's losses from
subprime mortgages, debt obligations and bad loans.


Wal-Mart
Growth Expected to Slow Again in 4Q
By William Spain -
Dow Jones Newswires
February 15, 2008
While Wal-Mart Stores Inc.'s (WMT)
fourth-quarter profit is expected to show a double-digit profit rise
on a per-share basis when it reports before the opening bell
Tuesday, the retail behemoth's sales growth is beginning to sputter
as the economic slowdown tightens it grip.
Wal-Mart is expected to earn $1.02 a
share on revenue of just under $107 billion for the three months
ended Jan. 31, according to the current average estimate of analysts
polled by Thomson Financial. For the same period a year ago, it
earned 92 cents a share on revenue of $99.08 billion.
But in its most recent sales release,
Wal-Mart Stores posted a measly 0.5% gain in same-store sales for
January, below expectations of 2% growth - and it was supposed to be
one of the winners in a down economy.
Then, late last month, the company
lowered prices by 10% to 30% on thousands of items in a move it said
was to help shoppers save money against a backdrop of economic
uncertainties. The savings were targeted especially at purchases for
the Super Bowl weekend and were available while supplies lasted.
And that followed a move to cut
prices on more than 15,000 items during the holiday crush, along
with an offer of no interest for 18 months on purchases of $250 or
more with a Wal-Mart credit card. The strategy seemed to work, at
least for a while, as the company outperformed many of its
competitors, including archrival Target Corp. (TGT), during the
crucial December sales period.


Pershing Square's Bill Ackman Increases His Stake In Sears Holdings
(SHLD)
Street Insider.com
February 14, 2008
Pershing Square's Bill Ackman
increases his stake in Sears Holdings (Nasdaq:
SHLD). Ackman increased his stake to 6.15 million shares from 5
million shares last quarter.
Sears Holdings Corporation is a
broadline retailer with approximately 2,300 full-line and 1,100
specialty retail stores in the United States operating through Kmart
holding Corporation (Kmart) and Sears, Roebuck and Co., and
approximately 370 full-line and specialty retail stores in Canada
operating through Sears Canada.


Sears to cut 200 staffers
Overhead reduction targets support jobs
By Sandra M. Jones - Tribune
reporter - Chicago Tribune
February 13, 2008
Sears Holdings Corp. is cutting about 200
headquarters jobs as it tries to bring its overhead costs in line with
falling sales and stem profit declines.
The Hoffman Estates-based retailer
notified employees of the pending cuts in a memo Tuesday from interim
CEO W. Bruce Johnson. The jobs, which are in support functions,
represent about 4 percent of Sears' 5,000 headquarters employees, said
Sears spokesman Chris Brathwaite. He declined to be more specific.
The cutbacks come as billionaire investor
Edward Lampert looks for a way to save his investment and turn around
the company created when he engineered Kmart Holding Corp.'s purchase of
Sears, Roebuck and Co. in 2005. Late last month, Sears unveiled a
restructuring that divides the company into a five independently run
businesses, a move some investors view as a precursor to eventual asset
sales.
In a two-page letter to employees dated
Jan. 28, Lampert warned, "There will be many difficult decisions to come
and the recent economic downturn which has affected practically all
retail companies has set back our progress.
However, it has not deterred us and we will continue to move forward
with our strategy and take all appropriate actions to stabilize our
business."
Support is one of the five business areas
being created under the new structure. While Brathwaite declined to
disclose the support functions targeted in the cuts, Sears described the
new support unit as housing such functions as marketing, store
operations, customer strategy and finance.
"As we've previously stated, Sears
Holdings' results have not been satisfactory," said Brathwaite. "As part
of a continuing process, we're assessing our business priorities and
cost structures in the organization and when and where necessary, we
will be making adjustments."
Shortly after Sears and Kmart merged,
cost cuts and gains from investments boosted profit and Sears stock
soared, flirting with $200 in April.
But that strategy began to show its
shortcomings last fall. Lots of money went to buy back stock. Little
went to sprucing up stores. Customers shopped less at Sears, and the
overhead costs began to take their toll on earnings.
Profit dropped 99 percent in the third
quarter over the year-ago period, its worst quarter by far since Lampert
took control of the department store chain. If not for the money made on
investments, Sears would have been in the red. Sears warned that
fourth-quarter earnings per share are expected to decline 35 percent to
51 percent.
Sears shares fell $2, or 2 percent, to
close at $99.07 Tuesday on the Nasdaq stock market. Lampert owns 48
percent of the company.
"When he first took over the company he
was pretty aggressive in cutting [overhead]," said Neil Stern, a partner
at McMillan Doolittle LLP, a Chicago retail consulting firm. "Over the
past year or so, as they pursued a more retail focus, they added jobs. I
don't think they got the result they wanted, so now they're cutting
back."
Retailers typically tighten their belts
in January and February after a disappointing holiday season. Macy's,
J.C. Penney and Home Depot all announced job cuts in the past two weeks.
Separately, Bob Luse, senior vice
president of human resources, left the company last week, Brathwaite
confirmed.


Sears' job
cuts seen as just the beginning
By Monée Fields-White -
Chicago Business
February 13, 2008
(Crain's) Sears Holdings Corp.'s
announcement that it will cut about 200 jobs at its headquarters may
be just the beginning. The Hoffman Estates-based department store
chain probably will have to reduce its staff further as it tries to
bring overhead in line with slumping sales and profit, industry
observers say.
"It wouldn't surprise me if we begin
to see more. They have got to figure out a way to get their sales
up," said George Whalin, head of California-based Retail Management
Consultants Inc. "Anytime you start looking at substantial sales
(declines), you start looking at your support internally within the
headquarters as ways to solve problems and cut costs."
The pending cuts are in support
functions and represent about 4% of Sears‚ 5,000 headquarters
employees, a spokesman said. Employees were notified in a memo on
Tuesday from interim CEO W. Bruce Johnson.
The spokesman declined to be more
specific on which jobs would be targeted.
"As we've previously stated, Sears
Holdings‚ results have not been satisfactory," he said. "Because of
that, as part of a continuing process, we are assessing our business
priorities, cost structures and organization, and, when and where
necessary, we will be making adjustments."
The 200 job cuts, first reported by
the Chicago Tribune, come as billionaire investor Edward Lampert
searches for ways to revive the company created when he merged Kmart
Holdings Corp. and Sears Roebuck & Co. in March 2005.
Mr. Lampert has squeezed cash and
profit out of the business mostly through cost cuts and measures
like investing in credit derivatives ˜ a practice which was
successful at the start but was pursued at the expense of
reinvesting in stores to boost sales.
The tables turned last fall when the
company reported a 99% drop in third-quarter profit from the same
period a year earlier.
The company said results in the
fourth quarter, ended Feb. 2, would show another big drop. Cash
holdings have dwindled through stock buybacks.
Comparable store sales, a key
industry measure, have dropped every quarter since the merger.
In late January, Sears unveiled a
restructuring that divided the company into five units. Support is
one of them and includes marketing, store operations, customer
strategy and finance.
Earlier this month, Aylwin Lewis
stepped down as CEO, and other top executives have left as well. The
spokesman confirmed a report in the Chicago Tribune that Robert Luse,
senior vice-president of human resources, departed last week.
Typically, job cuts are completed
once a new executive steps in, but the latest move "just means the
firm is really chomping at the bit to really get things working
here," says Marcos Moya, a partner at New York-based executive
search firm Battalia Winston International. "So you're going to see
a lot more people go."
Sears is the latest retailer to
announce job cuts following a disappointing holiday season. Macy's,
J. C. Penney and Home Depot all announced job cuts recently.


Lampert
Buys $19.8M Worth Of AutoNation Shares
Dow Jones Newswire
February 13, 2008
Billionaire Investor Edward L