Breaking News
October
2001 - December 2001

Sears, U.S. Reach Civil Settlement Over 1994-95 Automotive Battery
Advertising
December 27,
2001
HOFFMAN ESTATES, Ill. -- Sears, Roebuck and Co. has reached a civil
settlement agreement with the U.S. Attorney for the Southern
District of Illinois that concludes an investigation of advertising
of certain Sears automotive batteries in 1994 and 1995.
"The investigation related to this matter has gone on for more
than two years," said Sears Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Alan J.
Lacy. "Faced with the continuing expense and distraction of protracted
litigation, we have decided that settling it now is in the best interests
of all of our constituents."
In 1994, Sears selected new vendors to supply its DieHard line of
automotive batteries. Exide Technologies, the world's largest
manufacturer of lead acid batteries, was chosen to produce the DieHard
Silver and DieHard WeatherHandler automotive batteries. In September 1994,
Exide began supplying the new batteries to Sears. In October 1994, Exide
informed Sears that a small percentage of the DieHard Silver and DieHard
WeatherHandler batteries had latent formation defects that might cause
some of the batteries to fail to meet certain advertised specifications.
Exide assured Sears that the problems had been corrected. Sears also
received test data provided by Exide that indicated the batteries met
specifications, and Sears continued its advertising program. The
advertising program principally featured the DieHard Gold battery,
which was not manufactured by Exide.
Sears later learned that test data provided by Exide was false.
In March 2001, Exide pled guilty to conspiracy
to commit fraud in connection with batteries it manufactured and sold to
Sears under the 1994 contract.
Sears and Exide ended their relationship in 1999, and Sears selected
Johnson Controls, Inc. (JCI) to produce the DieHard Silver and DieHard
WeatherHandler batteries, a relationship that continues today. JCI has
manufactured Sears DieHard Gold automotive batteries since 1997. Sears
DieHard automotive batteries today are widely regarded as among the best
in the industry.
"Customers who experience a problem with any Sears battery will benefit
from our guarantee of satisfaction, and that was just as true during the
period covered by this settlement agreement as it is now," Lacy said.
Sears battery warranties traditionally have been among the most generous
in the industry.
Under terms of the settlement agreement, Sears will pay the government
approximately $63 million. The cost of the settlement will result in a
one-time, special charge to earnings of $0.12 per share in the fourth
quarter of 2001.
Sears, Roebuck and Co. is a leading retailer of apparel, home and
automotive products and services, with annual revenue of more than $40
billion. The company serves families in the U.S. through Sears stores
nationwide, including approximately 860 full-line stores. Sears also
offers a wide variety of merchandise and services through its Web site,
www.sears.com.
Comments from Gordon Muschett :
In Martinez's book, "The Hard Road To the Soft Side",
Arthur wrote and I quote, " We took a close look at (auto) batteries and
found a $46 million saving. We were dumping a 26-year supplier (Johnson
Controls of Milwaukee). We put some of that $46 million in our pockets,
and gave some it back to customers in terms of lower prices. Our decision
to change suppliers sent a vast wake-up call through the whole system. We
found a new sense of cooperation and won lots and lots of concessions".
In another paragraph Arthur stated, "And yet we had a
life insurance benefit for 130,000 retirees costing us $60 million a
year. It's kind of hard to see the benefit in that level of
expenditure. I could put $60 million into marketing and getting
something beneficial in return."
Could it be coincidental that Sears sales leveled out
after the takeaway of the life insurance to our valued retirees and
considering those that helped build the Company a "BURDEN"? Oh well, $46
million here and $60 million a year there. Our challenge of Martinez was
considered by he as, "There
was an ego challenge at work and I was the target". Arthur stated,
"Maybe I was really dealing with the revenge of
the Searsmen. Maybe they were actually angry that we had been able to
achieve what they were not able to achieve."
Yes Arthur, you almost destroyed this great Company!
However in leaving, Arthur did engineer and receive a huge retirement
package for himself. Alan Lacy and his staff most certainly has a giant
job, particularly with current economic conditions, to reposition its
rightful retail place.


Weak
Retailers at Risk in
2002
Reuters Newsroom -
December 26, 2001
Only the fittest survive in lean times, and that could mean store
closures, consolidation or even bankruptcies for weaker U.S. retailers
banking on good holiday sales to pull them through the year, consultants
said.
"Anybody counting on a great Christmas for
survival better start preparing their Chapter 11 bankruptcy petition,''
Dominic DiNapoli, managing partner in business recovery services at
PriceWaterhouseCoopers, said.
Most retail chains will be glad to close the books on 2001, as weak
holiday sales capped a year already marked by the recession and the Sept.
11 attacks. Consumers slashed spending on items like clothing and luxury
goods and stayed clear of malls, and spent more time at home.
Holiday purchases are critical to retailers' health because they can
account for as much as 25 percent of annual sales. A weak season, coupled
with economic damage inflicted by the U.S. recession may spell trouble for
some.
Although final figures for the season are not yet in, Merrill Lynch
retail analysts expect same-store holiday sales will rise 0.2 percent,
marking the smallest gain in about 33 years, according to the firm's data.
Last year, retailer Montgomery Ward & Co., citing poor performance
during November and December, filed for bankruptcy and shut its doors
after 128 years in business.
Regional discount chain Ames Stores Inc. also filed for bankruptcy
protection this year, but still operates 333 stores as it tries to
reorganize. Housewares chain Lechters said in October it would close all
of its 315 stores.
Department stores and mall-based specialty apparel chains really felt
the economic pinch because consumers, mindful of tighter budgets, favored
discount chains like Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
"It's pretty clear that the weakness at
apparel and specialty stores is most pronounced and most vulnerable in the
post-holiday period,'' Frank Badillo, economist at consulting firm Retail
Forward, said. ``I do think we'll see store closings, more bankruptcies
and consolidation.''
In a recent report, rating agency Fitch said it expects stronger
department store chains like Federated Department Store Inc. and May
Department Stores Co. to acquire groups of stores from weaker
counterparts.
Wal-Mart is still king of retail hill
Regional, smaller discount chains like Green Bay, Wisconsin-based
ShopKo Stores Inc. and Ames are seen under pressure because they have to
compete against the size and might of giants such as Wal-Mart, Kmart Corp.
and Target Corp.
"ShopKo in the Midwest has been doing
somewhat better,'' Marie Menendez, an analyst for Moody's Investor
Service, said.
"They've been successful at getting some of
their operations under control, but given the kinds of increases we are
seeing from Wal-Mart it's hard to tell where that customer is going to be
doing their shopping,'' she said.
Wal-Mart has managed to snag market share from other retailers, grocery
chains and drugstores in the shrinking U.S. economy. The retail giant said
Wednesday its holiday same-store sales rose at the upper end of a range
from 4 percent to 6 percent.
Fitch cut ShopKo's outlook from stable to negative earlier this year
partly because of increased competition from discounters like Wal-Mart and
Target in the Midwest. A spokeswoman for ShopKo said no one was available
to comment.
Warm weather this season also hurt apparel retailers, who were denied
big profit margins on items like winter coats and sweaters, Menendez said.
"J. Crew is an example where we had a positive
outlook throughout the summer and they managed the down-cycle
excellently,'' Menendez said. ``They maintained liquidity and were able to
continue to reduce debt, until they stopped selling sweaters.''
Moody's rates J.Crew's debt ``junk'' and gives
the retailer a ''negative'' outlook. A ``junk'' rating on debt ordinarily
raises borrowing costs.
J. Crew is a closely held clothing retailer based in New York. The
company reported that sales at their stores open at least a year fell 24.8
percent in November. Officials at J. Crew were not immediately available
to comment.
Retailers like Mattress Discounters Corp. have also not fared well in
recent months because they are highly leveraged and ".
. . have very low tangible assets,'' Menendez said. Consumers also stopped
buying mattresses in the recession.
Larger retailers like Saks Inc. and Dillard's Inc. and discount giant
Kmart, which have seen sales and profits flag in recent months, have
enough liquidity to make it through more lean times, analysts said.


Sears Plans
$1.5B Stock Buyback
By
Eddie Baeb, Crain's Chicago Business
December 12, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. Wednesday announced plans
to buy up to $1.5 billion of its common stock.
The program is the third major stock buyback plan
in the past two years for the struggling Hoffman Estates-based
retailer. Since 1998, Sears has spent more than $2.80 billion
acquiring its own stock.
"Share repurchase continues to be a compelling use
of excess cash flow for the company, and an effective tool to create
additional value for our shareholders," CEO Alan Lacy said in a
statement.
The new plan, approved by Sears' board today,
expires in December 2004.


Department
Store Vet
Named Head of Sears
Apparel
By Susan Chandler
- Chicago Tribune
December 4, 2001
After almost a year of searching, Sears, Roebuck and Co.
has selected an executive with nearly two decades of experience in the
department store sector to head its struggling apparel business.
Kathryn Bufano, a Chicago native, will assume the Sears
post of executive vice president of softlines on Jan. 1. She is stepping
into a high-profile position that will determine how Sears fares in the
highly competitive and potentially lucrative apparel business, where it
has been losing market share to more nimble competitors such as Kohl's
Corp.
Bufano, who was not available for comment Monday, will
report to Sears Chief Executive Alan Lacy. She will be responsible for
brand development and worldwide sourcing for all men's, women's and
children's apparel as well as footwear, home fashions and jewelry.
Sears found Bufano, 49, at Dress Barn Inc., a Suffern,
N.Y.-based low-price women's apparel chain, where she has been president
since February. Elliot Jaffe, chief executive of Dress Barn, said he was
disappointed that Bufano was leaving and praised her as "one of the
outstanding fashion merchants in the country today."
Retail consultant Kurt Barnard called Bufano "an
extremely promising appointment."
"The Dress Barn customer is the customer that Sears
would like to have. [Bufano] knows all the vendors and she knows how to
get the vendors to make her customers happy," said Barnard, president of
Barnard's Retail Trend Report in Upper Montclair, N.J.
Before her 10-month stint at Dress Barn, Bufano spent
six years at Macy's East, the department store chain. During part of that
time, she was in charge of merchandising women's apparel and reported to
the CEO. Before that, Bufano spent 17 years with Lord & Taylor. She began
her retail career in 1976 with Chas. A. Stevens, where she was a store
manager for the Chicago-based women's apparel chain.


Retail
Sluggish
Despite Discounting
Reuters - December 4,
2001
Deep discounting at U.S. retailers drew consumers to stores in
November, two reports showed Tuesday, but disappointing results for the
last week of the month herald a grim holiday season.
Analysts are hoping that consumer spending; which accounts for
two-thirds of U.S. economic activit; will soften the recession that began
in March and help lead the economy back onto a growth path.
But the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi and UBS Warburg said Tuesday their
retail chain store sales index fell 1.7 percent during the week ended Dec.
1; the largest drop since Sept. 11; following a 0.9 percent gain one week
earlier.
Instinet's Redbook Retail Sales Average rose 2.4 percent in the four
weeks ended Dec. 1. That gain matched a similar rise in the previous
period, but there were some worrisome signs in the report.
Redbook said retailers were disappointed with the latest week's
results, blaming unseasonably warm weather for a lag in sales of winter
clothing.
"It's a very risky environment," said Mike Niemira, senior economist at
BTM, who added that the significance of holiday sales went well beyond the
retail sector.
"Statistically, a strong Christmas bodes well for the subsequent year
from an economic standpoint. So, if it's a soft Christmas season, then
that's the kind of the year that you look ahead for," he said.
The holidays are crucial for retailers since November and December
sales account for around one-quarter of overall retail sales for the whole
year. But the numbers do not look promising.
"Holiday shopping is expected to be the weakest since the recession of
1990/91," said Steven Wood, chief financial economist at FinancialOxygen,
in Walnut Creek, California, in a report released after the data.
The Trouble with Discounts
Part of the trouble is that value-conscious consumers' increasing
appetite for bargains cuts into the overall dollar value of sales, hurting
retailers.
BTM's sales index, which measures overall sales volume in dollar
amounts, fell to 386.4 last week; its lowest level in five weeks compared
with 393.1 in the prior week.
The near 2 percent drop; for an index that hardly ever budges a full
percentage point from week to week; indicates the trouble with revving up
sales through deep discounting.
"The fundamentals just aren't there for a
strong holiday season,'' said Steven Loeys, economist at Lehman Brothers.
Most U.S. retailers will announce monthly sales results for November
this Thursday.
Consumer spending set a record in October, rebounding from a sharp
fall-off after the Sept. 11 attacks. BTM expects a 3.0 percent rise over
November sales last year.
Compared with the same week last year, the BTM index rose 3.1 percent,
stronger than the prior week's year-over-year gain of 2.2 percent, and
approaching the 3.3 percent rate of growth seen the week before Sept. 11.
The Redbook Average grew 2.7 percent year-over-year, after a 4.8
percent gain in the previous period.
But analysts cautioned against yearly comparisons, noting that growth
relative to an exceedingly poor holiday season last year is misleading.
Cross-year comparisons are also made difficult by the fact that the
Thanksgiving weekend; a crucial period for holiday shopping; was earlier
this year than last, Lehman's Loeys said.
The BTM/UBSW Weekly Chain Store Sales Snapshot is compiled from seven
major discount, department and chain stores across the country. They
include J.C. Penney Co. Inc., Sears, Roebuck and Co., Target Corp., Kmart
Corp., Wal-Mart Stores, Federated Department Stores Inc. and May
Department Stores Co.
The Redbook Retail Sales Average is a sales-weighted average of annual
growth in same-store sales at discount, department and chain stores that
report results on a weekly basis. The index is released weekly by Instinet
Research, a division of Instinet, a Reuters-owned electronic brokerage.
But the stakes are higher this year because of the weak economy, lost
jobs and consumer skittishness following the Sept. 11 attacks on New York
and Washington.
With sales slowing during a recession, retailers are pulling out all
the stops to get shoppers into their stores during the holiday season,
which typically generates 25 percent of annual sales.
"They are using tried and true methods of
promoting to get people in the door,'' said Sarah Scheuer, a spokeswoman
for the National Retail Federation trade group. ``The promotions are not
fundamentally different, but there are more of them and they are more
frequent.''
Sears, Roebuck and Co., the nation's fourth largest retailer, will open
most of its stores from 7 a.m. to 9 p.m. this weekend, again offering some
of the deep "doorbuster'' discounts it used
during Thanksgiving weekend to woo customers.
"We will have some incredible deals to bring
customers into the stores,'' Sears spokeswoman Peggy Palter said.
For example, Sears is selling $49 VCRs and and 13-inch television sets
for $68 from 7 a.m. until noon. Hoffman Estates, Illinois-based Sears also
added a "clearance center'' to its Web site,
http://www.sears.com, this holiday season.
Plenty of sweaters, discounts
Hefty markdowns can already be found on sweaters, a holiday
gift-giving staple. Yet despite the deals, unseasonably warm weather in
many parts of the country has kept consumers away from the piles of neatly
folded sweaters found in most apparel chains.
"I don't care how deep retailers discount
cashmere sweaters,'' Candace Corlett, a principal at consulting firm WSL
Strategic Retail in New York, said on Thursday. "Consumers
are telling us they are overstuffed. They just don't have anymore room in
drawers and closets for another cashmere sweater.''
At women's apparel chain AnnTaylor Stores Corp., all cashmere sweaters
are 30 percent off.
At Brooks Brothers Inc., which British retailer Marks & Spencer Plc
recently sold to Retail Brand Alliance, men's V-neck cashmere sweaters
were marked down from $248 to $199.
On Gap Inc.'s Web site (http://www.gap.com), some sweaters are marked
down 40 percent. The e-commerce arm of the largest U.S. apparel chain is
also offering a coupon worth 15 percent off any purchase made in Gap
stores over $100.
But it is still to early to tell whether the deep discounts will
generate enough sales for retailers to call it a Merry Christmas.
Over the Thanksgiving weekend, sales at stores open at least a year
rose a modest 2.3 percent, according to data from check acceptance company
TeleCheck Services. That figure was down from last year's gain of 3.8
percent.


Sears
Retail Sales
Same Store Sales Off
Reuters -
December 3, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co., the No. 4 U.S. retailer, on Monday
said it expects its same-store sales during the holiday shopping season to
fall 3 percent to 4 percent, a decline from the flat sales expected prior to
the Sept. 11 attacks in New York and Washington.
Sears Chief Executive Alan Lacy said holiday sales would
not be driven by more promotions. "We've been very
disciplined in our inventory practices,'' he told
Reuters following an economic conference moderated by the U.S. Secretary of
Commerce.
Sears earlier this month reported that same-store sales at
its domestic stores in October fell 4.4 percent from the same month a year
ago due to the impact of a weakened economy and sluggish consumer
confidence.
Total domestic sales for the four weeks ended Nov. 30 were
down 3.4 percent from a year ago to $2.15 billion.
Shares of Sears added 51 cents, or 1.1 percent, to $45.09
in midday trading on the New York Stock Exchange.


Discounts
Rolling
Reuters Newsroom - November 29, 2001
With Sears selling televisions for $70 and stores selling
sweaters near half price, discounts will be as plentiful as
mistletoe and tinsel over the next few weeks as U.S. retailers try
to lure holiday shoppers in a shrinking economy.
"We will have promotions every week, and we
are more promotional this year,'' said Stephanie Brown, a spokeswoman for
J.C. Penney Co. Inc. "We knew this was going to
be a competitive year even before Sept. 11. Our marketing and promotion
efforts are more intense this year,'' she said.
This weekend, all 1,080 department stores operated by Plano,
Texas-based Penney will pass out chocolate bars with wrappers containing
coupons for discounts of 20 percent to 30 percent off store merchandise.
Typically, retail chains offer markdowns and specials the weekend
following Thanksgiving, then refrain from price cuts until the days just
before Christmas, when inventories must be cleared.


Drug Costs
Poised to Soar Anew
By Gloria Lau - Investors
Business Daily
November 27, 2001
With the least leverage, they'll foot more of bill or get less of
medical pie If you think your co-payment for drugs will stay anywhere near
as low as $5 for generics and $10 for brand name drugs, you're in for an
ugly surprise.
New forecasts show drug costs will shoot up at a double-digit rate
every year for the next decade. The U.S. will spend $366 billion a year on
prescription drugs in 2010 vs. $117 billion in 2000.
That's triple what we spend now. In all of history, Americans have
never spent more than 9% of total health costs on drugs.
That's going to jump to 16%, ac-cording to data from the Centers for
Medicare and Medicaid Services - the programs' finance arm. The group
comes out every year with 10-year forecasts of drug and health care costs.
That's bad news for consumers and doctors - those with the least
bargaining power in health care. "You have a $5 or $10 drug co-pay?" asked
Rand senior economist Glenn Melnick. "Within 24 months, that's going to be
gone. Drug costs are going up 20%-25% a year. If you're not paying much
more for brand name drugs today, you will be in 24 months."
He predicts co-payments for generics will rise to $25 and brand name
drugs to more than $50. Past drug price trends support this claim. Before
1992, a month of pills cost $30.47 vs. $71.49 today.
Beyond drugs, all health care costs are up too. Health costs rose 7.2%
last year vs. 5.2% between 1992 and 1998. Total spending will double to
$2.6 trillion between 1999 and 2010. That means it'll eat up 16%, instead
of 13.5%, of gross domestic product.
"That extra money has got to come from somewhere," said Melnick, who
also heads the health care finance program at the University of Southern
California. "If my share of the pie grows, your share shrinks. The
question is whose share will shrink?"
His guess is doctors and patients - those with the least leverage. Most
people buy health insurance from a health plan or through their employers.
Although the latter allows people some discounts, they are small.
What will happen? Initially health plans will see their drug and health
costs rise. They'll miss profit goals and start offloading costs onto
employers, who'll push costs onto workers.
Doctors also will get squeezed. Most doctors - even those in group
practices - have little control over how much insurers pay them. Most big
health plans have millions of members nationwide. The largest practices
don't have a l0th as many doctors.
With no negotiating power, where does that put doctors? Right back
where they were before they formed those physician practice management
firms that went belly up in the mid-1990s. Doctors' incomes are already
falling. General practitioners' net incomes dropped 16% last year to
$90,280, according to Medical Economics, the leading physicians' journal.
In fact, few doctors' specialties surveyed saw income growth that matched
inflation, meaning their real incomes fell.
Are the drug-cost forecasts right? "Definitely reasonable, but
forecasting is a very imprecise science," said Paul Ginsburg, former
deputy assistant director of the Congressional Budget Office, which helps
Congress estimate the cost of health policies. "But even if it's off by
30%, its significance it is the same."
Now, as president of the Center for Studying Health System Change,
Ginsburg leads surveys of 12 cities in the U.S. every two years. He
interviews employers, health plans, doctors and patients.
Today, half of all employers offer a three-tiered system vs. fewer than
10% in 1999, his last survey shows. Three-tiered co-pay systems ask
members to pay $10 for generics, $20 for brand name drugs on a
pre-screened list and $30 for other brand name drugs.
These tiered systems let health plans and employers offload more drug
costs on to you and me.
"This rapid growth in pharmaceutical costs will hasten the day when
consumers have more out-of-pocket costs and more financial incentives to
economize," Ginsburg said. "There'll be more cost-sharing for drugs and
doctors' fees."
That's happening at hospitals. Two months ago, Tufts Health Plan of
Boston started charging pa-tients who want to use teaching hospitals
instead of community hospitals an extra $250 per visit. In other words,
Ginsburg says, people can choose quality - at a price.
_____________________________________________________________________
Comments: It appears that escalating drug and health care costs
may well be passed on to Sears retirees due to Martinez's 1996 freezing of
Sears contribution to your medical. We've been advised that many in the
old "Plan E" (now known as Sears Medicare Plus Plan), have seen a 40% jump
in premiums. It is recommended that you have your physician issue you a
years prescription for a given drug. Order a 90 day supply for home
delivery from Merck-Medco ( the prescription plan drug administrator).
Once they have a copy of the doctors prescription, you may order by mail,
or over the web: www.merckmedco.com Home delivery costs for a 90 Day
supply are:
Generic: - $20, Preferred brand - $30,
Non-preferred brand - $45
Remember, that if you once drop the Plan, you can no longer get it
back. If you have questions regarding the Plan, please call the Retiree
Service Center at 1-800-762-7327. You will be asked for your Social
Security number and password PIN. The password PIN, is the two digits of
the month and the last two digits of of year of birth. For example if you
were born in June of 1928, your PIN number would be 0628.
For 2002, if you are still covered under the Plan, Sears has increased
the lifetime maximum for the Plan from $150,000 to $250,000 for you or
your spouse.
Sears retiree Gerald Weitzenhoffer has advised NARSE about a little
known military service veterans Medical Care Recovery Program. As many of
us are military service veterans, some may qualify and be eligible to
participate in the Veterans' Health Care Eligibility Reform Act of 1996
and Pubic Law 104-262. The Law was enacted to simplify the rules for
providing health care to veterans and introduce improvements in the
quality and timeliness of the care received. To determine if your military
service qualifies you for enrollment, see their web sites at:
www.vba.va.gov - www.va.gov/vbs/health - www.va.gov/health/elig/eligibility.html
Additional information may be found at: http:www.va.gov/mccr You can be
secure more information by contacting your nearest VA Medical Facility or:
Medical Care Cost Recovery (174)
Department of Veterans Affairs
810 Vermont Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20420
Ph: 202-373-8858
The VA Health Benefits Service Center has established a toll free
number to determine eligibility is: 1-877-222-VETS

Sears HQ Layoff's Halfway Done
Crain's Chicago Business - November
26, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. is about halfway through the job reductions at its
Hoffman Estates
headquarters, with the largest cuts so far coming
in the information technology department.
To date, "600 to 650" jobs have been eliminated, according to a Sears
spokeswoman. A recent memo from CEO Alan J. Lacy to employees put the
number higher, at 700.
The spokeswoman would not provide a breakdown of job cuts by
department, but a source says the IT department was hard hit.
In October, Sears announced plans to cut 1,300 jobs at its home office and
3,600 field employees as part of a corporate restructuring.
The spokeswoman said Sears will not lay off any more
headquarters employees until next year.


Sears
Webcasts
from Lehman Brothers Retail Conference
PRNewswire - November 21, 2001
Paul Liska, chief financial officer of Sears, Roebuck and Co., will
speak at the Lehman Brothers Retail Conference in New York City on
November 26, 2001 at 12:55 p.m. Central/1:55 p.m. Eastern time.
The presentation will be webcast live over the Internet at http://www.sears.com.
To access the webcast, click on "Investors" and select "Calendar of
Events." A replay of the call will be available on the Web site for
approximately one week.
Software necessary to listen to the webcast, Media Player or Real
Player, can be downloaded from the webcast site.
Downloading the software may take up to 22
minutes with a 56K speed modem.
Sears, Roebuck and Co. is a leading retailer of apparel, home and
automotive products and services, with annual revenue of more than $40
billion. The company serves families in the U.S. through Sears stores
nationwide, including approximately 860 full-line stores. Sears also
offers a wide variety of merchandise and services through its Web site,
http://www.sears.com


Kmart
Finance Chief's
Tenure Brief
Ex-Sears exec served 6 months
By James Covert - Dow
Jones Newswires
November 14, 2001
The resignation of Kmart Corp.'s chief financial officer Friday is another
stumble in the company's turnaround efforts.
Industry observers are wondering whether other problems--including
Kmart's relationships with customers and manufacturers--might cause the
Troy, Mich., discount chain to trip up again soon.
Jeffrey N. Boyer, who had been with Kmart for six months, left the
company to spend more time with his family, Kmart said Friday. Boyer, 43,
had joined Kmart after serving as chief financial officer at Sears,
Roebuck and Co., where he had worked since October 1999.
Boyer has been succeeded at Kmart by John T. McDonald Jr., formerly
senior vice president of finance and treasury. Previously, McDonald had
worked at CVS Corp., where Kmart's chairman and chief executive, Charles
C. Conaway, had served as chief financial officer before joining Kmart in
May 2000.
Boyer's Friday departure follows the resignation of Kmart's chief
marketing officer, Brent Willis. After supervising the relaunch of Kmart's
BlueLight Special promotions, Willis, a former executive at Coca-Cola Co.,
left Kmart in April to spend more time with his family, the company said
at the time. Willis had been with Kmart less than six months.
"The revolving door continues, and it's not a good thing when the
company is losing top executives," said Robert Buchanan, an analyst at
A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. in St. Louis.
Kmart spokesman Jack Ferry said Boyer's resignation was voluntary, and
that it had nothing to do with Kmart's finances or accounting practices,
which the financial officer oversaw.
At Kmart, a few promises have already been broken.
When it reported second-quarter earnings in August, Kmart did not
reduce its inventories as planned, shaking the confidence of some
investors despite Kmart's contention that inventories were up due to
higher investment in fast-moving consumable items.
In October, Kmart's same-store sales declined 4.4 percent, well short
of the outlook it gave in August, which called for an increase during the
second half in the low single digits. CEO Conaway partly blamed the
October decline on shifts and cuts in advertising during the month.
Emme Kozloff, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Associates in New
York, declined to speculate on whether Boyer's departure was related to
such issues. Signs of a lack of unity in Kmart's ranks were evident at a
meeting with analysts on Sept. 10, when Conaway didn't introduce Boyer,
she said.


Sears to Buy
HomeLife Leases
Crain's Chicago Business -
November 10, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. will pay $9.5 million for control of
the leases on 90 HomeLife Furniture Corp. furniture stores, under a deal
approved late last week in federal Bankruptcy Court. Hoffman Estates-based
Sears plans to market the leases to other retailers.
HomeLife, a former unit of Sears that filed for bankruptcy
protection in July, is liquidating its 128-store chain. Sears bought the
rights to the leases partly because it may be responsible for lease payments
to HomeLife's landlords.
"The faster we get rid of (the leases), the
better," says a Sears spokeswoman. Clifford Katz, the New York lawyer who
represents the creditors committee, says Sears' offer was the only one made
for all of the leased stores. HomeLife was advised on the deal by
Northbrook-based Hilco Real Estate LLC and Newmark Retail Financial Advisors
LLC of New York.


Fewer
Choices for Workers on Benefits
By Milt Freudenheim -
The New York Times
November 9, 2001
Tens of thousands of employees are being forced to drop their health
plans and choose a different one this month as companies across the
country sharply reduce their rosters of H.M.O.'s and other managed care
insurers.
Some employees will have to change doctors as well, if their physicians
are not on the roster of the new health plan. Everyone who makes the
switch will have to deal with a new set of customer service
representatives and often different rules and out-of-pocket payments.
Health care economists say large employers are trying to force the
managed care companies to hold down their charges as they compete for a
smaller number of large contracts. Employers say that by reducing the
number of plans, they can save money and tighten control over the quality
of care.
But critics like Alain Enthoven, a professor of management at Stanford,
say employers are "going in exactly the wrong direction." With fewer
choices, he said, doctors and hospitals will be under less pressure to
compete by lowering prices.
Consumer advocates charge that the cutbacks are part of a strategy to
shift more of the costs gradually to employees as health care inflation
spirals upward.
"Businesses have found that they don't have a magic bullet to reduce
their own costs," said Ron Pollack, executive director of Families USA, a
consumer group based in Washington. "Their strategy is going to be to
shift those costs and the burdens, and push people into more restrictive
health plans."
The narrowing trend comes after years in which companies made more
medical options available, said Jim Maxwell, health policy director at the
JSI Research and Training Institute in Boston.
"Because of the managed care backlash," he said, "employers backed away
from the tougher forms of managed care," which had helped to restrain cost
increases, he said. And as the insurers changed their products to try to
attract plan members, they dropped many of the restrictions that kept
costs in check. For example, many health maintenance organizations stopped
requiring members to get second opinions before treatments could be
approved, and many no longer required permission from an internist or
other primary doctor before a patient could consult a specialist.
Now, though, employers are facing rising health costs along with a weak
economy, and their only way to keep expenses in check "is to negotiate
more aggressively with the carriers," Mr. Maxwell said.
The changes are extremely widespread. In five years, 93 percent of
Fortune 500 companies reduced the number of health insurers they offered,
and none increased the number of insurance carriers, Mr. Maxwell reported
in a study completed last year for the National Health Care Purchasing
Institute.
In just the last two years, Sears, Roebuck (news/quote) dropped 120
health maintenance organizations and kept 65; American Express
(news/quote) jettisoned 164 health plans and kept only 48. This year
alone, Xerox
(news/quote) removed 92 H.M.O.'s from its roster of 222 for employees
wishing to choose a new plan, but current members of these H.M.O.'s could
remain.
Sears, which covers 100,000 employees across the country, felt "forced
into" dropping H.M.O.'s that demanded steep premium increases, said Liz
Rossman, vice president for benefits at Sears. Some health plans were
asking for 70 percent and 80 percent increases. She said most employees
whose plans were dropped would still have access to the same doctors
through a large national network offered by Empire Blue Cross.
Employers said that when they used many insurance plans, each one
covering a relatively small number of employees, it was hard to negotiate
rates effectively.
Arleane Baltrusitis, vice president for benefits at American Express,
which covers 60,000 employees, 6,000 retirees and their dependents, said
that with 164 insurers, it was "difficult to know what you were getting,
if you were really getting value."
"In the 70's and 80's, the concept was to contract with everyone in
sight" in cities across the country, she said.
"Twenty years later," she added, "we realized we had lost any leverage"
with the H.M.O.'s. With relatively few employees in each local plan, she
said, American Express could not negotiate with the H.M.O.'s on services
or what the contract was going to look like.
Now most American Express employees have a choice of an H.M.O. or a
doctor in a preferred provider network through UnitedHealthcare, an
operating unit of the UnitedHealth Group.
Xerox has tried another approach. Larry Becker, benefits director, said
that to try to have better control of the dozens of health plans it still
has outside its manufacturing center in Rochester, Xerox was dividing them
into four groups that would be managed by Empire Blue Cross and Blue
Shield, UnitedHealth, Aetna (news/quote) and Kaiser Permanente.
Smaller companies are also narrowing their sights. Kestrel
Technologies, a rapidly growing software company based in Manhattan with
60 employees in seven states, hired Empire to take over from six health
plans.
"I wanted to try to reduce premiums and provide equal benefits to all
our employees," said Jake Karam, chief financial officer of Kestrel. The
company's premium rates have plummeted 30 percent for the new year, he
said, in part because insurers were more interested in covering a larger
group of employees.
The drive to reduce the number of plans is spurred by the fact that as
companies have laid off employees, their benefits departments have shrunk,
leaving fewer workers to deal with health care insurers. "There is a
greater push to do it this year because the rates are up and the benefit
department has been downsized along with the rest of the firm," said Larry
Boress, executive director of the Chicago Business Group on Health, an
employers' group.
Consultants say H.M.O.'s are demanding premium increases of up to 17
percent from large companies for 2002.
Companies "are looking for one-stop shopping," said Laurel Pickering,
executive director of the New York Business Group on Health.
Mr. Boress says the health plans are eager to become employers' sole
health care managers. They offer discounts of at least 5 percent for the
privilege, he said. "Insurers are terrified of selling a more
comprehensive plan and competing with a less comprehensive plan" that
siphons away healthier members, said Paul Ginsburg, president of Health
Care Change, a research group based in Washington.


October Retail Sales
Wal-Mart's Sales Rose 6.7% in October
But Other Retailers Didn't Fare as Well
Wall Street Journal - November 9, 2001
A WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE News Roundup, Nov. 9, 2001 Discounters
like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. continued to perform well in October while most
other retailers suffered as shoppers, spooked by the poor economy, worries
about national security and the U.S. bombing campaign in Afghanistan,
stayed away from the malls.
Wal-Mart, Bentonville, Ark., said Thursday that sales at stores open at
least a year -- a key indicator of a retailer's strength -- rose 6.7%.
Total sales at the world's largest retailer rose 15% to $16.62 billion.
Same-store sales rose 6.3% at the company's Wal-Mart stores and 8.3% at
its Sam's Club warehouses. Total sales at Wal-Mart stores climbed 14.4% to
$10.44 billion, and at Sam's Club rose 13% to $2.30 billion.
Wal-Mart also said it remains comfortable with the low end of a
forecast made last week for fourth-quarter earnings of 48 cents to 49
cents a share.
Discount chains like Wal-Mart generally perform better than other
retailers when the economy is weak, as shoppers head to stores with
lower-priced merchandise.
"The real news here is less about a decline in retail sales, and more
about a shift in where consumers are taking their dollars," said John
Staton, a partner at Accenture Consulting's Global Retail Practice.
Indeed, Costco Wholesale Corp., Issaquah, Wash., said same-store sales
rose 6%. The warehouse chain credited higher tobacco prices. Total sales
jumped 13% to $2.83 billion. And Kohl's Corp. rung up a 13.5% increase in
same-store sales.
While Wal-Mart, Costco and Kohl's benefited from their lower prices,
they also were helped by superior merchandise, convenient locations and
strong customer service at their stores, said Jim Leach, portfolio manager
at Strong Capital Management.
However, not all discounters fared so well. Kmart Corp.'s October
same-store sales fell 4.4%, a drop the company blamed on disappointing
Halloween sales. Kmart said it liquidated more than $52 million of
discontinued inventory, which accounted for 2% of same-store sales for the
month. Total sales for the Troy, Mich., company dropped 4.9% to $2.42
billion.
Some analysts say that Kmart, which is in the middle of a
restructuring, continues to suffer from shortcomings in its customer
service and merchandising.
Meanwhile, Gap Inc.'s troubles persisted. The San Francisco clothing
retailer said sales plunged 17% on a same-store basis. Total sales slipped
4% in October, to $1 billion from $1.1 billion a year ago.
The company said it is "carefully reviewing" all pending real-estate
deals for 2002, and now sees 2002 square footage growth to be around 5%.
The company said it won't commit to any new real-estate deal for 2003
until the first half of 2002.
Jeffrey Feiner, an analyst at Lehman Brothers Inc. in New York, said
the beleaguered apparel sector redoubled its efforts to decrease the size
of their bloated inventories, marking down prices on excess fall goods in
order to make way for holiday arrivals.
"Inventories were cleared fairly aggressively during the month," he
said. "And more importantly, retailers have been extremely cautious about
ordering for Christmas."
J.C. Penney Co. said October companywide same-store sales were flat and
total sales rose about 1% to $2.41 billion. Penney, Plano, Texas, said it
was pleased with the October numbers, however, considering the difficult
retail environment.
At Penney's department stores, same-store sales fell 0.7%, while total
sales dropped 1.9% to $1.05 billion.
Meanwhile, same-store drugstore sales rose 9.3%, boosted by a 12%
increase in pharmacy sales. Front-end sales at the Eckerd drugstore chain
were up 3.3%, reflecting customer growth and improved unit sales. Penney
said the growth supports the move to offer more competitive pricing and
shows the effects of the stores' reconfiguration.
Penney's overall sales had been weak since the Sept. 11 terrorist
attacks, and October got off to a rocky start as the U.S. military
campaign began, but rebounded in the final two weeks of the month. The
best-performing categories were apparel and home furnishings.
For Sears, Roebuck & Co., October same-store revenue dropped 4.4% and
total domestic-store revenue fell 3.4% to $2.15 billion.
Federated Department Stores Inc., which operates the Macy's and
Bloomingdale's chains, said same-store sales fell 8.7%. Total sales sank
8.9% to about $1.12 billion.
"While it remains difficult to forecast with any certainty in the
current economic environment, we are hopeful that we will see an improved
sales trend as we move into the holiday season," James M. Zimmerman,
Federated's chairman and chief executive, said in a written statement.
May Department Stores Co. saw same-store sales drop 6.4% while total
sales fell 4% to $965.5 million.
Apparel retailer Talbots Inc., a strong performer in the category until
recent months, said same-store sales fell 13%. That was in line with
Talbots' own target but lower than Wall Street had forecast.
Talbots, Higham, Mass., saw total company sales fall 5% to $130.3
million. The retailer blamed a shift in the start of its midseason sale, a
weak economy that was exacerbated by the Sept. 11 attacks, as well as
strong sales in October 2000.
In general, same-store sales at the nation's retailers were expected to
be dismal last month.
According to the RCT National Retail Traffic Index compiled by
Chicago-based consumer-research firm RCT Systems Inc., traffic at malls
had stabilized and was improving in October until Halloween week, when an
anonymous e-mail message warning people not to go to the malls on Oct. 31
began to circulate.
Adding to that was the cancellation of some Halloween events by malls
and a heightened-security alert issued by the government amid the threat
of another terrorist attack.
According to RCT, total mall traffic was down 5.3% to 676.6 million in
October, with the steepest drop coming in the final week.


Sears
Rehabs Great Indoors Plans
Ratcheting back expansion blueprint
Changes in store: Sears is paring back plans to
expand its Great Indoors concept, a chain of high-end home-decorating
superstores.
By Eddie Baeb, Crain's Chicago Business
November 5, 2001
Once touted by CEO Alan Lacy as one of Sears, Roebuck and Co.'s most
important growth engines, Great Indoors hasn't been living up to the
retailer's great expectations.
"There's a certain number of (Great Indoors) stores in affluent markets
that will be very profitable and will do extremely well," Mr. Lacy told
analysts late last month. "But if that's all the Great Indoors is, that's
not as major a growth vehicle for Sears as we would like it to be."
The numbers tell the story: At $20 million to $25 million to build and
open each location, the deluxe home-decorating superstore is proving
costly. Each store is generating revenues of $35 million to $50 million,
but sales growth at the 13-store chain is lagging. Same-store sales — a
measure of results at stores open at least a year — have been anemic all
year, and virtually flat in the third quarter.
As a result, Mr. Lacy is now paring back expansion plans for the Great
Indoors concept — a move that's in keeping with his stated goal of
pursuing fewer growth initiatives, focusing only on those with the
potential to be multibillion-dollar businesses.
The Hoffman Estates-based retailer originally had planned to open 11
more Great Indoors stores by yearend; current plans now call for nine.
Similarly, the plan to open 10 to 15 stores in 2002 has been ratcheted
back to seven.
But even if Sears opened 50 Great Indoors stores nationwide, revenues
would approach only $2.5 billion based on recent sales trends — a small
fraction of Sears' overall $41 billion in revenues.
Part of the problem for Great Indoors — at least outside of the most
affluent markets — is its emphasis on pricey, high-end merchandise,
observers say.
The store "has to appeal to the mass market," says Wayne Hood, an
industry analyst with Prudential Securities in Atlanta. "If instead of
being 200 stores, it winds up a 45-to-50-store chain, it's not going to
move the growth needle for Sears."
Slowdown in Growth
Meanwhile, the slowing economy hasn't helped.
Great Indoors, launched in 1998 — before Mr. Lacy became CEO — posted
quarterly same-store sales gains of 13% to 29% through 1999 and 2000. But
in this year's first quarter, same-store sales rose only 2% from the
year-earlier period; in the third quarter, that figure was flat.
"On Sept. 11, the sales line for the Great Indoors changed dramatically
— even at the stores that were showing very strong sales growth," Mr. Lacy
said during the analysts meeting.
Great Indoors' archrival, Home Depot Inc.'s Expo Design Center, is also
struggling, and industry sources say they expect the Atlanta-based
home-improvement giant to scale back expansion.
A company spokeswoman won't say how many Expo stores Home Depot is
planning for next year, but says the company's earlier plan to have 200
Expos operating by 2006 is "under review."
Expo has more upscale products than Great Indoors. It also devotes more
floor space to room settings, while Great Indoors puts more emphasis on
decor items, bath towels and bed linens. That's why retail experts believe
that the economic slowdown has hurt Expo as badly as, or even worse than,
Great Indoors.
"If (Great Indoors) is finding it difficult in this economy to drive
sales, Home Depot must really be feeling it at Expo," says Shelly Hale, an
analyst at Banc of America Securities in San Francisco.
Home Depot has reshuffled Expo's top management twice this year. But
the Expo spokeswoman insists that the 40-store chain is faring well,
although the company does not provide specific sales data.
She does say that Expo this year has begun offering
lower-priced items, such as cabinet pulls that start at $1.99 rather than
$7.
"We want to have a broader reach," she says. "We're
starting to tell the value story better, by using both in-store
presentation, merchandising and various marketing vehicles."
Risk of tinkering
Sears also plans to tweak Great Indoors'
merchandise assortments to make the stores more appealing to middle-income
shoppers. And it's looking to reduce opening costs and operating expenses.
Great Indoors President Bob Rodgers was not available for an interview
last week.
Retail experts expect Great Indoors to display
lower-priced items more prominently, drop some high-end items and stack
discounted merchandise to try to emphasize value pricing.
But tinkering with the merchandise mix and
presentation can be risky.
It could wind up cheapening the store — blurring the
distinction between Great Indoors' deluxe product assortment and
merchandise at lower-end competitors like Bed Bath & Beyond and Target.
Another downside: loss of the "wow" factor supplied by Great Indoors'
snazzy kitchen and bathroom settings.
"It's very hard, because this is an upscale concept.
If you put in $1.99 Rubbermaid products, you lose that," says Walter Loeb,
president of New York-based retail consultancy Loeb Associates Inc. Great
Indoors, he says, "has got to stay away from the discount image."


Sears
Resolves Its Identity Crisis
By James Covert
- Dow Jones Newswires
November 2, 2001
After a year of navel gazing, Sears Roebuck & Co.last week said it has
finally resolved its identity crisis.
"We're not a discounter - we don't want to be," Chairman and Chief
Executive Alan J. Lacy told analysts at a meeting in Chicago. "We also
don't want to be a department store. We want to be Sears."
Did Sears actually consider becoming a discount retailer? Lacy didn't
elaborate, and he also played down his admission earlier in the year that
he had considered leaving the apparel business altogether. But the depth
of the CEO's soul searching since he took over last year shows just how
uncomfortable the fourth-largest retailer in the U.S. has become over the
past decade.
Like its fellow department stores in shopping malls across the country,
Sears has faced increased competition from big discounters like Wal-Mart
Stores Inc. (WMT). In addition to pricing pressure, Sears'
middle-of-the-road department store model of the 1990s saw newcomers
taking its market share with better merchandise selections and more
convenient locations. Sears' consumer-electronics sales were assaulted by
Best Buy Co. (BBY), while its tools and hardware division came under
attack from the likes of Home Depot Inc. (HD).
Of course, Sears' uninspired apparel business has been up for grabs for
years, and there was a good deal of anticipation last week for its
turnaround plans there. But like much else with its restructuring, Sears'
apparel initiative wasn't so much revolutionary as it was modest,
reasonable, and bound to improve on current
operations, observers said.
"This is not an exciting strategy that's going to turn a lot of people
on and get people excited about Sears," said Sid Doolittle of
McMillan/Doolittle, a Chicago-based retail consultant. "But that doesn't
mean it's not the right strategy."
Indeed, the bulk of Sears' turnaround goals involve aggressive
cost-cutting and streamlined operations at both the store and corporate
level that executives say will increase accountability. While some worry
that the streamlining will be difficult to execute consistently throughout
Sears' fleet of 860 full-line stores, most analysts are hopeful that it's
realistic and achievable.
The company has set a goal to boost its operating income by 50%, or $1
billion, by 2004. About two-thirds of that improvement will come through
cost reductions that will include 4,900 layoffs, or 22% of its salaried
work force, by 2003.
Taking A Page From Kohl's?
The other third of the profit boost, however, may be a little trickier
to achieve. Sears' credit business has been managed well, and with the
recent introduction of the Sears MasterCard, it's poised to deliver more
than half of the company's revenue next year.
But the focus of Sears' new sales growth initiative relies on
rehabilitating its full-line stores. Since last week's meeting, many
analysts have likened Sears' new vision to the discount department stores
operated by Kohl's Corp. (KSS).
Like Kohl's, Sears will centralize its checkout counters at store
entrances. Store signs, as well as merchandise categories and displays,
will become more uniform, fewer and simpler. So will the sales events that
they advertise. Sales associates will be pulled from some areas of the
floor altogether so they can provide better, more expert service in
others.
But if Sears' stores have plenty of room to improve their shoppability,
for many customers they'll still be less convenient than the likes of
Kohl's, Best Buy, and Home Depot, whose stores are often located on the
way to Sears, said Daniel Barry, an analyst at Merrill Lynch & Co. in New
York.
"They're trying to put a convenience-type store in the mall," Barry
said. "But it's going to be difficult to do that because they're in the
mall."
In another move towards a Kohl's-like model, Sears will reduce its
clutter of private-label apparel brands by half, and forsake professional
clothing in order to focus on casual wear.
A simpler apparel offering will make it easier to highlight some of the
name brands it offers, which include Nike Inc. (NKE) and Levi's jeans. But
the main thrust of the new apparel strategy will be the introduction of a
single, private-label "megabrand" that offers casual clothing for men,
women and children.
Most of the editing of its clothing assortments will be complete by
fall of next year, and the new private brand will be introduced about a
year later, the company said.
Sears, however, didn't have much else to say about apparel, which makes
up about 20% of its business, and is crucial to maintaining gross margins
and earnings power. That has some analysts worried.
"This will be easier said than done, particularly as it will not
benefit from a world-class chief merchant," said Bill Dreher, an analyst
at Robertson Stephens Inc. in New York. "It appears there is no outside
merchant who is available or ideally suited to the job, and who is that
far superior to the current team."
Eric Miller, a retail analyst for Strong Capital Management's Strong
Opportunity Fund, which recently added 1.6 million shares of Sears to its
portfolio, admits the apparel strategy does pose some risk.
"I don't know what appeal the megabrand will have," Miller said. "I
haven't seen it. No one's seen it."
Still, the prospects for the rest of the store are quite good, Miller
said. Sears is simplifying its offerings across its merchandise
categories, and will stop selling items including ceiling fans, faucets,
bicycles and swimming-pool supplies.
In its consumer electronics department, Sears is scaling back its
assortment of VCRs, but increasing its offerings in hot, new digital video
products. Sears will surrender the battle over smaller, personal
electronic devices to the big discounters.
Sales of large appliances, from washers and dryers to refrigerators,
have held their ground against the competition. With its powerful Kenmore
brand, Sears retains a massive 40% share of the market.
Sears plans to further improve the quality and timeliness of its
maintenance and deliveries of appliances. That will protect its market
share from recent incursions by home-improvement retailers, which don't
have the ability to provide similar levels of service, Miller said.
Sears' tool sales, driven by its Craftsman brand, have retained a 33%
market share in the face of competition, and Sears looks to protect that
with the introduction of in-store "tool experts."
Miller also likes the fact that Sears has scaled back growth plans for
its Great Outdoors home decor chain, whose upscale offerings have suffered
during the economic downturn. He hopes company will be able to use the
expertise it's gained with Great Outdoors to improve the home decor
sections of its full-line stores.
Stock Is Cheap, But Skeptics Remain
NYSE-listed shares of Sears have responded well to CEO Lacy's arrival,
having closed at their 52-week low of $28.05 on Nov. 10 last year, just as
he was taking the helm from predecessor Arthur Martinez. On Thursday, the
shares closed at $40.25, compared with a 52-week high of $47 reached on
July 26, when investors still held out hopes for a Christmas recovery.
At nine times consensus earnings estimates for 2002, Sears shares are
indeed inexpensive, said Robertson Stephens' Dreher. Still, he's
maintaining his market perform rating on the shares.
"Although there may be early money moving in as the stock is cheap, we
have little evidence to build a case that Sears deserves to return to the
upper boundaries of its historical trading range," said Dreher, who is
waiting to see results from the turnaround effort.
Strong's Miller, in turn, said he worries Wall Street won't give Sears
the credit it deserves for its massive cost-cutting program.
"My fear is that the Street is consumed with the top line, and that
they'll look for it sooner rather than later," Miller said. "Right now,
they've got a great opportunity to enhance the margins."
As for more philosophical questions about Sears' identity, however,
Miller admits he doesn't have any definite answers.
"Is Sears going to be around in 20 years? I invest for a lot shorter
time than that," Miller said.

Sears Tower Observation Deck
Reopens;
Ex. Pres Bush There
October 29, 2001
- Dow Jones Newswires
Visitors can again take in the view from the observation deck
atop the tallest building in the U.S., the Sears Tower in Chicago, which
reopened Monday.
Visitors will have to pass through metal detectors and
have their bags checked by X-ray machines before boarding elevators to the
103rd floor of the tower.
Former President George Bush helped Mayor Richard Daley
and others reopen the tower's Skydeck Monday. The observation deck had been
closed since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.
Former President Bush said the 110-story tower is a symbol of
strength and vitality in the U.S. midsection.
Reopening the Skydeck sends a message to terrorists that
they have failed to intimidate the U.S., Bush said.
The Cable News Network quoted the former president as
telling reporters that his son, President George W. Bush, is doing well and
is in good spirits and that the international coalition put together to
fight terrorism is holding.


Sears
Updates its Operations
-
Changes Aim to Streamline,
Redefine Retailer's
Image
USA Today - Oct 29, 2001 -
Sears is embarking on an 18-month initiative to transform itself from a
department store into a more contemporary retailer. The ''new'' Sears will
eliminate such department store traditions as shoe salesclerks. Shoes will
be displayed on racks. And customers will pay for purchases at centralized
checkouts, not at registers within specific departments.
Last year, Sears generated $1.3 billion profit on revenue of $40
billion. But it wants to double profit by 2004. It will trim 4,900 workers
nationwide and streamline purchasing to save money. CEO Alan Lacy talked
about the state of Sears in an interview with USA TODAY.
Q: You had a 7-year career with Sears before becoming CEO last year.
What's the biggest change you've seen in retailing in that time?
A: The continued growth of off-mall retailing choices (Wal-Mart,
Target, etc.) for consumers has been the biggest shift.
Q: After a year of evaluation, what have you decided are the best
and worst aspects of the Sears brand?
A: Sears is a unique franchise. In some ways our greatest asset
is being able to serve customers from a number of dimensions --
merchandise, service and credit. No one else has our mix of goods. That's
the greatest aspect of the brand. (But) because we do so many things, it's
hard to clearly position the enterprise. We're not a store for home
improvement, electronics or apparel. We're a broad-line merchant for
better goods.
Q: You must have spent time checking out the competition. What were
the critical elements you evaluated in developing the blueprint for a new
Sears?
A: We have 36 million customers every day in our full-line
stores. That's a substantial customer base. And we paid attention to what
they said about us and the competition. We talked about changes in
merchandising strategies and changes in the in-store experience. The whole
time we've had stores, we've been a department store. But we need to
change to be more competitive with not just Kohl's and Wal-Mart, but Best
Buy and Circuit City.
Q: How do you take the Sears heritage and make it more relevant for
shoppers today?
A: Our sales force has tremendous knowledge of how to guide
people to the best and bigger ticket purchase transaction that suits their
need. It's true in fine jewelry and appliances. We feel we have a strong
asset in our consultative selling for important purchase decisions. But
beyond that, our customers want to come in and find the product quickly,
transact quickly and get out. That's where we're disappointing them.
Providing a department store level of service is not something our
customers . . . expect from us. They expect it from Nieman-Marcus, but not
from us. They know what they are coming for and want to get it and get
out.
Q: Apparel is a big challenge for Sears and other retailers. You
considered abandoning apparel earlier in the year but now say the company
will back it even more aggressively. How are you going to do that?
A: The national brand assortment we offer in the store is much
better than what customers give us credit for. So we are putting more
advertising and marketing support behind those brands. We sell the top six
brands of appliances. We also have strong brands in apparel. We have
Dockers and Nike and are attracting more national brands. But we haven't
been putting enough marketing support behind them. There are more national
brands we need to get.
Q: You also said you are looking at the development of a ''mega''
brand for apparel that can be as strong as Craftsman and Kenmore. Can you
really pull that off?
A: We tried to do very focused lifestyle brands for certain
categories. None has critical mass appeal. If Sears is known for having
better casual apparel and we can (appeal to) men, women and kids, we can
provide enough critical mass and marketing support to make it stand for
something.
Q: When will people really see a difference in the style and price
of apparel offerings?
A: Most changes will come in the second half of the year.
Q: What will they see?
A: In a typical store now there is a three-tier price structure
of good, better and best. We will still have products in those categories
but more floor space will be devoted to better products. It's not so much
that we'll be raising prices. We'll be very competitive. But we'll offer
customers a better in-store experience. Merchandise will be presented with
clarity. And people will have a better appreciation of national brands.


Sears
Returns Focus to
Core Franchise
By Susan Chandler -
Chicago Tribune
October 25, 2001
Alan Lacy laid out a conservative game plan Wednesday for Sears,
Roebuck and Co. focused more on cutting costs than growing revenue.
Sears expects 2002 revenue to be flat, a result of both the slow
economy and Sears' selective exit of merchandise lines, Sears' new chief
executive told Wall Street analysts gathered in downtown Chicago to hear
his strategy message.
Lacy declined to offer an estimate of next year's profit, saying, "None
of us know how much worse it will get."
But Lacy also made a bold promise: Sears will boost its operating
income by more than $1 billion, or about 50 percent, within three years.
The improvement will come about through a combination of administrative
cost reductions and fatter profit margins in its apparel, credit and other
businesses.
"We're focused on the right things. We have a tangible game plan," Lacy
said. "We'll be more competitive with off-mall competition and more
differentiated from mall competition. But it will take a couple of years
of very hard work to get to this."
Lacy's message clearly put the focus back on Sears' core franchise--its
national chain of 860 department stores--rather than on its off-mall
chains such as National Tire & Battery and Sears Hardware. As part of that
effort, Sears is centralizing some checkout stations to help customers get
out faster and moving to a self-service format in some departments,
including children's and athletic shoes.
Overall, Sears will be less like a department store, Lacy said, but
that doesn't mean it will become more like a discounter. "We're going to
be Sears," he said.
Lacy also announced Sears was pulling back on the rollout schedule for
the Great Indoors, a home remodeling chain that has proved popular with
upscale customers who normally don't shop at Sears.
Sears had been planning to open as many as 15 Great Indoors next year,
entering new markets in San Francisco, New Jersey and Washington, D.C.
That number has been reduced to seven, including two that were originally
scheduled for this year.
The Great Indoors stores are too costly to build, Lacy said, and Sears
hasn't figured out how to build them for less without "losing the `wow'
factor."
Plans draw praise
Analysts mostly reacted positively to Lacy's message despite its lack
of bells and whistles. "It's one of the most detailed strategies of change
I've heard in years," said Daniel Barry, retail analyst with Merrill
Lynch. "He is touching every area of the business."
By making the company less bureaucratic and more efficient, Lacy will
be moving Sears toward the best practices of its most aggressive
competitors such as Kohl's Corp. and Target Corp., Barry said. "You wonder
why they didn't do it sooner."
Rick Church, Salomon Smith Barney's retail analyst, also liked the
comprehensiveness of what he heard, but he said investors have adopted a
"show-me attitude" after a decade of cost-cutting messages from Sears.
"It's a little unsettling to hear how their headcount has risen given
the write-offs they've taken in past years," Church added.
As previously reported, Sears will lay off 4,900 workers, or more than
20 percent of its salaried workforce, during the next 18 months. The
downsizing, which includes removing layers from Sears' extensive field
organization, is expected to yield $275 million in savings by mid-2003.
Quarterly profit falls
Sears also reported lower third-quarter profit Wednesday, but Lacy said
he was pleased with the operating income growth in the retail and credit
business in the wake of economic turmoil.
Still, those improvements were more than offset by profit declines at
Sears Canada and higher corporate expenses, which were partially related
to consultants who advised Sears on its headquarters restructuring.
Sears' net income declined 6 percent, to $262 million, or 80 cents per
diluted share, from $278 million, or 81 cents per diluted share, in the
same period last year. Revenue increased 1.7 percent, to $9.75 billion.
Funding costs for its lucrative credit card business declined by $39
million as interest rates fell, but Sears had to increase its bad-debt
provision by an equal amount. Its charge-off rate for uncollectible
accounts increased to 5.6 percent from 5.0 percent last year because of
higher customer bankruptcy filings this year.
For the first nine months, Sears' net income plunged 73 percent, to
$241 million, or 73 cents per diluted share, from $901 million, or $2.57
per diluted share, last year. Revenue rose 1 percent, to $28.84 billion.
Sears shares rose 52 cents, to $38.31, Wednesday on the New York Stock
Exchange.


Sears
Revamp
By Sandra
Guy - Chicago Sun-Times
October 25, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. announced Wednesday it will remake its
department stores, rely on its traditional strengths in work tools and
appliances and cut 4,900 salaried jobs, or 22 percent of its salaried work
force, to better compete with rivals on all sides.
Sears' revamp is aimed at boosting operating income by 50 percent to
more than $3 billion, doubling profits from retail and related services
operations by 2004 and achieving annual savings of $600 million by the
same year.
"We've been a department store. We don't want to do that anymore," said
Sears CEO Alan Lacy, who unveiled his new strategy during a five-hour
presentation Wednesday to financial analysts gathered in a chandeliered
ballroom at the Ritz-Carlton.
But Sears doesn't want to be a full-scale discounter, either.
"We want to be Sears," said Lacy, who has been at the helm of the
nation's fourth-largest retailer for a year. "We can carve out a unique
position--we're not a discounter and not a department store."
The changes will include a less-cluttered look, central checkout areas
and more self-service displays, advantages that discounters such as Kohl's
and Target use to speed purchases and hold down costs. The revamp also
includes fewer price promotions and behind-the-scenes overhauls of its
store management structure and supply-chain processes.
Sears will remove sales help from departments such as children's and
athletic shoes, and devote trained salespeople and more space to a broader
assortment of its top-selling items such as appliances, work tools, dress
shoes, home fashions, digital electronics, fine jewelry, and exercise and
parlor-game equipment.
The number of apparel labels will be cut dramatically. However, more
national brands will be added and an as-yet-unnamed private-label
"mega-brand" that will apply to men's, women's and children's apparel will
be introduced so that Sears can more easily market its clothing offerings.
The goal is to get the more affluent customer who already buys Sears
tools and appliances to feel compelled to find value in the apparel
aisles.
The store redesigns will start after the holidays in 50 of Sears' 610
mid- and large-size department stores. Those 610 generate 75 percent of
the retailer's $41 billion in yearly revenues.
Another 160 stores are slated to be remodeled in 2003, followed by 160
in 2004, 160 in 2005 and 50 in 2006.
Another 210 smaller department stores will not be revamped initially,
although they will eventually feature the same streamlined offering of
clothes, jewelry and footwear and bulked-up assortment of tools,
electronics and appliances as the bigger stores.
Lacy hinted that a few of the smaller stores will be closed, but he
said there will be no massive shutdown.
He made no secret that Sears' strengths are hardlines, such as auto,
appliances and work tools, and the credit-card business, which is being
expanded with a Gold MasterCard aimed at more affluent shoppers. Sears
aims to have 19 million Gold MasterCard accounts by year-end, and another
5 million next year.
Even the traditional Sears card will get extra attention next year when
its use will be expanded on a test basis to hotels, gas stations, airlines
and restaurants. Sears officials declined to name the partner companies.
Sears auto shops are implementing quick oil changes, a one-hour tire
installation guarantee and a 30-minute-or-less battery replacement
program.
Sears, which ranks No. 3 behind Best Buy and Circuit City in appliance
offerings, also will focus more on high-end digital electronics, such as
digital TVs and home theaters.
And the expanded Tool Territory section, which includes the No. 1
Craftsman brand, will be prominently featured in all the larger full-line
stores.
The in-store changes are intended for easier shopping. Sears will use
just 11 kinds of fixtures for displaying merchandise, down from 132 today,
and limit store signs to four different kinds with standardized colors,
fonts and placements.
Sears stock closed Wednesday at $38.31 on the New York Stock Exchange,
up 52 cents. The company Wednesday also reported third-quarter earnings
that slightly beat expectations.
Lacy refused to say how much Sears has spent on outside consultants who
helped with the in-store, management, merchandising and supply-chain
restructurings.
The work force streamlining means that store managers who now have 10
to 17 people reporting to them will have five assistant managers, each
responsible for a specific part of the store. A new field staff, cut from
590 to 390 people, will spend most of its time inside Sears stores, rather
than on the road.
Salaried employees will be given 60-day notices and one week's
severance pay for each year of service, plus outplacement services.
Meanwhile, a new incentive plan that starts Jan. 1 and continues
through 2004 will take effect for Sears' senior management. The incentives
will be tied more closely to such difficult financial goals as achieving
store revenue growth that exceeds the broad line index in 2004--a feat
that Sears has not accomplished since 1996.
Along with the store revamping is a new merchandising strategy that
will emphasize the Sears brand, introduce Sears commercials at movie
theaters, make targeted appeals to African-American and Latino shoppers
and boast of energy-efficient home appliances, where Sears holds a 40
percent U.S. market share.
Sears had already started chopping unprofitable or non-core services,
including 73 home-improvement licensees, six catalogs and 15 clubs and
services, and testing new formats, such as smaller-size Home Appliance and
Electronics stores.
Under Lacy, Sears this year already closed 89 unprofitable stores,
stopped selling cosmetics, sold its pest control business and ended some
underperforming product lines, such as bicycles and basketball gear.
Quarterly earnings narrowly exceeded expectations despite the decline
in shopping after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.
Net earnings were $262 million, or 80 cents a share, down from $278
million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier. That was a penny better than
the consensus per-share estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson
Financial/First Call.
Revenues gained 1.7 percent to $9.75 billion from $9.59 billion. But
retail revenues slipped 1.8 percent to $7.33 billion.
Margaret V. Tomaszek, a vice president at Mizuho Financial Group's
Chicago branch, said she is concerned that Sears may confuse its
customers.
"It will come down to execution," she said.
Further, Tomaszek said she is concerned that customers, faced with a
war, an anthrax scare and massive layoffs, will not rush out to buy
appliances and therefore will not shop Sears' revamped apparel lines.

Sears to Cut Frills
Along with 4,900 Jobs
By S.A. Mawhorr -
Chicago Daily Herald - October 25, 2001
Sears is looking to simplify everything from merchandise displays to
the chain of command to its mixed message to consumers.
The changes announced in Chicago Wednesday were eagerly anticipated as
analysts watch to see if Alan Lacy, who took over as chief executive a
year ago, can reverse the company's 15-year-old slide from its position as
the nation's No. 1 retailer.
Lacy said Wednesday he has spent the past year examining the retail
chain's strengths and weaknesses and came up with the plan with the help
of top executives.
That plan includes cutting 4,900 salaried positions as part of its plan
to streamline operations, refashion retail stores and boost profits.
About 1,300 of those jobs will come from the Hoffman Estates
headquarters while the rest will be positions in stores and field offices.
The cuts represent 22 percent of the retailer's salaried workforce and
about 2 percent of the total pool of employees.
Sears executives stressed that the job cuts are related to the
company's efforts to restructure and are not simply an attempt to boost
the bottom line.
"It's not that we're expecting people to work harder," said Chief
Financial Officer Paul Liska. "We're streamlining processes so there is
less work."
Several analysts praised the changes, but it's unclear if they'll be
enough to reverse the chain's long-time loss of market share to
discounters, who have lower overhead costs, and specialty stores.
Company officials said the restructuring plan should double the
115-year-old company's profits for its retail and service segments and
save $600 million annually by 2004.
Acknowledging a top heavy management structure that got too many people
involved in decision making, Sears announced a sleeker structure that
would make greater use of hourly workers in the stores and cut out
redundancies and overstaffing in the home office.
Sears is simplifying strategy, too.
Lacy said he's abandoning the strategy followed in the 1990s that had
the retailer replicating the wide array of goods and personal service
typical of the upper echelon department stores that are Sears' neighbors
in malls while at the same time trying to compete with the lower prices of
big box discounters.
That strategy has left Sears with profit margins that are too low and
operating costs that are too high, Lacy said.
Now Sears is being squeezed by rivals that are doing a better job at
discounting and a better job at delivering style and service.
So where does that leave Sears?
Perhaps where it's always been, right in the middle between discounters
and department stores.
The retail chain will focus on its traditional strengths in appliances
and tools, where it still dominates the market, as well as its ability to
deliver and service big ticket items and help customers buy those items by
extending credit.
And although Lacy closed down cosmetics counters, he also admitted he's
not willing to abandon the "softer side" entirely after toying with the
idea of eliminating apparel from the stores last spring.
Instead, Sears will improve the quality of clothes offered while
consolidating several in-store brands into one unnamed "mega-brand." Lacy
said the focus will be on classic clothes that aren't cheap but aren't too
trendy or too pricey either.
Sears is making shopping simpler as well.
In response to criticism of cluttered display floors with scattered
cashier stations that often go unmanned, Sears is redesigning display
floors following a pattern much like Kohl's, which has been praised by
shoppers because it's easy to locate merchandise and maneuver around the
floor.
Merchandise will be laid out in a stair-step fashion, with low tables
near the aisle and two rows of racks and shelves leading up the back wall
where merchandise will be displayed so that customers can spot what they
want from across the store, said President of Stores Mary Conway.
Checkout counters will be located in center aisles or near exits, she
said. Signs will clearly mark zones for various merchandise. Display racks
will be smaller, less noticeable and more uniform. Walkways will be wider
and more clearly defined.
The simplified layout will make it easier for shoppers to find what
they are looking for without asking a clerk for help, Conway said.
But Sears will not abandon entirely the department store model of
personal service. Knowledgeable sales people will be on hand in
appliances, consumer electronics and tools, areas where customers
typically are looking for advice and help.
Executives are hoping a new ad campaign will show shoppers how Sears
fits in between discounters and department stores. The campaign's tag line
"Sears .... Where else?" is meant to remind shoppers that Sears is the one
place they can find Nike athletic shoes and Krups coffee makers, as well
as Levi jeans, Diehard car batteries and Kenmore washers and dryers.
Will Ander, an analyst with the Chicago-based retail consulting firm of
McMillan/Doolittle, praised Sears for returning to its general retailing
roots and playing up its strengths.
But he wonders whether the 115-year-old Sears brand will be relevant to
the next generation of shoppers when they begin buying houses and start
having babies and need brands they can trust at a price they can afford.
"What they're doing is a good fix for the next three to five years but
what about 10 years from now?" Ander said. "How are they going to make
sure the Sears brand is relevant?"
Lacey's moves follow remakes initiated by his two predecessors, Edward
Brennan, who emphasized low prices and cut 33,000 jobs, and Arthur
Martinez, who emphasized apparel and cosmetics, and cut 50,000 jobs.
Those earlier remakes helped for a time, but Sears couldn't keep pace
with fast-growing chains like Wal-Mart, Kohl's, Home Depot and Old Navy.
The company also said third-quarter net income fell 5.8 percent to $262
million, or 80 cents a share, from $278 million, or 81 cents, a year ago.
Per-share earnings met the forecast Sears issued Oct. 11.
Total sales rose 1.7 percent to $9.75 billion from $9.59 billion as
increased revenue from the company's credit division exceeded a decline in
department-store sales.


Sears Strategy
By Eddie Baeb - Crain's
Chicago Business
October 24, 2001
CEO Alan Lacy outlines two-tier store model, but insists: 'We want to
be Sears' Alan Lacy wants to split the Big Store in two.
The Sears, Roebuck and Co. CEO and his top managers told Wall Street
analysts Wednesday that Sears will convert its full-line stores into
stores that are half-discounter (featuring self-service sections), and
half-specialty store, where salespeople roam the floor to help with
purchases for items such as big screen TVs and kitchen appliances.
Mr. Lacy's strategy calls for slashing the number of vendors and brands
carried at Sears store, as well as discarding the fancy merchandise racks
that Sears installed several years ago when it was trying to emulate
department stores.
"We don't want to be a discount store. We don't want to be a department
store," says Mr. Lacy, who took over as CEO one year ago. "The short
answer is we want to be Sears."
While analysts were impressed with the scope of Mr. Lacy's game-plan,
concerns remain that a new-look, two-tiered Sears won't be enough to
reclaim customers who have flocked to discounters like Wal-Mart and Kohl's
and specialty stores like Best Buy and Home Depot.
"I'm confident they'll achieve the cost cutting they're talking about,"
says Daniel Barry, Merrill Lynch retail analyst. "But it's still a
question of store revenue growth."
Mr. Lacy conceded that Sears' 861 full-line stores won't show much, if
any, sales growth next year. But he's betting that a stronger Sears
branding campaign, improved and more consistent store operations and a
better defined selling proposition in each of Sears' business will lead to
sales gains over time.
In the short term, Mr. Lacy is focused on slashing costs and
bureaucracy from the way Sears runs its stores. Sears plans to increase
its operating income by 50% to $3 billion by 2004, and double its retail
profits.
Over the next 18 months, Sears will lay of 4,900 people — from
headquarters staff to assistant store managers — as the company
reorganizes to get its cost structure more in-line with its low-cost
competitors.
"We will be changing almost every process in our stores," says Mary
Conway, president of retail stores.
Sears also announced its third-quarter results Wednesday. The company
earned $262 million, or 80 cents per share, for the quarter on revenues of
$9.75 billion. In the year-ago period, Sears earned $261 million, or 76
cents per share, on revenues of $9.85 billion.
In retail and related services, Sears' sales for the quarter were $7.33
billion, down nearly 2% from $7.47 in the third quarter last year. But it
earned $82 million on retail from the quarter, compared with $69
million last year.
Mr. Lacy, in a written statement, commented: "Our strong retail
earnings growth reflects our heightened focus on
bottom-line results. By tightly controlling margins, inventories and
expenses, we more than offset lower retail revenues."


Sears Targets
Costs, Profit
Margins
By Susan
Chandler -
Chicago Tribune
October 24, 2001
Alan Lacy laid out a conservative game plan today for
Sears, Roebuck and Co., focused more on cutting costs than growing
revenue.
But the new Sears chief executive also made a bold
promise: Sears will boost its operating income by more than $1 billion, or
about 50 percent, within three years.
The improvement will come about through a combination of
administrative cost reductions and fatter profit margins in its apparel,
credit and other businesses.
"We’re focused on the right things. We have a tangible
game plan," Lacy said. We’ll be more competitive with off-mall competition
and more differentiated from mall competition. But it will take a couple,
three years of very hard work to get to this."
Overall, Sears will be less like a department store,
Lacy said, but that doesn’t mean it will become more like a discounter.
"We’re going to be Sears," he said.
Sears expects 2002 revenue to be flat, Lacy told Wall
Street analysts gathered in downtown Chicago. He blamed the slow economy
and Sears’ selective exit of merchandise lines.
Lacy declined to offer an estimate of next year’s
profit, saying, "None of us know how much worse it will get."
Sears is centralizing some checkout stations to help
customers get out faster and moving to a self-service format in some
departments, including children’s and athletic shoes.
Lacy's message clearly put the focus back on Sears’ core
franchise, its national chain of 860 department stores, rather than on
off-mall chains such as National Tire & Battery and Sears Hardware.
Sears also is pulling back on the rollout schedule for
the Great Indoors, a home remodeling chain, which has proved popular with
upscale customers who normally don’t shop at Sears.
As many as 15 Great Indoors stores had been scheduled to
open next year, entering new markets in San Francisco, New Jersey and
Washington, D.C. That number has been cut to seven, two of them originally
scheduled for this year.
The Great Indoors stores are currently too costly to
build, Lacy said, and Sears hasn’t figured out how to build them for less
without "losing the 'wow' factor."
Analysts reacted mostly positively to Lacy’s message
despite its lack of bells and whistles.
"It’s one of the most detailed strategies of change I’ve
heard in years," said Daniel Barry, retail analyst with Merrill Lynch. "He
is touching every area of the business."
By making the company less bureaucratic and more
efficient, Lacy will be moving Sears toward the "best practices" of its
most aggressive competitors such as Kohl’s Corp. and Target Corp., Barry
said. "You wonder why they didn’t do it sooner."
Rick Church, Salomon Smith Barney’s retail analyst, also
liked the comprehensiveness of what he heard, but he said investors have
adopted a "show-me attitude" after a decade of cost-cutting messages from
Sears.
"It’s a little unsettling to hear how their head count
has risen given the write-offs they’ve taken in past years," Church added.
As previously reported, Sears will lay off 4,900
workers, or more than 20 percent of its salaried workforce, during the
next 18 months.
The downsizing, which includes removing layers from
Sears’ extensive field organization, is expected to yield $275 million in
savings by mid-2003.
Sears reported a lower third-quarter profit today, but
Lacy said he was pleased with operating-income growth for Sears' retail
and credit business despite economic turmoil.
Still, those improvements were more than offset by
profit declines at Sears Canada and higher corporate expenses, partially
related to consultants who advised Sears on its headquarters
restructuring.
Sears’ net income declined 6 percent to $262 million, or
80 cents per diluted share, from $278 million, or 81 cents per diluted
share, in the same period last year. Revenue increased 1.7 percent to
$9.75 billion.
Funding costs for its lucrative credit-card business
declined by $39 million as interest rates fell, but Sears had to increase
its bad-debt provision by an equal amount. Its charge-off rate for
uncollectible accounts increased to 5.6 percent from 5.0 percent last year
because of higher customer bankruptcy filings this year.
For the first nine months, Sears’ net income plunged 73
percent to $241 million, or 73 cents per diluted share, from $901 million,
or $2.57 perdiluted share, last year. Revenue rose 1 percent to $28.84
billion. Sears shares rose 52 cents to close at $38.31 today on the New
York Stock Exchange.


Sears
to Erase 4,900 jobs
Headquarters, Field Reductions
By Susan Chandler
- Tribune staff reporter
October 24, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. will slash 4,900 salaried jobs
over the next 18 months in an effort to bring its costs in line with
slowing revenue.
Some 1,300 positions will be eliminated at Sears'
sprawling Hoffman Estates headquarters by the end of 2002, according to an
internal memo from Sears Chief Executive Alan Lacy dated Tuesday. That
represents 19 percent of the company's 7,000 headquarters employees.
Another 3,600 positions, or 24 percent, will be cut from
Sears' field organization for its full-line department stores over the
next 18 months, according to the memo. The field organization, which
employs 15,000, consists of district and regional offices around the
country that report to Hoffman Estates about what is going on in Sears'
860 department stores.
The job cuts--the biggest in eight years for Sears--will
be welcome news to a group of Wall Street analysts assembled here
Wednesday to hear Lacy discuss his strategy and cost-reduction efforts as
well as the retailer's third-quarter results.
But Sears' workforce is likely to be unsettled by the
cuts as well as by the timetable, which will draw out the process into
2003, Lacy acknowledged in the memo.
"This period will test our ability to stay focused on
accomplishing our business objectives and stay aligned as a
high-performance team," Lacy wrote. "Our future depends on our commitment
to listen to our customers and make the operational improvements required
to better serve them and as a result to drive profitable growth."
Laid-off employees will receive severance packages as
well as outplacement services, according to Sears spokesman Ron Culp.
Sears is smart to reduce the layers in its bureaucratic
field organization, said Sid Doolittle, retail consultant with Chicago's
McMillan/Doolittle.
"The field organization is the fattest part. That's
where they have the most opportunity for consolidation. A district can go
from having 24 stores to having 100. That makes sense," he said.
Sears is not alone in having an extensive administrative
network around the country to govern its far-flung stores. J.C. Penney Co.
and other national retailers do, too, Doolittle said. But Wal-Mart Stores
Inc., the nation's largest merchant, is proof that it doesn't have to be
that way.
Wal-Mart has no domestic field organization. Managers
who supervise stores travel constantly and report directly to Wal-Mart's
Bentonville, Ark.-based headquarters, Doolittle said.
Although the cuts may help Sears be more efficient in
the long run, they will create strain in the short run, he said, as the
remaining people try to do the work of those who have left. "They're going
to have eliminate some work. That will be the big question. What are you
going to do about the work?"
The Sears organization has spent the last 2 1/2 months
trying to figure that out. When Lacy announced in late July that he was
looking to trim some fat at headquarters, he directed managers to review
their departments for "work that is redundant or adds little value."
In his memo Tuesday, Lacy reiterated that the aim of the
"home office productivity initiative" is to lower expenses and headcount
by eliminating "activities that are redundant or no longer required."


Lacy's
Reprieve and Reserve
Can't Last
Long
By David Greising - Chicago Tribune
October 24, 2001
The new chief executive had been in office a year. The
company was in desperate need of a turnaround, and the analysts feared the
turn was not coming quickly enough.
Analysts had clamored for a strategic plan, and he had
barely begun to deliver. They wanted some financial targets, and he
wouldn't produce. "We're draining a swamp, and we're not focused on the
picnic grounds across the way," the chief executive said. "I don't know
what our operating margins are going to be."
This was a recipe for disaster, right? Uncertainty and
vagueness in the face of a crisis.
Well, not exactly. The words come from Lou Gerstner, the
executive who saved IBM. Gerstner wouldn't deliver specific financial
forecasts at the end of his first year, in March 1994. But Gerstner did
produce the broad strokes of a strategic plan and the big cultural changes
that saved IBM.
Now it's Alan Lacy's turn. Lacy's
challenge at Sears, Roebuck and Co. hasn't won the careful following that
Gerstner's arrival at IBM did nearly a decade ago. Big Blue had collapsed
far more abruptly, and Gerstner already was a celebrity CEO when he
tackled IBM.
Still, Lacy's job at Sears is as monumental as
Gerstner's task at IBM was: Save an American icon. Deliver clarity,
direction and a new urgency to a company that has gotten badly lost.
Can Lacy do it? Maybe eventually. For now, it seems, the
future will have to wait.
Sears spent much of the summer raising expectations for
Lacy's October presentation to analysts. But in the last few weeks--even
before the Sept. 11 attacks--the company aggressively backed off. Anyone
still expecting a major strategy announcement from Lacy on Wednesday is
headed for the biggest October disappointment since the Great Pumpkin
stood up Linus.
Big vision statements are not Lacy's style. He's an
incrementalist, not a grand strategist. Don't expect a major shift from
Sears.
This will be frustrating for all concerned, just as
Gerstner's initial reticence was at first unsatisfying. How much easier it
would be if Lacy could deliver a bold, dramatic change that would
transform Sears into a retailing winner.
That won't happen. And luckily for Lacy, this is a time
when incremental change may just do.
In the aftermath of the Sept. 11 attacks, we're living
through dramatic disruptions in the economy and consumer behavior. People
are consumed with finding their next hit of anthrax-fighting Cipro. We
want to hear the latest news from Afghanistan. We've become addicted to
Donald Rumsfeld news conferences.
In the face of such distractions, a big Sears rebranding
strategy couldn't compete. Even if Lacy had one, he could never get
customers to pay attention. Any big strategic shift right now would be met
with gross indifference and likely failure.
Instead of grand strategy, Lacy seems focused on the
basics. He's controlling expenses, laying off headquarters employees,
reducing hierarchy at the company, and trying to build margins.
This isn't grand stuff. But if he does it right--and
does it aggressively enough--he could position Sears for the time when a
broader shift has a chance to work.
Lacy shouldn't delude himself, though. Sears still badly
needs fixing. Kohl's and Target are just as fierce as they were before
September. Sears still needs an updated merchandising plan. At some point
soon the company's investors and customers will demand an overhaul.
Robert Duncan, a professor at Northwestern University's
Kellogg Graduate School of Management, says Lacy ultimately will have to
put forward a comprehensive plan.
"It conveys to the investment community that the
organization has a sense of where it is now and where it's got to go,"
Duncan says. "You have to be able to articulate what the strategy is. It's
absolutely critical."
Lacy can get away with just draining the swamp right
now. But sometime soon, he'll have to tell the world what kind of
playground Sears plans to build.


Sears Unveils Plan to Increase Operating Income
by $1 Billion, or 50
Percent, by 2004
Objective to Double Retail and
Related Services Profits in Three Years Will Revitalize Full-line Stores
Through Improved Merchandise Assortment, Marketing and Customer Service
Initiatives
Productivity Initiatives to
Yield Annual Savings of $600 Million; Reduce
Salaried Staff by 4,900, or 22 Percent
PRNewswire
- October 24. 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. today announced a comprehensive
three-year plan to increase its consolidated operating income by more than
$1 billion, approximately 50 percent, to more than $3 billion. The company
also expects to double profits from its retail and related services
operations by 2004 through a number of strategic initiatives to revitalize
its full-line stores and significantly reduce operating expenses.
"Our new approach to merchandising reflects a
distinctive competitive positioning, a clear emphasis on home and family,
and a lower-cost operating model," Sears Chairman and Chief Executive
Officer Alan J. Lacy said in explaining the company's move away from a
more traditional department store business model. "We have begun to
execute this strategy, which will substantially improve Sears financial
performance by creating an easier shopping experience for our customers
while operating with greater focus, speed and efficiency."
Details on Sears plans are being outlined at a meeting
with the financial community held in Chicago today.
Full-line Store Revitalization Plan
Lacy outlined several major goals of the full-line
stores improvement plan including:
-- Realign and improve merchandise offerings;
-- Create a more balanced and efficient marketing
investment;
-- Improve customer in-store experience; and
-- Implement more efficient store and home office
processes that are substantially lower in cost.
Improved Merchandise Offerings
Sears merchandise offerings will be improved with greater emphasis on
core merchandise categories, such as home appliances and home fashions,
and will feature improved merchandise quality, depth and consistency.
Apparel will continue to play an important role in the Sears store with
the company putting an even stronger focus on apparel offerings, upgrading
the merchandise as well as improving the depth and clarity of its
assortments. Sears will move to a single proprietary casual brand across
its men's, women's and children's assortments.
More Balanced Marketing
The company's marketing resources are being
reallocated to focus on more effective promotional activity and to provide
a stronger emphasis on the Sears brand. Sears is eliminating less
productive promotional activity, allowing the company to invest more
heavily in marketing the Sears brand.
Improved Customer In-Store Experience
Sears will adjust customer service to better
meet customer expectations, offering a higher level of service and
expertise for major purchases and more self-service in areas where
customers need less assistance. The company plans to move toward a
self-service environment. Centralized checkouts will be in approximately
140 stores by year-end, and in all stores by the mid-2002. Planned store
changes also include simplifying signage and fixtures and layouts.
"By going to market in a much more cohesive and
consistent way, Sears will become significantly more efficient and more
profitable," said Lacy. "These changes will improve customer satisfaction
and significantly improve our profitability and growth potential."
More Efficient Processes
New store organization initiatives are being put
in place that, when fully implemented in 2003, will result in more clearly
defined of roles and responsibilities throughout the organization. Roughly
3,600 salaried positions will be eliminated from Sears stores and field
organization over the next 18 months.
Productivity Initiatives and Home Office Review
The company expects to achieve annual expense
savings of approximately $600 million by 2004, based on a variety of
productivity and home office initiatives, including the full-line store
organization initiative mentioned above. Sears also anticipates increasing
full-line store, credit and other business profits by more than $400
million due to revenue enhancements during this time period. It is
management's expectation that these actions will necessitate additional
special charges, the amount and timing of which is currently being
determined.
Home office initiatives include the alignment of support
activities with redesigned store processes, improving efficiency and
eliminating unnecessary work. As part of the home office productivity
initiative, the company plans to eliminate 1,300 positions at the home
office in Hoffman Estates, Ill., by 2003. Supply chain initiatives include
improved integration and order management, network optimization, better
use of space in stores and outside storage, and improved inventory
controls.
Support of Other Growth Vehicles
Sears will continue its commitment to several
growth areas: credit services, The Great Indoors and direct-to-customer,
which includes online, catalogs and specialty merchandise sales. While The
Great Indoors remains a promising retail format, Sears projects a more
conservative 2002 store opening plan than previously announced. The
company now plans to open seven stores in 2002.
The Sears Gold MasterCard, which provides selected
customers with a more value added credit product, also continues to be an
important aspect of renewed credit revenue growth. In 2002, the company
plans to add more than 5 million new cardholders. Sears Credit continues
to show solid portfolio credit quality overall.
Third Quarter Earnings and Outlook
In a separate release issued today, Sears
reported third-quarter 2001 earnings excluding non-comparable items of
$262 million or $0.80 per share, compared with $261 million or $0.76 per
share in third quarter 2000, exceeding analyst consensus estimates. The
company also stated that it is comfortable with analysts' current
full-year 2001 consensus estimates of $4.09, excluding non-comparable
items and net securitization income.
Meeting Webcast and Replay
Lacy and other senior executives are offering
details on the company's strategy, including initiatives designed to
improve the performance of Sears retail stores' performance, at a meeting
held for retail industry analysts in Chicago today. The meeting, which
begins at 8 a.m. Central/9 a.m. Eastern time, will be webcast live over
the Internet at www.sears.com from the "About Sears" button. A replay of
the webcast will be available on Sears Web site for approximately one
week.


Sears Plans
to Cut Up to
5,000
Jobs
By Eddie
Baeb, Crain's Chicago Business
October 23,
2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. will lay off nearly 5,000 employees,
roughly 18% of its salaried staffers, over the next 18 months, according to
an internal memo issued Tuesday afternoon.
The move comes as Sears looks to restructure its field
organization and slash costs companywide so the retailer can become more
competitive with discount chains like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Target Corp.
The cuts include 1,300 jobs at Sears' Hoffman Estates
headquarters and 3,600 employees in Sears' field organization, which include
regional and district offices as well as store managers. Sears currently
employs 7,000 at headquarters and 15,000 in its field organization.
Sears last laid people off in 1999, when it cut 1,400
headquarter jobs -- 600 Sears employees and 800
independent contractors and temporary workers.
Sears also closed 89 stores early this year, a move that cost about 2,400
people their jobs.
Sears CEO Alan Lacy is to detail the job cuts and
restructuring to Wall Street analysts Wednesday at a meeting in Chicago,
where Sears will also announce its third-quarter results. A Sears spokesman
reached late Tuesday declined comment.
In the memo, Mr. Lacy writes: "Every business and function
will be affected, some more than others. . . . These reductions will require
more than a year to implement fully."
The memo also says that affected employees will receive
severance packages that include outplacement counseling and unspecified
salary continuance based on length of employment.


Big Store
Plans
Eddie Baeb,
Crain's Chicago Business
October 22, 2001
One year into the job as CEO at Sears, Roebuck and Co.,
Alan Lacy is set to unveil his retail strategy this week at a meeting in
Chicago with Wall Street analysts. But his big vision of a Sears more akin
to Kohl's or Target is drawing yawns even before he takes the stage
Wednesday.
The cost-conscious Mr. Lacy already has signaled an
intent to transform Sears into more of a discounter than a department
store, focused on its historic strengths in selling hardlines — such as
appliances and tools — and selling goods on credit. Sears also will
emulate the stripped-down style of Kohl's stores, which offer fewer, more
basic fashions.
While that format could subtract a layer of costs, it's
not original and doesn't supply a way to jump-start sales at Sears' 861
full-line stores.
"(Sears') problem is sales. They need a growth strategy,
and I don't know if Alan's going to come up with one," says New York-based
retail analyst Margaret Gilliam, president of Gilliam & Co. "I'll be
pleasantly surprised if he's got something in his hip pocket."
Analysts do anticipate more cost-cutting, including
layoffs. An estimated 15% to 20% of staffers at the Hoffman Estates
headquarters could be laid off over the next year, according to a Sears
executive who declines to be identified. That would eliminate more than
1,000 jobs.
To some extent, Wall Street has grown comfortable with
Mr. Lacy's cost-conscious style. If growth is elusive, the reasoning goes,
at least profits will be maximized.
In July, when Sears announced that its second-quarter
earnings would meet analysts' estimates and that earnings for the year
would match last year's, the stock hit a new 52-week high of $47.80.
The price has fallen since, and shares are now trading
at about $38. But that's still up about 8% for the year, while the
Standard & Poor's Retail Stores Index is down about 1%.
Sears says it expects to post per-share earnings of 80
cents for the third quarter, beating analysts' estimates of 78 cents,
according to Thomson Financial/First Call.
Earlier this month, while announcing that its same-store
sales fell 6.7% in September from the same period last year — due in part
to the terrorist attacks that kept shoppers away — Sears said its gross
margin was up for the third quarter.


Visa, MasterCard Lose Bid to Narrow Class
Action Case
By Christopher
Mumma - Bloomberg
October 18, 2001
Visa USA Inc. and MasterCard International Inc. lost a
federal court appeal to limit a suit accusing them of trying to extend
their credit-card monopoly into debit cards.
The 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals permitted
class-action status for the case, setting the stage for more than 4
million merchants to seek damages from the credit-card giants. Such
retailers as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Sears Roebuck & Co. are among
companies that have sued.
"Given the strong commonality of the violation and the
harm among the merchants, this is precisely the type of situation for
which the class-action device is suited," said Judges Sonia Sotomayor and
Denise L. Cote in a 2-1 ruling.
The credit-card companies said class certification might
expose them to ruinous claims of $100 billion, and the large number of
plaintiffs makes the case unmanageable.
Judge Dennis G. Jacobs, in a dissent, said that class
status is a "brutally Coercive" means of forcing a settlement.
"No doubt, true 'death knell' cases are few, and a
reviewing court 'must be wary lest the mind hear a bell that is not
tolling," Jacobs said. But in this case, he
said, "a carillon is in full peal."
'We Will Prevail'
"We remain confident that we will prevail when
these issues are considered upon a full evidentiary record," said Paul
Allen, general counsel for Visa USA Inc., a unit of Visa International
Inc.
In a statement, MasterCard said it "strongly disagreed"
with the appeals ruling. "The decision in no way relates to the merits of
the case," MasterCard said.
Lloyd Constantine, a lawyer for the retailers, welcomed
the ruling. Without class certification, he said, the lawsuit would have
represented retailers who account for about 10 percent of all retail sales
in the U.S. instead of 100 percent.
"I'm as happy as anybody can be about anything right
now," said Constantine, referring to the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. "If
it happened at any other time, I'd be ecstatic."
The plaintiffs include Wal-Mart, Sears, Circuit City
Stores Inc. and Safeway Inc., as well as three trade associations and a
group of smaller retailers.
Monopoly
The retailers said Visa and MasterCard have
extended their credit-card monopoly into the debit-card business with
rules that improperly require merchants who accept their credit cards to
take their debit cards.
The lawsuit says that Visa and MasterCard charge
merchants up to 25 times more per transaction than competing debit cards.
Visa and MasterCard said they are helping merchants by
adding consumer options, thus increasing sales and profits. They say their
prices pay for broader acceptance, greater brand recognition and rewards
programs that automated teller machine networks such as NYCE Corp. and
Star Systems Inc. can't offer.
In certifying the case as a class action last year, U.S.
District Judge John Gleeson urged the appeals court to review the decision
prior to trial.
"This litigation poses enormous financial risks for the
defendants, risks that are obviously increased drastically by the
certification of the class," he wrote.


Allstate
Net Earnings
Fall by 65 Percent
By Dave Carpenter
- Associated Press
October 18, 2001
Third-quarter net profits tumbled 65 percent at Allstate
Corp., hit hard by higher homeowners insurance claims and investment losses.
The Northbrook-based insurer said today that payouts from
the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks also contributed to the shortfall.
The weaker earnings, which Allstate had previewed in
detail last week, were roughly in line with Wall Street’s newly lowered
expectations.
Net earnings were $226 million, or 32 cents per share,
down from $644 million, or 87 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 4
percent to $7.17 billion from $7.44 billion.
Excluding special items, the company said operating income
was 56 cents a share, down from 71 cents a share in the third quarter of
2000. That was 2 cents better than a consensus estimate of analysts surveyed
by Thomson Financial/First Call based on Allstate’s guidance last week.
Allstate shares fell $1.14 to close at $32.64 today on the
New York Stock Exchange, down from above $40 before the Sept. 11 attacks.
Since shortly after the attacks, Allstate that the tragedy
would not have a major financial impact on the company. But the
Northbrook-based insurer last week said additional claims would result in
about $32 million in losses to both its property-liability and financial
businesses.
Primary causes of the earnings decline were higher homeowners
claims, particularly increased mold- and weather-related claims, the company
said today. Also hurting the bottom line were capital losses resulting from
market conditions affecting portfolio trading and investment writedowns.
"We remain concerned about the adverse loss trends in our
homeowners line and are taking strong action to deal with this situation,"
said chairman, president and chief executive officer Edward Liddy.
But the initiatives, which include changes to product
design, underwriting approach and appropriate premium rates, will take
awhile to show full results, he said.
Analyst Brian Meredith of Bank of America Securities said
the report showed worse-than-expected results in Allstate’s life insurance
operation but strong improvement in the standard auto insurance business. He
called Allstate’s continued problems with homeowners losses, while
reflective of the industry, "somewhat perplexing."
For the first nine months, net income was $894 million, or
$1.23 a share, down from $1.66 billion, or $2.21 a share, a year earlier.
Revenue fell 2 percent to $21.5 billion from $21.9 billion.


Insurance
Settlement Approval
Sears retirees get back some benefits
in deal
By
Tammy Williamson, Business Reporter - Chicago Sun Times
October 11, 2001
Sears Roebuck and Co. workers who retired between 1978
and 1997 will retain more of their life insurance benefits under a
settlement plan between retirees and the company tentatively approved
Wednesday by a federal judge in Chicago.
In a plan that will cost Sears $22 million to $34.2
million, retirees will get back some of the value the company had taken
away from their life insurance policies, attorneys for the retirees said.
"We are pleased," said Peter Wasylyk, a Rhode Island
attorney representing the retirees. "We believe it was as good as a deal
we could get for Sears retirees."
The plan settles a lawsuit filed by retirees after
Sears' 1997 decision to cut $60 million in costs annually by reducing
company-paid life insurance benefits for 84,000 retirees. Former employees
reacted bitterly to the announcement, arguing that Sears violated
contractual promises by reducing the benefits.
Under the initial plan, benefits would have been cut 10
percent every year for 10 years to a minimum of $5,000. The average
employee benefit at that time was $17,000, according to Sears.
Under the settlement, Sears will freeze the planned
reduction of 10 percent in 2003.
The retirees also now are guaranteed their company-paid
life insurance benefit won't be cut again or taken away altogether,
according to court documents filed Friday. Without the settlement, Sears
continued to reserve the right to further cut or eliminate the life
insurance plan.
Sears denied any wrongdoing but said in court documents
it was settling the lawsuit because litigation could have dragged on for
years.
The company also said it was settling because management
''wants to reunite the Sears family and believes that this settlement
constitutes an important first step in consolidating the confidence and
goodwill of its large retiree base.''
U.S. District Judge James Moran, in a court hearing
Wednesday, said retirees will be sent claim forms from Sears by Nov. 1 and
must return them by Jan. 17. Moran scheduled a hearing for March 5 for
final approval of the settlement. The actual cost to Sears of the changes
will be known at that time.
Retirees could get even more money depending upon how
many of them actually file claims, according to Sears spokeswoman Peggy
Palter and Michael Mulder, an attorney for the retirees with the Chicago
law firm of Meites, Mulder, Burger and Mollica.
If only some retirees file claims, the rate of
reductions in years beyond 2003 could be lowered from the planned 10
percent because more money would be available.
The final schedule of reductions will be known by the
March 5 hearing, Palter said.
In addition, the estates of retirees who have died since
Jan. 1, 1998, or who die before Dec. 31, 2002, will receive a Sears gift
card of $100, according to court documents. Those retirees will not
receive the benefits of the negotiated 2003 rate reduction freeze.
Mulder said in addition to letters, Sears will post
notices in newspapers, including local papers, announcing the settlement.


Sears September Sales
Sears Same-store Sales
Down 6.7%
From the Reuters Newsroom
- October 11, 2001
Sears, Roebuck and Co. Thursday said sales at its
domestic stores open at least 12 months fell 6.7 percent in September from
a year earlier, but the No. 4 U.S. retailer forecast that third-quarter
earnings would come in at the high end of analysts' estimates. The company
said it expects a third-quarter profit of 80 cents a share, excluding
unusual items.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial/First Call
expect, on average, a profit of 77 cents a share. Their estimates range
from 66 cents to 82 cents.
Sears shares were up $1.68, or 4.33 percent, to $40.50
in morning trade on the New York Stock Exchange.
Sears said it will be able to top analysts' consensus
earnings estimate despite lower revenues because of its efforts to improve
productivity in its stores and heightened focus on its margins.
Company officials declined to provide additional
details, but Sears has undertaken a wide-ranging review of its retail
operations. Details of the review, which is expected to include job cuts
and elimination of certain product lines, are due on Oct. 24.
Sears said its domestic retail business delivered strong
earnings growth in the third quarter compared with a year earlier, while
profits for its Canadian and corporate and other units declined. Its
credit and financial products segment performed in line with expectations,
Sears said.
Chairman and Chief Executive Alan Lacy said sales at
domestic stores open at least a year "same-store sales" were
"significantly affected" by the Sept. 11 attacks on New York and
Washington, though sales recovered somewhat in the remaining weeks of the
month.
"The outlook for consumer spending in the balance of the
year remains uncertain," Lacy said.
Sears, based in Hoffman Estates, said domestic store
revenues for the five weeks ended Sept. 29 were $2.51 billion, down 6
percent from a year earlier..
____________________________________________________________
Gordon's Comments:
Consumers already spooked by a slowing economy retrenched further
following the horrific terrorist attack on September 11th. It left
retailers with the weakest September sales performance in decades. Below
is the percentage change in major retailers sales from the same month one
year ago. Sales include those from stores that have been open one year.
| Wal-Mart |
+6.3 |
| Sears |
-6.7 |
| Kmart |
unchanged |
| Penney |
+8.1 |
| Target |
+0.2 |
| Federated |
-12.9 |
| May |
-10.9 |
| Gap |
-17.0 |
| Limited |
-10.0 |
| TJX |
+2.0
|
| Saks |
-11.5 |
| Dillards |
-8.0 |


Analyst Sees
Softer Side of Sears' Financials
By
Hollister H. Hovey - Dow
Jones Newswires
October 9, 2001
Lazard Freres & Co. analyst Mark Pickard sees the softer
side of Sears Roebuck & Co.'s (S) financials, and says it's time for
investors to sell their shares.
"Although Sears is likely to announce several
restructuring initiatives and strategy changes at its analyst meeting on
Oct. 24, we believe that the deteriorating consumer credit and retail
environment will likely suppress earnings growth," Pickard said in a
Tuesday research note. "This, combined with execution risk stemming from
an overhaul of the company's operating strategy, will likely, in our view,
weigh on the stock over the next 12 months."
Pickard cut his rating on Sears to sell from hold,
cutting his 12-month price target to $30 from $40.
He lowered his 2001 earnings per share estimate to $3.90
from $4.10 and his 2002 estimate to $3.97 from $4.35, assuming a rapidly
declining consumer credit environment and a lackluster retail environment
over the near term. But he cautions that his estimates may still be too
high if charge-offs return to 1998 and 1999 levels or if cost-cutting
savings from a potential restructuring aren't as dramatic as he forecasts.
With increasing unemployment, high bankruptcy levels and
the deteriorating consumer environment, Pickard expects Sears' credit
segment to post a 12% decline in operating profit during 2002. "To cover
the projected increase in bad debt, we believe that Sears will be forced
to increase its allowance for uncollectible accounts," Pickard said.
"Thus, our original projection for the allowance will likely prove
conservative."
He expects the allowance for uncollectible accounts will
be 4.04% in 2001 and 4.2% in 2002, reducing the operating margin at the
credit segment to 24.5% in 2002 from 28.8% in 2000. "We believe this is
particularly troubling as operating income at the credit segment has
increased dramatically since 1998 and now represents over 65% of Sears'
total operating profit."
He does forecast credit revenue from Sears' MasterCard
portfolio to bolster growth, however. "MasterCard revenue growth will
likely be higher than revenue growth from department store cards due to
its higher late fees and higher performance APR," he said. "The lower
interest rate environment will also keep funding costs for both portfolios
lower, helping SG&A costs."
Sears' will likely announce a restructuring plan, to
alleviate "lackluster" revenue growth within its retail segment, Pickard
believes. But overhead reductions will likely have little effect on the
bottom line, he said.
Possible restructuring announcements could include the
sale of several non-core retail businesses, the elimination of several
thousand jobs at the corporate and retail level and a revamped softline
strategy, he said. Softline categories include items such as apparel,
jewelry and cosmetics.
"We expect that the bulk of the operating expense
savings will come from the elimination of an estimated 2,500 jobs at the
corporate level and 1,500 positions at the store level, resulting in a
cost savings of over $200 million," Pickard said.
But "management's operating changes will likely cause a
major disruption to employee morale and sales growth," he said.
_______________________________________________________________
Gordon's Comments:
Zacks Investment Research as of October 9, 2001 indicates the following
estimates:
|
Year |
EPS |
P/E |
EPS Growth |
|
12/01 |
$4.18 |
8.9 |
-6% |
|
12/02 |
$4.53 |
8.2 |
8% |
|
Next 3-5 years |
|
|
9% |
______________________________________________________________
Oct. 9, 2001 Investors Business Daily indicates the
following in relationship to the 15 retailers in the group: IBD Stock
Checkup Analysis: Sears Roebuck & Co receives an overall rating of B-,
which is in the 76th percentile of all stocks in the Investor's Business
Daily database. The overall rating is calculated using five proprietary
ratings that measure each stock's Technical and Fundamental qualities and
the Technical and Fundamental qualities of the industry group that it
resides in, as well as a rating on the stock's current price
attractiveness.
Sears Roebuck & Co receives a Technical Rating of 84,
which places it 3rd out of 15 stocks in the Retail-Department Stores
group.
Sears Roebuck & Co receives a Fundamental Rating of 71,
which places it 5th out of 15 stocks in the Retail-Department Stores
group.
Sears Roebuck & Co receives an Attractiveness Rating of
91, placing it 4th out of 15 stocks in its group. The top stock is Kohls
Corp (KSS), followed by Sears (S), May (MAY), Nieman Marcus Group CI B (NMGB),
and then Neiman Marcus Group CI A (NMGA)
The Retail-Department Stores group's technical rating of
D ranks it in the 38th percentile of the 197 different Investor's Business
Daily Industry Groups. The Retail-Department Stores group's fundamental
rating is E (which indicates heavy selling), ranking it in the 15th
percentile of all groups. The rating scale goes from A - the highest
rating, to E - the lowest rating.
___________________________________________________________________
MSN.MONEY Oct. 9,
2001
Quick Summary gives S a rating of 6 on a scale of 10 being the best
possible rating.
Pro • The price-to-sales multiple is
significantly lower than the average for all stocks in the StockScouter
universe. Positive/Neutral for a medium- to large-sized company like S
Con • One or more analysts has modestly decreased
quarterly earnings estimates for S. Negative • Shares are neither being
accumulated heavily nor sold heavily by financial institutions. Neutral
for a large company like S
Short-term Outlook -
Over the next 1-2 months, StockScouter forecasts
that value stocks will be out of favor, large-cap stocks will be neutral,
and consumer services stocks will
be out of favor.
|